Sport Picks

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Gharghur vs Vittoriosa

Malta Malta

Division 1 2016/2017
Gharghur Logo

Gharghur

3 - 5
FT
Vittoriosa Logo

Vittoriosa

Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
43' Event
52' Event
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Vittoriosa in this Division 1 2016/2017 matchup, with the score ending 3-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vittoriosa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Gharghur
15%
Draws
37%
Vittoriosa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gharghur

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Vittoriosa lately — more wins on the board than Gharghur.
  • Vittoriosa are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Division 1 2016/2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Vittoriosa here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Gharghur Clean Sheet 19%
Vittoriosa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gharghur Vittoriosa
Matches Played 31 37
Wins 7 12
Draws 5 9
Losses 19 16
Goals Scored 1.39 1.43
Goals Conceded 2.58 1.46
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 21, 2017 FA Trophy
Gharghur vs Vittoriosa
1:7
Apr 24, 2017 Challenge League
Gharghur vs Vittoriosa
3:5
Dec 17, 2016 Challenge League
Vittoriosa vs Gharghur
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gharghur 12 / 100
Vittoriosa 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gharghur Vittoriosa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vittoriosa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 6.33 goals per match.

Gharghur's goal record stands at 65% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Vittoriosa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 37 matches.

Gharghur has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Vittoriosa
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 2.13
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Gharghur

(Home)
26 Oct
Rabat Ajax
4 : 1
Gharghur
14 Sept
Sannat Lions
0 : 1
Gharghur
27 Oct
Marsa
5 : 1
Gharghur
09 Sept
Gharghur
3 : 1
Xaghra
02 Sept
Qala Saints
1 : 3
Gharghur
Page 1 of 7

Vittoriosa

(Away)
19 Sept
Vittoriosa
2 : 0
Gudja
12 Sept
Santa Lucia
0 : 0
Vittoriosa
18 Apr
Vittoriosa
2 : 3
Gudja
11 Apr
Vittoriosa
0 : 1
Zebbug
01 Apr
Mtarfa
0 : 1
Vittoriosa
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lija 26 16 6 4 63:34 54
2 Senglea 26 16 5 5 57:21 53
3 Naxxar Lions 26 16 3 7 57:37 51
4 Qormi 26 13 7 6 36:26 46
5 Mqabba FC 26 13 5 8 39:32 44
6 Pieta 26 13 2 11 48:38 41
7 Vittoriosa 26 12 4 10 50:37 40
8 Sirens 26 10 4 12 40:44 34
9 Melita 26 8 7 11 29:39 31
10 Zebbug 26 8 6 12 40:47 30
11 Rabat Ajax 26 7 6 13 33:54 27
12 Marsa 26 7 4 15 35:49 25
13 Gharghur 26 4 6 16 30:65 18
14 Fgura 26 3 7 16 20:54 16
Promotion - Premier League 2017/2018 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League 2017/2018 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League 2017/2018 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 2016/2017 (Play Offs)