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Gharb vs Xghajra - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Malta Malta

FA Trophy 2018/2019
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Attard C.
22' Event
Attard C.
63' Event
Degiorgio R.

AI Match Summary

Gharb in this FA Trophy 2018/2019 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Gharb
15%
Draws
42%
Xghajra
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gharb

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Gharb average 1 goals a game right now, well clear of Xghajra's 0.6.
  • Win probability leans Xghajra's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Gharb, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 46.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Gharb Clean Sheet 10%
Xghajra Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gharb Xghajra
Matches Played 7 30
Wins 2 2
Draws 0 1
Losses 5 27
Goals Scored 1 0.6
Goals Conceded 3.57 3.17
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.91
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2018 FA Trophy
Gharb vs Xghajra
2:1
Sep 3, 2016 FA Trophy
Xghajra vs Gharb
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gharb Compare

Top Goalscorer Attard C.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Xghajra Compare

Top Goalscorer Degiorgio R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.74
Avg xA / game 1.06

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gharb 18 / 100
Xghajra 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gharb Xghajra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Xghajra Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Xghajra has conceded goals in 100% of their last 30 outings.

Attacking prowess: Gharb scored in 71% of their last 7 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Away concern: Xghajra has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Gharb VS Xghajra
1 Goals Scored 0.25
3.57 Goals Conceded 3
100% Over 1.5 75%
86% Over 2.5 63%
43% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Gharb

(Home)
15 Sept
Gharb
0 : 2
Xewkija
28 Oct
Mdina
2 : 1
Gharb
06 Sept
Gharb
2 : 1
Xghajra
09 Sept
Nadur
7 : 1
Gharb
03 Sept
Xghajra
1 : 2
Gharb
Page 1 of 2

Xghajra

(Away)
28 Oct
Pembroke
3 : 0
Xghajra
06 Sept
Gharb
2 : 1
Xghajra
22 Oct
Xewkija
5 : 2
Xghajra
11 Sept
Xghajra
2 : 1
Msida
03 Sept
Xghajra
4 : 1
St. Lawrence
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Balzan FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sannat Lions 2
Xbiex 0
Marsaskala FC 0
Dingli Swallows 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Qrendi -
Gudja -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sirens -
Mqabba FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ghajnsielem 8
Oratory 0
TBD -
Xewkija -
Zebbug -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Marsaxlokk -
Santa Lucia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Birzebbuga -
Vittoriosa -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kercem Ajax -
TBD -
TBD -
Kirkop -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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Tarxien -
Mosta FC -
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Senglea -
St. Andrews -
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Sliema -
Hamrun -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Floriana -
Nadur 4
Munxar 0
TBD -
Zurrieq -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Zabbar -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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Birkirkara -
Gzira -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Luqa -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rabat Ajax -
Siggiewi -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Attard -
TBD -
Msida 0
Victoria Hotspurs 8
Swieqi -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Melita -
Zejtun -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Naxxar Lions -
St. Venera -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Pembroke -
Mdina -
TBD -
TBD -
Zebbug Rovers -
Xghajra -
TBD -
TBD -
Gharb -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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Pieta -
Hibernians -
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Qormi -
San Gwann -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Mgarr -
Ghaxaq 2
St. Lawrence 0
Mtarfa 0
Victoria Wanderers 10
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Fgura -
Lija -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
St. George's FC -
Kalkara -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Mellieha -
Marsa -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Xaghra -
TBD -
Qala Saints 1
Gharghur 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Valletta -
1/64-finals
Balzan FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sannat Lions 2
Dingli Swallows 1
TBD -
Qrendi -
Gudja -
TBD -
TBD -
Sirens -
Mqabba FC -
TBD -
Ghajnsielem 0
Xewkija 2
Zebbug -
TBD -
TBD -
Marsaxlokk -
Santa Lucia -
TBD -
TBD -
Birzebbuga -
Vittoriosa -
TBD -
Kercem Ajax 1
Kirkop 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tarxien -
Mosta FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Senglea -
St. Andrews -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sliema -
Hamrun -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Floriana -
Nadur 4
Zurrieq 0
TBD -
Zabbar -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Birkirkara -
Gzira -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Luqa -
TBD -
TBD -
Rabat Ajax -
Siggiewi -
TBD -
Attard 1
Victoria Hotspurs 4
Swieqi -
TBD -
TBD -
Melita -
Zejtun -
TBD -
TBD -
Naxxar Lions -
St. Venera -
TBD -
TBD -
Pembroke -
Mdina 1
Zebbug Rovers 0
Xghajra 1
Gharb 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Pieta -
Hibernians -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Qormi -
San Gwann -
TBD -
TBD -
Mgarr -
Ghaxaq 1
Victoria Wanderers 0
TBD -
Fgura -
Lija -
TBD -
TBD -
St. George's FC -
Kalkara -
TBD -
TBD -
Mellieha -
Marsa -
TBD -
Xaghra 1
Gharghur 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Valletta -
1/32-finals
Balzan FC -
TBD -
Sannat Lions 0
Qrendi 3
Gudja 2
Sirens 1
Mqabba FC 1
Xewkija 6
Zebbug 1
Marsaxlokk 0
Santa Lucia 2
Birzebbuga 3
Vittoriosa 2
Kirkop 1
TBD -
Tarxien -
Mosta FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Senglea -
St. Andrews -
TBD -
TBD -
Sliema -
Hamrun -
TBD -
TBD -
Floriana -
Nadur 7
Zabbar 0
TBD -
Birkirkara -
Gzira -
TBD -
Luqa 0
Rabat Ajax 5
Siggiewi 2
Victoria Hotspurs 1
Swieqi 0
Melita 1
Zejtun 2
Naxxar Lions 1
St. Venera 0
Pembroke 3
Mdina 2
Gharb 1
TBD -
Pieta -
Hibernians -
TBD -
TBD -
Qormi -
San Gwann 2
Mgarr 1
Ghaxaq 1
Fgura 4
Lija 4
St. George's FC 0
Kalkara 0
Mellieha 2
Marsa 5
Gharghur 1
TBD -
Valletta -
1/16-finals
Balzan FC 5
Qrendi 1
Gudja 1
Xewkija 2
Zebbug 5
Birzebbuga 0
Vittoriosa 0
Tarxien 3
Mosta FC 3
Senglea 2
St. Andrews 0
Sliema 2
Hamrun 1
Floriana 0
Nadur 0
Birkirkara 4
Gzira 4
Rabat Ajax 0
Siggiewi 1
Melita 3
Zejtun 2
Pembroke 0
Mdina 1
Pieta 4
Hibernians 5
Qormi 1
San Gwann 0
Fgura 1
Lija 5
Mellieha 0
Marsa 0
Valletta 3
1/8-finals
Balzan FC 6
Xewkija 1
Zebbug 0
Tarxien 5
Mosta FC 2
Sliema 1
Hamrun 1
Birkirkara 2
Gzira 4
Melita 2
Zejtun 0
Pieta 2
Hibernians 4
Fgura 0
Lija 1
Valletta 7
Quarter-finals
Balzan FC 2
Tarxien 0
Mosta FC 1
Birkirkara 2
Gzira 2
Pieta 1
Hibernians 2
Valletta 3
Semi-finals
Balzan FC 3
Birkirkara 2
Gzira 0
Valletta 2
Final
Balzan FC 5
Valletta 4