Sport Picks

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Ghiviborgo vs Savona

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A 2019/2020
Sun, Mar 29, 2020
VS
12:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ghiviborgo host Savona in the Serie D - Group A 2019/2020. Little to choose between these two on current form. Ghiviborgo have averaged 1.15 scored and 1.62 conceded recently, against Savona's 1.33 scored and 1.24 conceded. Past meetings favor Savona slightly — 0-1-4 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 29, 2020, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.35 vs 1.31, favoring Savona. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Ghiviborgo
20%
Draws
73%
Savona
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Savona

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Ghiviborgo haven't matched Savona's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Ghiviborgo Clean Sheet 18%
Savona Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ghiviborgo Savona
Matches Played 34 21
Wins 7 9
Draws 11 5
Losses 16 7
Goals Scored 1.15 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.62 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2020 Serie D - Group A
Ghiviborgo vs Savona
0:0
Nov 17, 2019 Serie D - Group A
Savona vs Ghiviborgo
3:0
Feb 25, 2018 Serie D - Group E
Ghiviborgo vs Savona
1:1
Oct 22, 2017 Serie D - Group E
Savona vs Ghiviborgo
2:2
Feb 15, 2017 Serie D - Group E
Savona vs Ghiviborgo
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ghiviborgo 32 / 100
Savona 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ghiviborgo Savona

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Savona Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ghiviborgo found the back of the net in 65% of recent matches (34 games).

Savona's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 21 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Solid form: Ghiviborgo remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ghiviborgo VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ghiviborgo

(Home)
27 Sept
Prato
2 : 1
Ghiviborgo
20 Sept
Ghiviborgo
1 : 1
Mezzolara
16 Sept
Follonica Gavorrano
1 : 0
Ghiviborgo
12 Sept
Ghiviborgo
1 : 3
Terranuova Traiana
06 Sept
Flaminia
2 : 0
Ghiviborgo
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Savona

(Away)
23 Feb
Bra
0 : 1
Savona
16 Feb
Savona
1 : 2
Lucchese
09 Feb
Lavagnese
0 : 0
Savona
02 Feb
Savona
2 : 1
Vado
26 Jan
Fezzanese
0 : 1
Savona
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