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Gevora vs Villanovense - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026
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AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Gevora
30%
Draws
33%
Villanovense
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Gevora

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Villanovense have won more games recently than Gevora.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Gevora Clean Sheet 16%
Villanovense Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gevora Villanovense
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 12
Draws 7 6
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 1 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.62 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 1, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Gevora vs Villanovense
0:0
Sep 21, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Villanovense vs Gevora
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gevora 31 / 100
Villanovense 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gevora Villanovense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gevora found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).

Villanovense let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Recent resilience: Gevora stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gevora VS Villanovense
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Gevora

(Home)
04 Oct
Moralo
1 : 1
Gevora
27 Sept
Gevora
3 : 1
Pueblonuevo
20 Sept
Quintana
0 : 0
Gevora
13 Sept
Gevora
4 : 2
UP Plasencia
05 Sept
Castuera
5 : 0
Gevora
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Villanovense

(Away)
04 Oct
Cabeza del Buey
1 : 1
Villanovense
27 Sept
Villanovense
2 : 0
Montijo
20 Sept
SP Villafranca
0 : 1
Villanovense
13 Sept
Villanovense
0 : 1
AD Llerenense
06 Sept
Moralo
2 : 1
Villanovense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Don Benito 34 21 8 5 70:22 71
2 CD Badajoz 34 23 5 6 64:27 71
3 Moralo 34 17 11 6 54:32 62
4 CD Azuaga 34 18 8 8 53:31 62
5 Jaraiz 34 16 11 7 53:33 59
6 Cabeza del Buey 34 15 12 7 45:29 57
7 SP Villafranca 34 16 7 11 45:40 55
8 Villanovense 34 15 8 11 45:36 53
9 Montijo 34 13 7 14 43:42 46
10 Jerez CF 34 8 17 9 56:51 41
11 AD Llerenense 34 11 8 15 35:44 41
12 Puebla de la Calzada 34 9 11 14 35:48 38
13 Santa Amalia 34 9 7 18 30:52 34
14 Gevora 34 8 9 17 32:53 33
15 Pueblonuevo 34 9 6 19 29:55 33
16 CD Diocesano 34 6 12 16 33:63 30
17 Montehermoso 34 5 8 21 24:66 23
18 CD Calamonte 34 3 13 18 25:47 22
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026 (Play Offs)