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Ghajnsielem vs Birkirkara

Malta Malta

FA Trophy 2020/2021
Ghajnsielem Logo

Ghajnsielem

1 - 4
FT
Birkirkara Logo

Birkirkara

Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
De Almeida Prado C.
Penalty Missed
27' Event
Zammit K.
36' Event
Pepe E.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-4, with Birkirkara advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Ghajnsielem
15%
Draws
85%
Birkirkara
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Birkirkara

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Ghajnsielem haven't matched Birkirkara's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Birkirkara's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Birkirkara arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Birkirkara, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Ghajnsielem Clean Sheet 20%
Birkirkara Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ghajnsielem Birkirkara
Matches Played 26 30
Wins 11 12
Draws 0 9
Losses 15 9
Goals Scored 1.88 1.27
Goals Conceded 2.46 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 2, 2021 FA Trophy
Ghajnsielem vs Birkirkara
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ghajnsielem Compare

Top Goalscorer Nedeljkovic I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Birkirkara Compare

Top Goalscorer Zammit K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pepe E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ghajnsielem 10 / 100
Birkirkara 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ghajnsielem Birkirkara

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Birkirkara Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Ghajnsielem's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 26 recent games.

Defensive concern: Birkirkara conceded in 57% of 30 recent games.

Away concern: Birkirkara has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Birkirkara
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ghajnsielem

(Home)
01 Mar
Victoria Wanderers
2 : 1
Ghajnsielem
03 Jan
Tarxien
4 : 0
Ghajnsielem
11 Jan
Sliema
8 : 0
Ghajnsielem
14 Jan
Valletta
7 : 1
Ghajnsielem
15 Jan
Hamrun
3 : 1
Ghajnsielem
Page 1 of 6

Birkirkara

(Away)
18 Sept
Zabbar
0 : 2
Birkirkara
12 Sept
Birkirkara
1 : 1
Hibernians
06 Sept
Sliema
2 : 1
Birkirkara
30 Aug
Mosta FC
1 : 0
Birkirkara
22 Aug
Birkirkara
1 : 0
Hamrun
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Gzira -
TBD -
Mqabba FC 5
San Gwann 3
Qormi -
TBD -
TBD -
Tarxien -
Ghajnsielem 3
Pieta 1
Victoria Hotspurs 1
Vittoriosa 0
Birkirkara -
TBD -
TBD -
Lija -
Naxxar Lions 2
Qrendi 0
TBD -
Swieqi -
St. Andrews 1
Zurrieq 0
TBD -
Sliema -
St. George's FC 1
Pembroke 3
Marsaxlokk 3
Victoria Wanderers 0
Hibernians -
TBD -
TBD -
Zejtun -
Floriana -
TBD -
TBD -
Santa Lucia -
Balzan FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Mosta FC -
Birzebbuga 2
Siggiewi 1
TBD -
Xaghra -
Sannat Lions -
TBD -
TBD -
Hamrun -
Nadur 3
Msida 1
TBD -
Senglea -
Valletta -
TBD -
TBD -
Gudja -
Oratory 1
Zebbug 8
Kercem Ajax 0
Marsa 3
Sirens -
TBD -
Xewkija 0
Fgura 3
1/16-finals
Gzira 8
Mqabba FC 0
Qormi 0
Tarxien 3
Ghajnsielem 2
Victoria Hotspurs 0
Birkirkara 6
Lija 0
Naxxar Lions 6
Swieqi 1
St. Andrews 1
Sliema 0
Pembroke 4
Marsaxlokk 2
Hibernians 3
Zejtun 0
Floriana 1
Santa Lucia 3
Balzan FC 1
Mosta FC 3
Birzebbuga 1
Xaghra 4
Sannat Lions 1
Hamrun 3
Nadur 2
Senglea 3
Valletta 2
Gudja 1
Zebbug 0
Marsa 1
Sirens 5
Fgura 0
1/8-finals
Gzira 4
Tarxien 2
Ghajnsielem 1
Birkirkara 4
Naxxar Lions 0
St. Andrews 1
Pembroke 0
Hibernians 1
Santa Lucia 0
Mosta FC 2
Xaghra 0
Hamrun 6
Senglea 0
Valletta 1
Marsa 0
Sirens 1
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -