Sport Picks
Ghiviborgo vs Mezzolara - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Italy
Serie D - Group E 
Match Events
42'
42'
Brugognone G.
85'
85'
Larhrib H.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group E matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
9%
35%
56%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Mezzolara
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
56%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Ghiviborgo lately — more wins on the board than Mezzolara.
- 56% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 53.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Ghiviborgo Clean Sheet 23%
Mezzolara Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ghiviborgo | Mezzolara |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 4 | 3 |
| Draws | 9 | 11 |
| Losses | 16 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 0.9 | 0.72 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.52 | 1.45 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.55 | 0.97 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 20, 2026 Serie D - Group E
Ghiviborgo vs Mezzolara
1:1
Apr 3, 2022 Serie D - Group D
Ghiviborgo vs Mezzolara
3:3
Nov 21, 2021 Serie D - Group D
Mezzolara vs Ghiviborgo
4:1
Apr 28, 2021 Serie D - Group D
Ghiviborgo vs Mezzolara
3:2
Oct 21, 2020 Serie D - Group D
Mezzolara vs Ghiviborgo
3:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ghiviborgo Compare
Top Goalscorer Brugognone G.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.42
Avg xA / game 0.28
Mezzolara Compare
Top Goalscorer Larhrib H.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.88
Avg xA / game 0.54
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ghiviborgo 37 / 100
Mezzolara 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ghiviborgo Mezzolara
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Mezzolara Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 4.80 goals when they meet.
Mezzolara's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.
Attacking prowess: Ghiviborgo scored in 59% of their last 29 outings.
Ghiviborgo went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Ghiviborgo VS Mezzolara
0.25 Goals Scored 0.57
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.86
50% Over 1.5 57%
25% Over 2.5 29%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Ghiviborgo
(Home) 04 Oct
Ghiviborgo
0 : 1 Tau
27 Sept
Prato
2 : 1 Ghiviborgo
20 Sept
Ghiviborgo
1 : 1 Mezzolara
16 Sept
Follonica Gavorrano
1 : 0 Ghiviborgo
12 Sept
Ghiviborgo
1 : 3 Terranuova Traiana
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Ghiviborgo
0 : 1 Tau
20 Sept
Ghiviborgo
1 : 1 Mezzolara
12 Sept
Ghiviborgo
1 : 3 Terranuova Traiana
02 May
Ghiviborgo
0 : 3 Grosseto
19 Apr
Ghiviborgo
1 : 0 Seravezza Pozzi
Page 1 of 3
Mezzolara
(Away) 04 Oct
San Donato Tavarnelle
1 : 1 Mezzolara
27 Sept
Mezzolara
0 : 0 Grassina
20 Sept
Ghiviborgo
1 : 1 Mezzolara
16 Sept
Mezzolara
2 : 1 Ternana
12 Sept
Siena
3 : 0 Mezzolara
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
San Donato Tavarnelle
1 : 1 Mezzolara
20 Sept
Ghiviborgo
1 : 1 Mezzolara
12 Sept
Siena
3 : 0 Mezzolara
28 Apr
Forli FC
2 : 0 Mezzolara
07 Apr
Sangiuliano City
2 : 1 Mezzolara
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Follonica Gavorrano | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 9:3 | 14 |
| 2 | Prato | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 9:4 | 14 |
| 3 | Lucchese | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 16:11 | 13 |
| 4 | Tau | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10:12 | 12 |
| 5 | Scandicci | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10:5 | 11 |
| 6 | Flaminia | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9:9 | 11 |
| 7 | Seravezza Pozzi | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 14:5 | 10 |
| 8 | Siena | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13:8 | 10 |
| 9 | Ternana | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9:5 | 8 |
| 10 | Terranuova Traiana | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11:9 | 8 |
| 11 | San Donato Tavarnelle | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:8 | 8 |
| 12 | Montevarchi | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9:11 | 7 |
| 13 | Mezzolara | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 4:6 | 7 |
| 14 | Rondinella | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:10 | 5 |
| 15 | Sasso Marconi | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6:11 | 4 |
| 16 | SCD Progresso | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4:15 | 3 |
| 17 | Grassina | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6:13 | 2 |
| 18 | Ghiviborgo | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3:10 | 1 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group E (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group E (Play Out)
