Sport Picks

Malta

FA Trophy 2014/2015

Gharghur

2 - 1

St. Lawrence

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Gharghur in this FA Trophy 2014/2015 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%

Gharghur

15%

Draws

21%

St. Lawrence

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gharghur

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence

Form's been kind to Gharghur lately — more wins on the board than St. Lawrence.
64% — that's where the model lands on Gharghur taking it.
Gharghur have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Gharghur, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 94%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 52.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 24%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%

Gharghur Clean Sheet 18%

St. Lawrence Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Gharghur	St. Lawrence
Matches Played	31	12
Wins	7	4
Draws	5	0
Losses	19	8
Goals Scored	1.39	1.17
Goals Conceded	2.58	2.58
Expected Goals (xG)	2.46	1.35
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 25, 2014 FA Trophy

Gharghur vs St. Lawrence

2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gharghur 85 / 100

St. Lawrence 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Gharghur St. Lawrence

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gharghur Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gharghur found the back of the net in 65% of recent matches (31 games).

St. Lawrence's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 12 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Gharghur went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gharghur VS St. Lawrence

1.25 Goals Scored 0.33

2.38 Goals Conceded 3.67

88% Over 1.5 100%

63% Over 2.5 67%

38% Over 3.5 67%

Recent Form & Match History

Gharghur

(Home)

26 Oct

Rabat Ajax

4 : 1

Gharghur

14 Sept

Sannat Lions

0 : 1

Gharghur

27 Oct

Marsa

5 : 1

Gharghur

09 Sept

Gharghur

3 : 1

Xaghra

02 Sept

Qala Saints

1 : 3

Gharghur

Page 1 of 7

St. Lawrence

(Away)

09 Sept

St. Lawrence

0 : 5

Xewkija

01 Sept

St. Lawrence

0 : 2

Ghaxaq

03 Sept

Xghajra

4 : 1

St. Lawrence

23 Oct

Lija

5 : 0

St. Lawrence

10 Sept

St. Lawrence

3 : 0

Zurrieq

Page 1 of 3

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/64-finals

Birkirkara -

TBD -

Vittoriosa -

TBD -

Hamrun -

Zurrieq -

TBD -

Dingli Swallows -

Xghajra -

TBD -

Siggiewi -

Victoria Hotspurs 2

Xbiex 1

TBD -

Mellieha -

TBD -

Zebbug -

Pembroke -

TBD -

Rabat Ajax -

TBD -

Pieta -

Mosta FC -

TBD -

Mqabba FC -

TBD -

Senglea -

Swieqi -

TBD -

Mgarr 1

Kalkara 4

Ghaxaq -

TBD -

Gzira -

Melita -

TBD -

Zejtun -

TBD -

Naxxar Lions -

Birzebbuga -

TBD -

Attard 0

Kercem Ajax 3

TBD -

Valletta -

Qormi -

TBD -

St. Venera 2

Marsaskala FC 0

Marsaxlokk 0

Qrendi 2

Sliema -

TBD -

Floriana -

Gudja -

TBD -

Ghajnsielem 0

Mtarfa 2

TBD -

Tarxien -

Lija -

TBD -

Luqa 3

Oratory 4

San Gwann -

TBD -

Sirens -

Balzan FC -

TBD -

Victoria Wanderers 3

Munxar 0

Xewkija 0

Kirkop 1

Msida -

TBD -

Marsa -

Santa Lucia 3

Qala Saints 2

TBD -

Zabbar -

Nadur 5

Xaghra 0

TBD -

Fgura -

St. Lawrence 2

Mdina 0

TBD -

Gharghur -

St. George's FC -

TBD -

St. Andrews -

TBD -

Hibernians -

1/32-finals

Birkirkara -

TBD -

Vittoriosa 2

Hamrun 3

Zurrieq 2

Dingli Swallows 1

Xghajra 1

Siggiewi 2

Victoria Hotspurs 5

Mellieha 1

TBD -

Zebbug -

Pembroke 2

Rabat Ajax 1

TBD -

Pieta -

Mosta FC -

TBD -

Mqabba FC 2

Senglea 3

Swieqi 7

Kalkara 0

Ghaxaq 0

Gzira 8

Melita 1

Zejtun 0

TBD -

Naxxar Lions -

Birzebbuga 3

Kercem Ajax 2

TBD -

Valletta -

Qormi -

TBD -

St. Venera 1

Qrendi 2

Sliema -

TBD -

Floriana -

Gudja 4

Mtarfa 0

TBD -

Tarxien -

Lija 7

Oratory 0

San Gwann 1

Sirens 2

Balzan FC -

TBD -

Victoria Wanderers 0

Kirkop 2

Msida 4

Marsa 1

Santa Lucia 1

Zabbar 2

Nadur 2

Fgura 1

St. Lawrence 1

Gharghur 2

St. George's FC 3

St. Andrews 2

TBD -

Hibernians -

1/16-finals

Birkirkara 7

Hamrun 1

Zurrieq 2

Siggiewi 5

Victoria Hotspurs 3

Zebbug 0

Pembroke 0

Pieta 1

Mosta FC 6

Senglea 1

Swieqi 0

Gzira 6

Melita 2

Naxxar Lions 1

Birzebbuga 1

Valletta 7

Qormi 3

Qrendi 0

Sliema 0

Floriana 1

Gudja 3

Tarxien 0

Lija 0

Sirens 1

Balzan FC 2

Kirkop 0

Msida 1

Zabbar 2

Nadur 4

Gharghur 1

St. George's FC 0

Hibernians 2

1/8-finals

Birkirkara 3

Siggiewi 0

Victoria Hotspurs 0

Pieta 1

Mosta FC 4

Gzira 1

Melita 0

Valletta 2

Qormi 3

Floriana 1

Gudja 0

Sirens 6

Balzan FC 6

Zabbar 0

Nadur 1

Hibernians 3

Quarter-finals

Birkirkara 3

Pieta 0

Mosta FC 1

Valletta 3

Qormi 7

Sirens 0

Balzan FC 1

Hibernians 2

Semi-finals

Birkirkara 1

Valletta 0

Qormi 0

Hibernians 2

Final

Birkirkara 2

Hibernians 0

Gharghur vs St. Lawrence

Malta

Gharghur

St. Lawrence

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Gharghur

St. Lawrence

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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