Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Gharghur vs Vittoriosa

Malta Malta

FA Trophy 2017/2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Vittoriosa in this FA Trophy 2017/2018 tie, finishing 1-7. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Gharghur
15%
Draws
37%
Vittoriosa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gharghur

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Vittoriosa lately — more wins on the board than Gharghur.
  • Vittoriosa are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Vittoriosa arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Vittoriosa, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Vittoriosa here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Gharghur Clean Sheet 19%
Vittoriosa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gharghur Vittoriosa
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 6 9
Draws 5 9
Losses 19 15
Goals Scored 1.37 1.39
Goals Conceded 2.63 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 21, 2017 FA Trophy
Gharghur vs Vittoriosa
1:7
Apr 24, 2017 Challenge League
Gharghur vs Vittoriosa
3:5
Dec 17, 2016 Challenge League
Vittoriosa vs Gharghur
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gharghur 12 / 100
Vittoriosa 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gharghur Vittoriosa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vittoriosa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 6.33 goals when they meet.

Gharghur found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Vittoriosa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 33 matches.

Solid form: Gharghur remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Vittoriosa
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 2.13
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Gharghur

(Home)
26 Oct
Rabat Ajax
4 : 1
Gharghur
14 Sept
Sannat Lions
0 : 1
Gharghur
27 Oct
Marsa
5 : 1
Gharghur
09 Sept
Gharghur
3 : 1
Xaghra
02 Sept
Qala Saints
1 : 3
Gharghur
Page 1 of 6

Vittoriosa

(Away)
19 Sept
Vittoriosa
2 : 0
Gudja
12 Sept
Santa Lucia
0 : 0
Vittoriosa
18 Apr
Vittoriosa
2 : 3
Gudja
11 Apr
Vittoriosa
0 : 1
Zebbug
01 Apr
Mtarfa
0 : 1
Vittoriosa
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Birkirkara -
TBD -
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Marsa -
TBD -
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Santa Lucia -
Melita -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kirkop -
TBD -
TBD -
Ghajnsielem -
St. George's FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
San Gwann -
Kercem Ajax -
TBD -
Ghaxaq 0
Oratory 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Attard -
Sirens -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Zebbug -
Qormi -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Fgura -
Zurrieq -
TBD -
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Qala Saints -
TBD -
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Qrendi -
Hibernians -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Birzebbuga -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nadur 4
Xaghra 1
TBD -
Victoria Hotspurs -
Vittoriosa -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gharghur -
Xghajra 4
St. Lawrence 1
TBD -
Msida -
Victoria Wanderers -
TBD -
Marsaskala FC 1
Xewkija 4
Hamrun -
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Gzira -
St. Andrews -
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Sliema -
Valletta -
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Senglea -
Siggiewi -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
Luqa -
Pembroke -
TBD -
TBD -
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Pieta -
Mosta FC -
TBD -
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Mgarr -
TBD -
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Mqabba FC -
Marsaxlokk -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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Zabbar -
Dingli Swallows -
TBD -
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Mtarfa -
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Zejtun -
Lija -
TBD -
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St. Venera -
TBD -
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Xbiex -
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Kalkara -
Swieqi -
TBD -
TBD -
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Mdina -
TBD -
Munxar 3
Mellieha 4
TBD -
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Tarxien -
Naxxar Lions -
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Floriana -
Gudja -
TBD -
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Rabat Ajax -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Balzan FC -
1/64-finals
Birkirkara -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Marsa -
TBD -
TBD -
Santa Lucia -
Melita -
TBD -
Kirkop 2
Ghajnsielem 3
St. George's FC -
TBD -
TBD -
San Gwann -
Kercem Ajax 5
Oratory 4
TBD -
Attard -
Sirens -
TBD -
TBD -
Zebbug -
Qormi -
TBD -
TBD -
Fgura -
Zurrieq 3
Qala Saints 1
TBD -
Qrendi -
Hibernians -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Birzebbuga -
TBD -
Nadur 0
Victoria Hotspurs 1
Vittoriosa -
TBD -
TBD -
Gharghur -
Xghajra 2
Msida 1
Victoria Wanderers 1
Xewkija 4
Hamrun -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gzira -
St. Andrews -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
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Sliema -
Valletta -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Senglea -
Siggiewi -
TBD -
TBD -
Luqa -
Pembroke -
TBD -
TBD -
Pieta -
Mosta FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Mgarr -
TBD -
TBD -
Mqabba FC -
Marsaxlokk -
TBD -
TBD -
Zabbar -
Dingli Swallows 3
Mtarfa 1
TBD -
Zejtun -
Lija -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
St. Venera 4
Xbiex 1
TBD -
Kalkara -
Swieqi -
TBD -
Mdina 2
Mellieha 3
TBD -
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Tarxien -
Naxxar Lions -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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Floriana -
Gudja -
TBD -
TBD -
Rabat Ajax -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Balzan FC -
1/32-finals
Birkirkara -
TBD -
Marsa 0
Santa Lucia 4
Melita 4
Ghajnsielem 3
St. George's FC 0
San Gwann 2
Kercem Ajax 2
Attard 0
Sirens 1
Zebbug 3
Qormi 4
Fgura 1
Zurrieq 1
Qrendi 4
Hibernians -
TBD -
Birzebbuga 0
Victoria Hotspurs 4
Vittoriosa 7
Gharghur 1
Xghajra 2
Xewkija 5
Hamrun -
TBD -
TBD -
Gzira -
St. Andrews -
TBD -
TBD -
Sliema -
Valletta -
TBD -
TBD -
Senglea -
Siggiewi 4
Luqa 2
Pembroke 1
Pieta 3
Mosta FC -
TBD -
Mgarr 0
Mqabba FC 3
Marsaxlokk 5
Zabbar 0
Dingli Swallows 0
Zejtun 5
Lija -
TBD -
St. Venera 1
Kalkara 2
Swieqi 2
Mellieha 1
TBD -
Tarxien -
Naxxar Lions -
TBD -
TBD -
Floriana -
Gudja 3
Rabat Ajax 0
TBD -
Balzan FC -
1/16-finals
Birkirkara 5
Santa Lucia 0
Melita 0
San Gwann 3
Kercem Ajax 5
Zebbug 1
Qormi 0
Qrendi 2
Hibernians 2
Victoria Hotspurs 1
Vittoriosa 0
Xewkija 4
Hamrun 1
Gzira 0
St. Andrews 1
Sliema 3
Valletta 2
Senglea 0
Siggiewi 2
Pieta 3
Mosta FC 2
Mqabba FC 1
Marsaxlokk 0
Zejtun 3
Lija 4
Kalkara 0
Swieqi 0
Tarxien 3
Naxxar Lions 3
Floriana 1
Gudja 1
Balzan FC 4
1/8-finals
Birkirkara 2
San Gwann 1
Kercem Ajax 3
Qrendi 4
Hibernians 3
Xewkija 0
Hamrun 0
Sliema 1
Valletta 1
Pieta 0
Mosta FC 1
Zejtun 2
Lija 2
Tarxien 1
Naxxar Lions 0
Balzan FC 2
Quarter-finals
Birkirkara 3
Qrendi 0
Hibernians 0
Sliema 1
Valletta 2
Zejtun 0
Lija 1
Balzan FC 3
Semi-finals
Birkirkara 2
Sliema 1
Valletta 2
Balzan FC 1
Final
Birkirkara 1
Valletta 2