Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 3-1. The second leg ended 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
25%
35%
40%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Nigeria
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Nigeria carry the better recent record into this one.
- Nigeria are the model's pick here, at 40%.
- Nigeria arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Nigeria, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- Nigeria have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Ghana Clean Sheet 15%
Nigeria Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ghana | Nigeria |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 16 |
| Draws | 7 | 7 |
| Losses | 12 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.31 | 1.76 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.14 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.56 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 28, 2025 Friendly International
Nigeria vs Ghana
2:1
Dec 28, 2024 African Nations Championship
Nigeria vs Ghana
3:1
Dec 22, 2024 African Nations Championship
Ghana vs Nigeria
0:0
Mar 22, 2024 Friendly International
Ghana vs Nigeria
1:2
Sep 3, 2022 African Nations Championship
Nigeria vs Ghana
2:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ghana 27 / 100
Nigeria 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ghana Nigeria
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Nigeria Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Ghana scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.
Nigeria's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.
Ghana went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Ghana VS Nigeria
0.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Ghana
(Home) 04 Jul
Colombia
1 : 0 Ghana
27 Jun
Croatia
2 : 1 Ghana
23 Jun
England
0 : 0 Ghana
17 Jun
Ghana
1 : 0 Panama
02 Jun
Wales
1 : 1 Ghana
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17 Jun
Ghana
1 : 0 Panama
12 Oct
Ghana
1 : 0 Comoros
08 Sept
Ghana
1 : 0 Mali
31 May
Ghana
4 : 0 Trinidad & Tobago
21 Mar
Ghana
5 : 0 Chad
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Nigeria
(Away) 10 Jun
Portugal
2 : 1 Nigeria
03 Jun
Poland
2 : 2 Nigeria
30 May
Jamaica
0 : 3 Nigeria
26 May
Nigeria
2 : 0 Zimbabwe
31 Mar
Jordan
2 : 2 Nigeria
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10 Jun
Portugal
2 : 1 Nigeria
03 Jun
Poland
2 : 2 Nigeria
30 May
Jamaica
0 : 3 Nigeria
31 Mar
Jordan
2 : 2 Nigeria
27 Mar
Iran
1 : 2 Nigeria
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Tournament Bracket & Draw
Semi-finals
Sierra Leone 2
Liberia 3
TBD -
Senegal -
Mauritania -
TBD -
TBD -
Mali -
Guinea -
TBD -
TBD -
Guinea Bissau -
Togo 3
Benin 1
TBD -
Niger -
Ivory Coast -
TBD -
TBD -
Burkina Faso -
Ghana -
TBD -
TBD -
Nigeria -
Equatorial Guinea -
TBD -
TBD -
Congo -
Central Africa -
TBD -
TBD -
Cameroon -
Chad -
TBD -
TBD -
D.R. Congo -
Burundi 6
Somalia 0
TBD -
Uganda -
Ethiopia 6
Eritrea 0
Sudan 2
Tanzania 1
South Sudan 3
Kenya 1
Djibouti 1
Rwanda 3
Zimbabwe 0
Eswatini 4
TBD -
Madagascar -
Lesotho 2
Namibia 1
TBD -
Angola -
Mozambique -
TBD -
TBD -
Zambia -
Final
Liberia 1
Senegal 4
Mauritania 1
Mali 0
Guinea 6
Guinea Bissau 2
Togo 1
Niger 1
Ivory Coast 2
Burkina Faso 3
Ghana 1
Nigeria 3
Equatorial Guinea 1
Congo 2
Central Africa 2
Cameroon 2
Chad 2
D.R. Congo 4
Burundi 0
Uganda 2
Ethiopia 1
Sudan 4
South Sudan 4
Rwanda 4
Eswatini 1
Madagascar 2
Lesotho 1
Angola 2
Mozambique 0
Zambia 6
