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Ghajnsielem vs Pieta - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Malta Malta

FA Trophy 2020/2021
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Nedeljkovic I.
33' Event
Xuereb A.
45' Event
Arboleda J.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-1, with Ghajnsielem advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Ghajnsielem
15%
Draws
85%
Pieta
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pieta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Ghajnsielem haven't matched Pieta's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Pieta a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Pieta arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Ghajnsielem, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Ghajnsielem Clean Sheet 10%
Pieta Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ghajnsielem Pieta
Matches Played 26 30
Wins 11 14
Draws 0 5
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 1.88 1.83
Goals Conceded 2.46 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 23, 2020 FA Trophy
Ghajnsielem vs Pieta
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ghajnsielem Compare

Top Goalscorer Nedeljkovic I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Xuereb A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Pieta Compare

Top Goalscorer Borg G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ghajnsielem 10 / 100
Pieta 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ghajnsielem Pieta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pieta Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Ghajnsielem scored in 77% of their last 26 games.

Pieta has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Away concern: Pieta has suffered 1 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ghajnsielem VS Pieta
1 Goals Scored 2.25
2 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Ghajnsielem

(Home)
01 Mar
Victoria Wanderers
2 : 1
Ghajnsielem
03 Jan
Tarxien
4 : 0
Ghajnsielem
11 Jan
Sliema
8 : 0
Ghajnsielem
14 Jan
Valletta
7 : 1
Ghajnsielem
15 Jan
Hamrun
3 : 1
Ghajnsielem
Page 1 of 6

Pieta

(Away)
18 Sept
Swieqi
3 : 2
Pieta
12 Sept
Pieta
3 : 2
Naxxar Lions
19 Apr
Pieta
2 : 2
St. Andrews
12 Apr
Sirens
3 : 4
Pieta
04 Apr
Fgura
0 : 4
Pieta
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Gzira -
TBD -
Mqabba FC 5
San Gwann 3
Qormi -
TBD -
TBD -
Tarxien -
Ghajnsielem 3
Pieta 1
Victoria Hotspurs 1
Vittoriosa 0
Birkirkara -
TBD -
TBD -
Lija -
Naxxar Lions 2
Qrendi 0
TBD -
Swieqi -
St. Andrews 1
Zurrieq 0
TBD -
Sliema -
St. George's FC 1
Pembroke 3
Marsaxlokk 3
Victoria Wanderers 0
Hibernians -
TBD -
TBD -
Zejtun -
Floriana -
TBD -
TBD -
Santa Lucia -
Balzan FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Mosta FC -
Birzebbuga 2
Siggiewi 1
TBD -
Xaghra -
Sannat Lions -
TBD -
TBD -
Hamrun -
Nadur 3
Msida 1
TBD -
Senglea -
Valletta -
TBD -
TBD -
Gudja -
Oratory 1
Zebbug 8
Kercem Ajax 0
Marsa 3
Sirens -
TBD -
Xewkija 0
Fgura 3
1/16-finals
Gzira 8
Mqabba FC 0
Qormi 0
Tarxien 3
Ghajnsielem 2
Victoria Hotspurs 0
Birkirkara 6
Lija 0
Naxxar Lions 6
Swieqi 1
St. Andrews 1
Sliema 0
Pembroke 4
Marsaxlokk 2
Hibernians 3
Zejtun 0
Floriana 1
Santa Lucia 3
Balzan FC 1
Mosta FC 3
Birzebbuga 1
Xaghra 4
Sannat Lions 1
Hamrun 3
Nadur 2
Senglea 3
Valletta 2
Gudja 1
Zebbug 0
Marsa 1
Sirens 5
Fgura 0
1/8-finals
Gzira 4
Tarxien 2
Ghajnsielem 1
Birkirkara 4
Naxxar Lions 0
St. Andrews 1
Pembroke 0
Hibernians 1
Santa Lucia 0
Mosta FC 2
Xaghra 0
Hamrun 6
Senglea 0
Valletta 1
Marsa 0
Sirens 1
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -