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Ghiviborgo vs SC Cenaia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group E 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Carcani T.
74' Event
Carli F.
82' Event
Ferretti A.

AI Match Summary

Ghiviborgo in this Serie D - Group E 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ghiviborgo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Ghiviborgo
30%
Draws
58%
SC Cenaia
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: SC Cenaia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ghiviborgo lately — more wins on the board than SC Cenaia.
  • 58% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Ghiviborgo Clean Sheet 18%
SC Cenaia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ghiviborgo SC Cenaia
Matches Played 40 30
Wins 14 2
Draws 9 9
Losses 17 19
Goals Scored 1.4 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.5 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 28, 2024 Serie D - Group E
SC Cenaia vs Ghiviborgo
1:3
Dec 17, 2023 Serie D - Group E
Ghiviborgo vs SC Cenaia
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ghiviborgo Compare

Top Goalscorer Carcani T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Carli F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

SC Cenaia Compare

Top Goalscorer Ferretti A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ghiviborgo 36 / 100
SC Cenaia 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ghiviborgo SC Cenaia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SC Cenaia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: SC Cenaia conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Ghiviborgo's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 40 recent games.

Ghiviborgo went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ghiviborgo VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ghiviborgo

(Home)
04 Oct
Ghiviborgo
0 : 1
Tau
27 Sept
Prato
2 : 1
Ghiviborgo
20 Sept
Ghiviborgo
1 : 1
Mezzolara
16 Sept
Follonica Gavorrano
1 : 0
Ghiviborgo
12 Sept
Ghiviborgo
1 : 3
Terranuova Traiana
Page 1 of 8

SC Cenaia

(Away)
05 May
Mobilieri Ponsacco
0 : 3
SC Cenaia
28 Apr
SC Cenaia
1 : 3
Ghiviborgo
21 Apr
Poggibonsi
4 : 1
SC Cenaia
14 Apr
SC Cenaia
1 : 1
Sangiovannese
07 Apr
Sporting Trestina
1 : 1
SC Cenaia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pianese 34 19 11 4 62:35 68
2 Follonica Gavorrano 34 18 11 5 44:25 65
3 Grosseto 34 16 15 3 53:33 63
4 Livorno 34 16 11 7 49:32 59
5 Tau 34 15 13 6 55:31 58
6 Seravezza Pozzi 34 17 6 11 49:40 57
7 Poggibonsi 34 15 7 12 48:42 52
8 Ghiviborgo 34 15 5 14 54:54 50
9 Figline 34 12 13 9 45:43 49
10 Sporting Trestina 34 11 10 13 43:45 43
11 Montevarchi 34 10 13 11 42:41 43
12 Sangiovannese 34 10 12 12 30:37 42
13 San Donato Tavarnelle 34 11 7 16 30:33 40
14 Orvietana 34 10 8 16 33:44 38
15 Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro 34 5 14 15 24:46 29
16 Real Forte Querceta 34 6 10 18 31:46 28
17 Mobilieri Ponsacco 34 2 14 18 33:60 20
18 SC Cenaia 34 3 10 21 29:67 19
Promotion - Serie D - Group E 2023/2024 (Play Offs)