Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ghazl El Mahallah vs Al Ittihad Alexandria - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Egypt Egypt

Egypt Cup El-Gazel Stadium, El Mahalla El Kubra
Ghazl El Mahallah Logo

Ghazl El Mahallah

1 - 2
FT
Al Ittihad Alexandria Logo

Al Ittihad Alexandria

Our Tip

Match Events

75' Event
Ebuka J.
(Penalty)
80' Event
Ebuka J.
85' Event
Arfaoui R.
Assist: Yehia A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. This leg finished 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Ghazl El Mahallah
20%
Draws
40%
Al Ittihad Alexandria
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Ghazl El Mahallah haven't matched Al Ittihad Alexandria's recent run of results.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Al Ittihad Alexandria arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Ghazl El Mahallah, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Ghazl El Mahallah Clean Sheet 16%
Al Ittihad Alexandria Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ghazl El Mahallah Al Ittihad Alexandria
Matches Played 34 33
Wins 8 13
Draws 13 11
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 0.85 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.18 0.85
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 4, 2026 Egypt Cup
Ghazl El Mahallah vs Al Ittihad Alexandria
1:2
Oct 21, 2026 Premier League
Ghazl El Mahallah vs Al Ittihad Alexandria
2:1
May 18, 2026 Premier League
Ghazl El Mahallah vs Al Ittihad Alexandria
1:0
Mar 2, 2026 Premier League
Al Ittihad Alexandria vs Ghazl El Mahallah
2:0
May 10, 2025 Premier League
Al Ittihad Alexandria vs Ghazl El Mahallah
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ghazl El Mahallah Compare

Top Goalscorer Arfaoui R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Al Ittihad Alexandria Compare

Top Goalscorer Ebuka J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ghazl El Mahallah 36 / 100
Al Ittihad Alexandria 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ghazl El Mahallah Al Ittihad Alexandria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Ittihad Alexandria Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Ghazl El Mahallah remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Ghazl El Mahallah's goal record stands at 56% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

Al Ittihad Alexandria has conceded goals in 52% of their last 33 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ghazl El Mahallah VS Al Ittihad Alexandria
0.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ghazl El Mahallah

(Home)
04 Nov
Ghazl El Mahallah
1 : 2
Al Ittihad Alexandria
31 Oct
Abu Qir Semad
0 : 1
Ghazl El Mahallah
21 Oct
Ghazl El Mahallah
2 : 1
Al Ittihad Alexandria
12 Oct
Smouha
1 : 0
Ghazl El Mahallah
08 Oct
Ghazl El Mahallah
1 : 1
Abu Qir Semad
Page 1 of 7

Al Ittihad Alexandria

(Away)
04 Nov
Ghazl El Mahallah
1 : 2
Al Ittihad Alexandria
30 Oct
Al Ittihad Alexandria
0 : 0
El Gaish
21 Oct
Ghazl El Mahallah
2 : 1
Al Ittihad Alexandria
13 Oct
Al Ittihad Alexandria
2 : 1
El Gouna
08 Oct
Al Ittihad Alexandria
0 : 1
Wadi Degla
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Pyramids -
El Daklyeh -
National Bank Egypt 4
Bur Fouad 1
Al Masry -
Misr Lel Makkasa -
El Gaish -
Asyut Petroleum -
ZED FC -
Samanod -
Smouha 1
El Minya 0
Wadi Degla -
Kahrabaa Ismailia -
Ceramica Cleopatra -
Abu Qir Semad -
Zamalek -
Misr Insurance -
Enppi -
Proxy -
El Gouna 4
Ittihad El-Shorta 1
Ghazl El Mahallah 1
Al Ittihad Alexandria 2
Al Ahly -
Al Sekka -
Petrojet -
Delphi SC -
Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon) -
WE Sports Club -
Modern Sport -
Al Qanah -
1/8-finals
TBD -
National Bank Egypt -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
El Gouna -
Al Ittihad Alexandria -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -