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Gharghur vs Qormi

Malta Malta

Division 1 2016/2017
Gharghur Logo

Gharghur

1 - 1
FT
Qormi Logo

Qormi

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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Division 1 2016/2017 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Gharghur
15%
Draws
0%
Qormi
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gharghur

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Gharghur lately — more wins on the board than Qormi.
  • Win probability leans Gharghur's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Division 1 2016/2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Gharghur Clean Sheet 20%
Qormi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gharghur Qormi
Matches Played 30 26
Wins 6 2
Draws 5 5
Losses 19 19
Goals Scored 1.37 0.69
Goals Conceded 2.63 2.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.73 0.74
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 19, 2017 Challenge League
Gharghur vs Qormi
1:1
Nov 25, 2016 Challenge League
Qormi vs Gharghur
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gharghur 85 / 100
Qormi 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gharghur Qormi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gharghur Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Qormi conceded in 96% of 26 recent games.

Qormi's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: Gharghur scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

- VS Qormi
0 Goals Scored 0.38
0 Goals Conceded 2.25
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Gharghur

(Home)
26 Oct
Rabat Ajax
4 : 1
Gharghur
14 Sept
Sannat Lions
0 : 1
Gharghur
27 Oct
Marsa
5 : 1
Gharghur
09 Sept
Gharghur
3 : 1
Xaghra
02 Sept
Qala Saints
1 : 3
Gharghur
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Qormi

(Away)
07 Dec
Qormi
1 : 4
Balzan FC
07 Mar
Zebbug
6 : 2
Qormi
27 Feb
Qormi
0 : 3
St. Andrews
20 Feb
San Gwann
5 : 2
Qormi
15 Feb
Qormi
1 : 5
Marsa
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lija 26 16 6 4 63:34 54
2 Senglea 26 16 5 5 57:21 53
3 Naxxar Lions 26 16 3 7 57:37 51
4 Qormi 26 13 7 6 36:26 46
5 Mqabba FC 26 13 5 8 39:32 44
6 Pieta 26 13 2 11 48:38 41
7 Vittoriosa 26 12 4 10 50:37 40
8 Sirens 26 10 4 12 40:44 34
9 Melita 26 8 7 11 29:39 31
10 Zebbug 26 8 6 12 40:47 30
11 Rabat Ajax 26 7 6 13 33:54 27
12 Marsa 26 7 4 15 35:49 25
13 Gharghur 26 4 6 16 30:65 18
14 Fgura 26 3 7 16 20:54 16
Promotion - Premier League 2017/2018 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League 2017/2018 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League 2017/2018 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 2016/2017 (Play Offs)