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Gevora vs Pueblonuevo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Der Jachadurian B.
49'
Rodriguez Sosa J.
61' Event
Rodriguez A.

AI Match Summary

Gevora in this Tercera RFEF - Group 14 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gevora.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Gevora
35%
Draws
18%
Pueblonuevo
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Gevora

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Not much separates Gevora and Pueblonuevo on recent form.
  • Gevora are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 14 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Gevora Clean Sheet 16%
Pueblonuevo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gevora Pueblonuevo
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 8 8
Draws 7 7
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 1 1
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Gevora vs Pueblonuevo
3:1
May 3, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Gevora vs Pueblonuevo
1:1
Jan 4, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Pueblonuevo vs Gevora
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gevora Compare

Top Goalscorer Der Jachadurian B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rodriguez A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Pueblonuevo Compare

Top Goalscorer Gonzalez J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gevora 84 / 100
Pueblonuevo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gevora Pueblonuevo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gevora Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gevora scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Pueblonuevo let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.67 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Gevora stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gevora VS Pueblonuevo
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Gevora

(Home)
04 Oct
Moralo
1 : 1
Gevora
27 Sept
Gevora
3 : 1
Pueblonuevo
20 Sept
Quintana
0 : 0
Gevora
13 Sept
Gevora
4 : 2
UP Plasencia
05 Sept
Castuera
5 : 0
Gevora
Page 1 of 6

Pueblonuevo

(Away)
03 Oct
Pueblonuevo
0 : 0
Puebla de la Calzada
27 Sept
Gevora
3 : 1
Pueblonuevo
20 Sept
Santa Amalia
1 : 1
Pueblonuevo
13 Sept
CD Zafra
4 : 1
Pueblonuevo
06 Sept
Jaraiz
2 : 2
Pueblonuevo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Azuaga 5 5 0 0 14:2 15
2 Moralo 5 3 2 0 9:5 11
3 AD Llerenense 4 3 1 0 3:0 10
4 Castuera 4 3 0 1 8:3 9
5 Puebla de la Calzada 5 2 2 1 8:4 8
6 Gevora 5 2 2 1 8:9 8
7 CD Zafra 4 2 1 1 5:3 7
8 Villanovense 5 2 1 2 5:4 7
9 Santa Amalia 4 1 3 0 5:2 6
10 Montijo 5 2 0 3 6:8 6
11 Cabeza del Buey 5 1 2 2 6:6 5
12 Jerez CF 4 1 1 2 4:6 4
13 Jaraiz 5 1 1 3 6:9 4
14 Quintana 4 1 1 2 2:5 4
15 SP Villafranca 4 1 0 3 4:7 3
16 Pueblonuevo 5 0 3 2 5:10 3
17 UP Plasencia 4 0 1 3 2:8 1
18 Guadiana 5 0 1 4 2:11 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 14 (Play Offs)