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Geumsan Insam vs Jecheon Citizen

South Korea South Korea

K4 League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This K4 League encounter between Geumsan Insam and Jecheon Citizen promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. Geumsan Insam averages 1.6 goals scored and 1.3 conceded in recent matches. Jecheon Citizen shows a form average of 1.0 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 0 wins for Geumsan Insam, 0 wins for Jecheon Citizen, and 1 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 29.03.26 ended in a 0:0 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.50 for Geumsan Insam and 1.31 for Jecheon Citizen, suggesting the primary value lies in the Geumsan Insam double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Geumsan Insam
35%
Draws
32%
Jecheon Citizen
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Geumsan Insam

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence
  • Geumsan Insam picked up more points recently compared to Jecheon Citizen.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.50 vs 1.31 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 70%
Over 2.5 Goals 42%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%
Geumsan Insam Clean Sheet 18%
Jecheon Citizen Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 63%
Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Geumsan Insam Jecheon Citizen
Matches Played 16 16
Wins 6 6
Draws 6 6
Losses 4 4
Goals Scored 1.56 1
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.13
Possession % N/A N/A
Shots per Match N/A N/A
Shots on Target N/A N/A
Corners per Match N/A N/A
Yellow/Red Cards N/A N/A

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

29.03.26 K4 League
Geumsan Insam vs Jecheon Citizen
0:0

Tactical Matchup Profile

Field Positions & Control Styles

Geumsan Insam

Pressing Intensity Aggressive press (PPDA < 9.5)
Attacking Style Keep the ball
Wing Attack Frequency A lot of crosses
Defensive Alignment Push high up (Offside trap)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Jecheon Citizen

Pressing Intensity Medium Block
Attacking Style Quick counter-attacks
Wing Attack Frequency Play through the middle
Defensive Alignment Sit deep
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Squad Roster & Injury Alerts Unavailable

Real-time squad lineups, player goal/assist metrics, and live availability/injury alerts are currently not available. This section is currently flagged as: Needs a Real Data Source.

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Geumsan Insam 33 / 100
Jecheon Citizen 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Geumsan Insam Jecheon Citizen

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Geumsan Insam or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +32%
4.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +16.8%
2.78
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Expected Match Flow Timeline

Dominance and pressure projections by 15-minute intervals

0' - 15' Dominance Index

Both sides are expected to start cautiously, looking to control the midfield battle.

Geumsan Insam 36%
Jecheon Citizen 26%
15' - 30' Dominance Index

The game is expected to settle into a tactical block, with both managers looking for space on the flanks.

Geumsan Insam 31%
Jecheon Citizen 34%
30' - 45' Dominance Index

The tempo could accelerate as both teams push for an opening goal before half-time.

Geumsan Insam 33%
Jecheon Citizen 32%
45' - 60' Dominance Index

Expect tactical adjustments from both sides, possibly shifting to a wider play style.

Geumsan Insam 35%
Jecheon Citizen 30%
60' - 75' Dominance Index

As players tire, spaces will open up, leading to transitional counter-attacks for both teams.

Geumsan Insam 30%
Jecheon Citizen 35%
75' - 90' Dominance Index

A high-risk final phase where any defensive lapse could lead to late drama and decide the match.

Geumsan Insam 38%
Jecheon Citizen 37%

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Geumsan Insam attacking → ← attacking Jecheon Citizen

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Geumsan Insam have found the net in 69% of their last 16 matches.

Jecheon Citizen have conceded at least one goal in 69% of their last 16 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 0.00 goals per match.

Geumsan Insam remained undefeated in 4 of their last 5 overall matchups.

Jecheon Citizen suffered defeat in 2 of their last 5 overall games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Risk Factor

Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.

Risk Factor

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Public Accuracy Dashboard

History Log Unavailable

Historical prediction accuracy logs and success dashboards require a live connection to a completed tips outcome database. This section is currently flagged as: Needs a Real Data Source.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

24 Points in last 5 24
1.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.25
1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13
N/A Ball possession % N/A
N/A Shots per game N/A
N/A Shots on target N/A
N/A Corners per game N/A
N/A Cards per game N/A

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Jinju Citizen15131138:1240
2Jincheon1594230:1131
3Geumsan Insam1566325:1724
4Jecheon Citizen1566316:1724
5Seoul Jungnang1564524:1922
6Namyangju1555518:1920
7Pyeongchang United1562719:2120
8Sejong SA1462619:2320
9Geoje1453626:2118
10Gijang United1552819:2617
11Haman1542915:2614
12Pyeongtaek Citizen15231016:329
13Seosan Pioneer14301115:369