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Ghana W vs South Africa W

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations Women 2024 Stade Larbi Zaouli
Fri, Jul 25, 2025
2 - 1
07:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Mthandi N.
46'
Sub
Mogolola R. In: Jane R.
Out: Mogolola R.
46'
Sub
Boaduwaa D. In: Adubea P.
Out: Boaduwaa D.

AI Match Summary

The Africa Cup of Nations Women 2024 game between Ghana W and South Africa W finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ghana W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Ghana W
6%
Draws
4%
South Africa W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Ghana W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • South Africa W has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Ghana W.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Ghana W.
  • Cup tournament structure in Africa Cup of Nations Women 2024 increases high-stakes performance focus.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Ghana W Clean Sheet 68%
South Africa W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ghana W South Africa W
Matches Played 28 42
Wins 15 27
Draws 3 6
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 2.38 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.25 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.25 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2025 Africa Cup of Nations Women
Ghana W vs South Africa W
2:1
Jul 7, 2025 Africa Cup of Nations Women
South Africa W vs Ghana W
2:0
Sep 17, 2021 Friendly International Women
South Africa W vs Ghana W
3:0
Nov 11, 2018 Friendly International Women
Ghana W vs South Africa W
1:0
Dec 2, 2016 Africa Cup of Nations Women
Ghana W vs South Africa W
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ghana W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

South Africa W Compare

Top Goalscorer Mthandi N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ghana W 95 / 100
South Africa W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ghana W South Africa W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GHA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ghana W scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

South Africa W let in goals in 40% of their last 42 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Ghana W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

South Africa W lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ghana W VS South Africa W
2.38 Goals Scored 1.5
0.25 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Morocco W3
Mali W1
Algeria W0
Ghana W1
Nigeria W5
Zambia W0
South Africa W1
Senegal W0
Semi-finals
Morocco W2
Ghana W1
Nigeria W2
South Africa W1
Final
Morocco W2
Nigeria W3
Ghana W2
South Africa W1