Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ghana W vs South Africa W

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations Women 2024 Stade Larbi Zaouli, Casablanca
Fri, Jul 25, 2025
2 - 1
07:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Mthandi N.
46'
Sub
Mogolola R. In: Jane R.
Out: Mogolola R.
46'
Sub
Boaduwaa D. In: Adubea P.
Out: Boaduwaa D.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with Ghana W advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Ghana W
20%
Draws
40%
South Africa W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and South Africa W come out ahead of Ghana W on wins alone.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Ghana W taking it.
  • South Africa W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Ghana W, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Ghana W Clean Sheet 68%
South Africa W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ghana W South Africa W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 18 20
Draws 4 4
Losses 8 6
Goals Scored 1.97 1.6
Goals Conceded 0.83 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2025 Africa Cup of Nations Women
Ghana W vs South Africa W
2:1
Jul 7, 2025 Africa Cup of Nations Women
South Africa W vs Ghana W
2:0
Sep 17, 2021 Friendly International Women
South Africa W vs Ghana W
3:0
Nov 11, 2018 Friendly International Women
Ghana W vs South Africa W
1:0
Dec 2, 2016 Africa Cup of Nations Women
Ghana W vs South Africa W
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ghana W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

South Africa W Compare

Top Goalscorer Mthandi N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ghana W 68 / 100
South Africa W 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ghana W South Africa W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ghana W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Ghana W scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Ghana W remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

South Africa W let in goals in 47% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Ghana W VS South Africa W
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
0.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
38% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ghana W

(Home)
13 Aug
Ivory Coast W
1 : 2
Ghana W
09 Aug
Malawi W
2 : 1
Ghana W
06 Aug
Mali W
1 : 1
Ghana W
02 Aug
Ghana W
0 : 1
Cameroon W
29 Jul
Ghana W
2 : 0
Cape Verde W
Page 1 of 6

South Africa W

(Away)
13 Aug
South Africa W
2 : 1
Nigeria W
08 Aug
Morocco W
2 : 1
South Africa W
04 Aug
Burkina Faso W
0 : 1
South Africa W
31 Jul
South Africa W
2 : 2
Ivory Coast W
27 Jul
South Africa W
1 : 2
Tanzania W
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Morocco W 3
Mali W 1
Algeria W 0
Ghana W 1
Nigeria W 5
Zambia W 0
South Africa W 1
Senegal W 0
Semi-finals
Morocco W 2
Ghana W 1
Nigeria W 2
South Africa W 1
Final
Morocco W 2
Nigeria W 3
Ghana W 2
South Africa W 1