Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ghajnsielem vs Kirkop

Malta Malta

FA Trophy 2017/2018
Wed, Sep 20, 2017
3 - 2
05:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Cutajar N.
85' Event
Xuereb A.
92' Event
Bajada S.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-2, with Ghajnsielem advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Ghajnsielem
15%
Draws
85%
Kirkop
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kirkop

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ghajnsielem come out ahead of Kirkop on wins alone.
  • Kirkop are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Ghajnsielem have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Ghajnsielem, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 57.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 26%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Ghajnsielem Clean Sheet 13%
Kirkop Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ghajnsielem Kirkop
Matches Played 26 16
Wins 11 6
Draws 0 0
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 1.88 1.44
Goals Conceded 2.46 2.06
Expected Goals (xG) 2.54 1.68
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2017 FA Trophy
Ghajnsielem vs Kirkop
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ghajnsielem Compare

Top Goalscorer Xuereb A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bajada S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.95
Avg xA / game 1.27

Kirkop Compare

Top Goalscorer Cutajar N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Theuma M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.53
Avg xA / game 0.93

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ghajnsielem 10 / 100
Kirkop 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ghajnsielem Kirkop

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kirkop Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Kirkop conceded in 81% of 16 recent games.

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Ghajnsielem scored in 77% of their last 26 outings.

Difficult form: Kirkop registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ghajnsielem VS Kirkop
2.88 Goals Scored 1.6
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.2
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
75% Over 3.5 40%

Recent Form & Match History

Ghajnsielem

(Home)
01 Mar
Victoria Wanderers
2 : 1
Ghajnsielem
03 Jan
Tarxien
4 : 0
Ghajnsielem
11 Jan
Sliema
8 : 0
Ghajnsielem
14 Jan
Valletta
7 : 1
Ghajnsielem
15 Jan
Hamrun
3 : 1
Ghajnsielem
Page 1 of 6

Kirkop

(Away)
12 Dec
Kirkop
1 : 2
Lija
07 Sept
Kirkop
2 : 3
Kercem Ajax
26 Oct
Kirkop
1 : 2
Vittoriosa
08 Sept
Kirkop
2 : 1
Kercem Ajax
20 Sept
Ghajnsielem
3 : 2
Kirkop
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Birkirkara -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Marsa -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Santa Lucia -
Melita -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kirkop -
TBD -
TBD -
Ghajnsielem -
St. George's FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
San Gwann -
Kercem Ajax -
TBD -
Ghaxaq 0
Oratory 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Attard -
Sirens -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Zebbug -
Qormi -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Fgura -
Zurrieq -
TBD -
TBD -
Qala Saints -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Qrendi -
Hibernians -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Birzebbuga -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nadur 4
Xaghra 1
TBD -
Victoria Hotspurs -
Vittoriosa -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gharghur -
Xghajra 4
St. Lawrence 1
TBD -
Msida -
Victoria Wanderers -
TBD -
Marsaskala FC 1
Xewkija 4
Hamrun -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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Gzira -
St. Andrews -
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Sliema -
Valletta -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Senglea -
Siggiewi -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Luqa -
Pembroke -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Pieta -
Mosta FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Mgarr -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Mqabba FC -
Marsaxlokk -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Zabbar -
Dingli Swallows -
TBD -
TBD -
Mtarfa -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Zejtun -
Lija -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
St. Venera -
TBD -
TBD -
Xbiex -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kalkara -
Swieqi -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Mdina -
TBD -
Munxar 3
Mellieha 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tarxien -
Naxxar Lions -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Floriana -
Gudja -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rabat Ajax -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Balzan FC -
1/64-finals
Birkirkara -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Marsa -
TBD -
TBD -
Santa Lucia -
Melita -
TBD -
Kirkop 2
Ghajnsielem 3
St. George's FC -
TBD -
TBD -
San Gwann -
Kercem Ajax 5
Oratory 4
TBD -
Attard -
Sirens -
TBD -
TBD -
Zebbug -
Qormi -
TBD -
TBD -
Fgura -
Zurrieq 3
Qala Saints 1
TBD -
Qrendi -
Hibernians -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Birzebbuga -
TBD -
Nadur 0
Victoria Hotspurs 1
Vittoriosa -
TBD -
TBD -
Gharghur -
Xghajra 2
Msida 1
Victoria Wanderers 1
Xewkija 4
Hamrun -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gzira -
St. Andrews -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sliema -
Valletta -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Senglea -
Siggiewi -
TBD -
TBD -
Luqa -
Pembroke -
TBD -
TBD -
Pieta -
Mosta FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Mgarr -
TBD -
TBD -
Mqabba FC -
Marsaxlokk -
TBD -
TBD -
Zabbar -
Dingli Swallows 3
Mtarfa 1
TBD -
Zejtun -
Lija -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
St. Venera 4
Xbiex 1
TBD -
Kalkara -
Swieqi -
TBD -
Mdina 2
Mellieha 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tarxien -
Naxxar Lions -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Floriana -
Gudja -
TBD -
TBD -
Rabat Ajax -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Balzan FC -
1/32-finals
Birkirkara -
TBD -
Marsa 0
Santa Lucia 4
Melita 4
Ghajnsielem 3
St. George's FC 0
San Gwann 2
Kercem Ajax 2
Attard 0
Sirens 1
Zebbug 3
Qormi 4
Fgura 1
Zurrieq 1
Qrendi 4
Hibernians -
TBD -
Birzebbuga 0
Victoria Hotspurs 4
Vittoriosa 7
Gharghur 1
Xghajra 2
Xewkija 5
Hamrun -
TBD -
TBD -
Gzira -
St. Andrews -
TBD -
TBD -
Sliema -
Valletta -
TBD -
TBD -
Senglea -
Siggiewi 4
Luqa 2
Pembroke 1
Pieta 3
Mosta FC -
TBD -
Mgarr 0
Mqabba FC 3
Marsaxlokk 5
Zabbar 0
Dingli Swallows 0
Zejtun 5
Lija -
TBD -
St. Venera 1
Kalkara 2
Swieqi 2
Mellieha 1
TBD -
Tarxien -
Naxxar Lions -
TBD -
TBD -
Floriana -
Gudja 3
Rabat Ajax 0
TBD -
Balzan FC -
1/16-finals
Birkirkara 5
Santa Lucia 0
Melita 0
San Gwann 3
Kercem Ajax 5
Zebbug 1
Qormi 0
Qrendi 2
Hibernians 2
Victoria Hotspurs 1
Vittoriosa 0
Xewkija 4
Hamrun 1
Gzira 0
St. Andrews 1
Sliema 3
Valletta 2
Senglea 0
Siggiewi 2
Pieta 3
Mosta FC 2
Mqabba FC 1
Marsaxlokk 0
Zejtun 3
Lija 4
Kalkara 0
Swieqi 0
Tarxien 3
Naxxar Lions 3
Floriana 1
Gudja 1
Balzan FC 4
1/8-finals
Birkirkara 2
San Gwann 1
Kercem Ajax 3
Qrendi 4
Hibernians 3
Xewkija 0
Hamrun 0
Sliema 1
Valletta 1
Pieta 0
Mosta FC 1
Zejtun 2
Lija 2
Tarxien 1
Naxxar Lions 0
Balzan FC 2
Quarter-finals
Birkirkara 3
Qrendi 0
Hibernians 0
Sliema 1
Valletta 2
Zejtun 0
Lija 1
Balzan FC 3
Semi-finals
Birkirkara 2
Sliema 1
Valletta 2
Balzan FC 1
Final
Birkirkara 1
Valletta 2