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Ghiviborgo vs Tau - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group E
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Iezzi R.

AI Match Summary

Tau in this Serie D - Group E matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tau.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Ghiviborgo
15%
Draws
76%
Tau
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tau

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Tau lately — more wins on the board than Ghiviborgo.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Serie D - Group E form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Ghiviborgo Clean Sheet 13%
Tau Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ghiviborgo Tau
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 4 13
Draws 9 7
Losses 16 9
Goals Scored 0.9 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 Serie D - Group E
Ghiviborgo vs Tau
0:1
Jan 18, 2026 Serie D - Group E
Tau vs Ghiviborgo
2:1
Sep 20, 2025 Serie D - Group E
Ghiviborgo vs Tau
0:0
Apr 7, 2024 Serie D - Group E
Ghiviborgo vs Tau
1:1
Nov 26, 2023 Serie D - Group E
Tau vs Ghiviborgo
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ghiviborgo Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Tau Compare

Top Goalscorer Iezzi R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ghiviborgo 31 / 100
Tau 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ghiviborgo Tau

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Tau conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Ghiviborgo scored in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: Ghiviborgo stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ghiviborgo VS Tau
0.5 Goals Scored 1.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Ghiviborgo

(Home)
04 Oct
Ghiviborgo
0 : 1
Tau
27 Sept
Prato
2 : 1
Ghiviborgo
20 Sept
Ghiviborgo
1 : 1
Mezzolara
16 Sept
Follonica Gavorrano
1 : 0
Ghiviborgo
12 Sept
Ghiviborgo
1 : 3
Terranuova Traiana
Page 1 of 6

Tau

(Away)
04 Oct
Ghiviborgo
0 : 1
Tau
27 Sept
Tau
3 : 2
Rondinella
20 Sept
Ternana
3 : 0
Tau
16 Sept
Tau
3 : 2
Siena
12 Sept
Montevarchi
4 : 1
Tau
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Follonica Gavorrano 6 4 2 0 9:3 14
2 Prato 6 4 2 0 9:4 14
3 Lucchese 6 4 1 1 16:11 13
4 Tau 6 4 0 2 10:12 12
5 Scandicci 6 3 2 1 10:5 11
6 Flaminia 6 3 2 1 9:9 11
7 Seravezza Pozzi 6 3 1 2 14:5 10
8 Siena 6 3 1 2 13:8 10
9 Ternana 6 2 2 2 9:5 8
10 Terranuova Traiana 6 2 2 2 11:9 8
11 San Donato Tavarnelle 6 2 2 2 8:8 8
12 Montevarchi 6 2 1 3 9:11 7
13 Mezzolara 6 1 4 1 4:6 7
14 Rondinella 6 1 2 3 5:10 5
15 Sasso Marconi 6 1 1 4 6:11 4
16 SCD Progresso 6 1 0 5 4:15 3
17 Grassina 6 0 2 4 6:13 2
18 Ghiviborgo 6 0 1 5 3:10 1
Promotion - Serie D - Group E (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group E (Play Out)