Sport Picks
Ghiviborgo vs Grosseto - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Italy
Serie D - Group E 2025/2026 
Match Events
7'
7'
Marzierli E.
25'
25'
Riccobono G.
57'
57'
Fiorani M.
AI Match Summary
The Serie D - Group E 2025/2026 game between Ghiviborgo and Grosseto finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Grosseto.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
8%
30%
62%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Grosseto
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
62%
/ High Confidence
- Ghiviborgo haven't matched Grosseto's recent run of results.
- 62% — that's where the model lands on Grosseto taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 26%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Ghiviborgo Clean Sheet 14%
Grosseto Clean Sheet 18%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ghiviborgo | Grosseto |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 4 | 12 |
| Draws | 9 | 9 |
| Losses | 16 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 0.9 | 1.43 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.52 | 1.04 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.78 | 1.59 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 2, 2026 Serie D - Group E
Ghiviborgo vs Grosseto
0:3
Dec 21, 2025 Serie D - Group E
Grosseto vs Ghiviborgo
1:0
Apr 27, 2025 Serie D - Group E
Ghiviborgo vs Grosseto
3:2
Dec 15, 2024 Serie D - Group E
Grosseto vs Ghiviborgo
3:1
Aug 14, 2024 Club Friendly
Ghiviborgo vs Grosseto
4:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ghiviborgo Compare
Avg xG / game 0.6
Avg xA / game 0.39
Grosseto Compare
Top Goalscorer Marzierli E.
1 Goals Assists Leader Riccobono G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.88
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ghiviborgo 11 / 100
Grosseto 76 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ghiviborgo Grosseto
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Grosseto Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.
Grosseto has conceded goals in 61% of their last 28 outings.
Ghiviborgo scored in 59% of their last 29 games.
Ghiviborgo went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Ghiviborgo VS Grosseto
0.43 Goals Scored 1.75
1.43 Goals Conceded 1.13
57% Over 1.5 88%
29% Over 2.5 63%
14% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Ghiviborgo
(Home) 04 Oct
Ghiviborgo
0 : 1 Tau
27 Sept
Prato
2 : 1 Ghiviborgo
20 Sept
Ghiviborgo
1 : 1 Mezzolara
16 Sept
Follonica Gavorrano
1 : 0 Ghiviborgo
12 Sept
Ghiviborgo
1 : 3 Terranuova Traiana
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Ghiviborgo
0 : 1 Tau
20 Sept
Ghiviborgo
1 : 1 Mezzolara
12 Sept
Ghiviborgo
1 : 3 Terranuova Traiana
02 May
Ghiviborgo
0 : 3 Grosseto
19 Apr
Ghiviborgo
1 : 0 Seravezza Pozzi
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Grosseto
(Away) 03 Oct
Grosseto
1 : 3 Sambenedettese
26 Sept
Pineto
0 : 4 Grosseto
20 Sept
Grosseto
2 : 0 Perugia
16 Sept
Grosseto
2 : 2 Campobasso
12 Sept
Pianese
0 : 0 Grosseto
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26 Sept
Pineto
0 : 4 Grosseto
12 Sept
Pianese
0 : 0 Grosseto
29 Aug
Ostiamare
1 : 2 Grosseto
02 Aug
Perugia
1 : 1 Grosseto
17 May
Desenzano Calvina
0 : 1 Grosseto
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Grosseto | 34 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 58:25 | 72 |
| 2 | Tau | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 53:33 | 63 |
| 3 | Prato | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 49:29 | 63 |
| 4 | Siena | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 57:35 | 60 |
| 5 | Seravezza Pozzi | 34 | 15 | 12 | 7 | 42:29 | 57 |
| 6 | Terranuova Traiana | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 28:30 | 51 |
| 7 | Foligno | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 45:37 | 51 |
| 8 | Scandicci | 34 | 11 | 15 | 8 | 39:32 | 48 |
| 9 | Montevarchi | 34 | 10 | 16 | 8 | 28:32 | 46 |
| 10 | Sporting Trestina | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 40:42 | 42 |
| 11 | San Donato Tavarnelle | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 30:35 | 40 |
| 12 | Ghiviborgo | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 42:44 | 40 |
| 13 | Orvietana | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 33:37 | 38 |
| 14 | Follonica Gavorrano | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 36:49 | 37 |
| 15 | Camaiore Calcio | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 41:54 | 35 |
| 16 | Poggibonsi | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 29:46 | 31 |
| 17 | Cannara | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 24:59 | 26 |
| 18 | Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro | 34 | 2 | 16 | 16 | 20:46 | 22 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group E 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group E 2025/2026 (Play Out)
