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Ghriss vs Ain Fakroun

Algeria Algeria

Algeria Cup 2015/2016
Fri, Feb 19, 2016
1 - 0
02:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

118' Event

AI Match Summary

The Algeria Cup 2015/2016 game between Ghriss and Ain Fakroun finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ghriss.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Ghriss
17%
Draws
13%
Ain Fakroun
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Ghriss

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Ain Fakroun have managed 1 goals a game lately — Ghriss are scoring more at 1.2.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Ghriss taking it.
  • Cup games in Algeria Cup 2015/2016 usually bring a different intensity than the league.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 71.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 16.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Ghriss Clean Sheet 68%
Ain Fakroun Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ghriss Ain Fakroun
Matches Played 11 31
Wins 6 6
Draws 0 5
Losses 5 20
Goals Scored 1.2 1
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.40 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 19, 2016 Algeria Cup
Ghriss vs Ain Fakroun
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ghriss 77 / 100
Ain Fakroun 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ghriss Ain Fakroun

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GHR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ain Fakroun let in goals in 81% of their last 31 matches.

Away concern: Ain Fakroun has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Ghriss found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (11 games).

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Ghriss VS Ain Fakroun
1.2 Goals Scored 1
1.4 Goals Conceded 1.13
80% Over 1.5 63%
60% Over 2.5 25%
20% Over 3.5 13%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
MC Alger2
USM Oran0
Azzefoun2
Biskra3
Dahmouni2
RC Kouba1
Kabylie0
RC Relizane1
Ain Fakroun2
Touggourt0
Constantine0
Eulma1
ASM Oran5
Dely Brahim1
Tadamoun Souf1
Ghriss3
ASB Maghnia1
SC Ain Defla0
Cheraga0
Mlila1
Collo1
Ouled Yaich0
AS Barika0
Chelghoum1
Harrach2
Maghnia1
Guelma0
El Kerma1
USM Blida3
OM Arzew2
NR Bouakal0
Tebessa1
Hussein Dey5
Bouchegouf0
Boumedfaa0
Saoura3
JS Djijel3
Kais2
Oran1
MO Bejaia2
SC Ain Defla2
JSM Tiaret1
MC Debdaba1
Ouled Djellal2
Beni Thour3
El Ogla2
USM Alger1
Paradou3
ES Setif3
Msila1
ASO Chlef1
CR Belouizdad4
USB Tissemsilt1
Lakhdaria0
Bousbaa1
Arba2
Tadjenant4
MB Hassi Messaoud0
Bejaia0
Oued Smar2
SCM Oran8
Bouda0
Azzaba1
Bel Abbes2
1/16-finals
MC Alger1
Biskra0
Dahmouni0
RC Relizane1
Ain Fakroun2
Eulma1
ASM Oran0
Ghriss1
ASB Maghnia1
Mlila0
Collo0
Chelghoum1
Harrach2
El Kerma0
USM Blida1
Tebessa2
Hussein Dey1
Saoura0
JS Djijel1
MO Bejaia2
SC Ain Defla4
Ouled Djellal2
Beni Thour0
Paradou3
ES Setif2
CR Belouizdad1
USB Tissemsilt0
Arba1
Tadjenant2
Oued Smar1
SCM Oran0
Bel Abbes1
1/8-finals
MC Alger2
RC Relizane1
Ain Fakroun0
Ghriss1
ASB Maghnia1
Chelghoum0
Harrach0
Tebessa1
Hussein Dey2
MO Bejaia1
SC Ain Defla0
Paradou1
ES Setif2
Arba1
Tadjenant0
Bel Abbes1
Quarter-finals
MC Alger2
Ghriss0
ASB Maghnia0
Tebessa1
Hussein Dey2
Paradou0
ES Setif1
Bel Abbes3
Semi-finals
MC Alger3
Tebessa0
Hussein Dey1
Bel Abbes0
Final
MC Alger1
Hussein Dey0