Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Gharghur vs Tarxien

Malta Malta

FA Trophy 2016/2017
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Tabone M.
37' Event
Lecao
52' Event
Galea J.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-6, with Tarxien advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Gharghur
15%
Draws
49%
Tarxien
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tarxien

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Tarxien carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Tarxien are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Tarxien arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Tarxien, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Gharghur Clean Sheet 20%
Tarxien Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gharghur Tarxien
Matches Played 31 37
Wins 7 12
Draws 5 8
Losses 19 17
Goals Scored 1.39 1.57
Goals Conceded 2.58 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 13, 2016 FA Trophy
Gharghur vs Tarxien
0:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gharghur Compare

Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

Tarxien Compare

Top Goalscorer Lecao
2 Goals
Assists Leader Tabone M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.78
Avg xA / game 0.48

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gharghur 10 / 100
Tarxien 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gharghur Tarxien

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tarxien Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Tarxien conceded in 84% of 37 recent games.

Games between these two average 6.00 goals.

Gharghur's goal record stands at 65% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Recent resilience: Gharghur stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Tarxien
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Gharghur

(Home)
26 Oct
Rabat Ajax
4 : 1
Gharghur
14 Sept
Sannat Lions
0 : 1
Gharghur
27 Oct
Marsa
5 : 1
Gharghur
09 Sept
Gharghur
3 : 1
Xaghra
02 Sept
Qala Saints
1 : 3
Gharghur
Page 1 of 7

Tarxien

(Away)
20 Sept
Tarxien
3 : 1
Attard
13 Sept
Mgarr
1 : 3
Tarxien
10 May
Zabbar
2 : 0
Tarxien
05 May
Zabbar
2 : 3
Tarxien
30 Apr
Tarxien
2 : 1
Sliema
Page 1 of 8

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Victoria Wanderers -
TBD -
TBD -
St. Venera -
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Melita -
Zabbar -
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Mgarr -
Birkirkara -
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St. Andrews -
Marsa -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Santa Lucia -
TBD -
TBD -
Kercem Ajax -
Qormi -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Qala Saints -
TBD -
TBD -
Xewkija -
Sirens -
TBD -
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Rabat Ajax -
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Pembroke -
Hamrun -
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Ghaxaq -
TBD -
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Gharb 2
Xghajra 1
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Nadur -
Siggiewi -
TBD -
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St. George's FC -
Msida -
TBD -
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Luqa -
TBD -
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Mqabba FC -
Ghajnsielem -
TBD -
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Kalkara -
TBD -
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Naxxar Lions -
Zejtun -
TBD -
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Mdina -
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Victoria Hotspurs -
Birzebbuga -
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Mellieha -
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Floriana -
Tarxien -
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Munxar -
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Xbiex -
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Gharghur -
Pieta -
TBD -
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TBD -
Marsaskala FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Kirkop -
St. Lawrence -
TBD -
TBD -
Zurrieq -
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TBD -
TBD -
Lija -
Valletta -
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Marsaxlokk -
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San Gwann -
Zebbug -
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Fgura -
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Balzan FC -
Senglea -
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Mtarfa -
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Xaghra -
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Hibernians -
Gzira -
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Attard -
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Vittoriosa -
Qrendi -
TBD -
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Dingli Swallows -
TBD -
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Oratory -
Gudja -
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Swieqi -
Mosta FC -
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Sliema -
1/64-finals
Victoria Wanderers 3
St. Venera 0
TBD -
Melita -
Zabbar -
TBD -
TBD -
Mgarr -
Birkirkara -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
St. Andrews -
Marsa -
TBD -
Santa Lucia 0
Kercem Ajax 3
Qormi -
TBD -
Qala Saints 0
Xewkija 6
Sirens -
TBD -
TBD -
Rabat Ajax -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Pembroke -
Hamrun -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ghaxaq -
TBD -
Gharb 1
Nadur 7
Siggiewi -
TBD -
TBD -
St. George's FC -
Msida 1
Luqa 0
TBD -
Mqabba FC -
Ghajnsielem 3
Kalkara 2
TBD -
Naxxar Lions -
Zejtun -
TBD -
Mdina 1
Victoria Hotspurs 5
Birzebbuga -
TBD -
TBD -
Mellieha -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Floriana -
Tarxien -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Munxar 2
Xbiex 0
TBD -
Gharghur -
Pieta -
TBD -
Marsaskala FC 0
Kirkop 4
St. Lawrence 3
Zurrieq 0
TBD -
Lija -
Valletta -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Marsaxlokk -
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San Gwann -
Zebbug -
TBD -
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Fgura -
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Balzan FC -
Senglea -
TBD -
Mtarfa 0
Xaghra 7
TBD -
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Hibernians -
Gzira -
TBD -
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Attard -
TBD -
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Vittoriosa -
Qrendi -
TBD -
Dingli Swallows 0
Oratory 5
Gudja -
TBD -
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Swieqi -
Mosta FC -
TBD -
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Sliema -
1/32-finals
Victoria Wanderers 2
Melita 1
Zabbar 1
Mgarr 2
Birkirkara -
TBD -
TBD -
St. Andrews -
Marsa 4
Kercem Ajax 3
Qormi 1
Xewkija 4
Sirens 2
Rabat Ajax 1
TBD -
Pembroke -
Hamrun -
TBD -
Ghaxaq 0
Nadur 4
Siggiewi 3
St. George's FC 2
Msida 0
Mqabba FC 1
Ghajnsielem 4
Naxxar Lions 1
Zejtun 1
Victoria Hotspurs 2
Birzebbuga 3
Mellieha 2
TBD -
Floriana -
Tarxien -
TBD -
Munxar 0
Gharghur 8
Pieta 1
Kirkop 0
St. Lawrence 0
Lija 5
Valletta -
TBD -
Marsaxlokk 0
San Gwann 4
Zebbug 2
Fgura 0
TBD -
Balzan FC -
Senglea 7
Xaghra 1
TBD -
Hibernians -
Gzira -
TBD -
Attard 1
Vittoriosa 5
Qrendi 2
Oratory 1
Gudja 0
Swieqi 3
Mosta FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Sliema -
1/16-finals
Victoria Wanderers 5
Mgarr 0
Birkirkara 0
St. Andrews 3
Marsa 3
Xewkija 2
Sirens 1
Pembroke 2
Hamrun 2
Nadur 0
Siggiewi 0
Mqabba FC 2
Ghajnsielem 3
Victoria Hotspurs 2
Birzebbuga 0
Floriana 5
Tarxien 6
Gharghur 0
Pieta 0
Lija 2
Valletta 1
San Gwann 0
Zebbug 1
Balzan FC 3
Senglea 3
Hibernians 2
Gzira 2
Vittoriosa 3
Qrendi 1
Swieqi 0
Mosta FC 2
Sliema 3
1/8-finals
Victoria Wanderers 1
St. Andrews 0
Marsa 1
Pembroke 2
Hamrun 1
Mqabba FC 0
Ghajnsielem 1
Floriana 4
Tarxien 3
Lija 0
Valletta 0
Balzan FC 1
Senglea 2
Vittoriosa 1
Qrendi 0
Sliema 5
Quarter-finals
Victoria Wanderers 2
Pembroke 0
Hamrun 0
Floriana 2
Tarxien 2
Balzan FC 1
Senglea 0
Sliema 1
Semi-finals
Victoria Wanderers 1
Floriana 3
Tarxien 0
Sliema 3
Final
Floriana 2
Sliema 0