Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Gia Lai vs Ho Chi Minh

Vietnam Vietnam

V.League 1 2025/2026 Pleiku Stadium, Pleiku
Our Tip

Match Events

35'
Tran Thanh Son
45' Event
Ngo D. K.
46'
Sub
Tran Thanh Son In: Moi S.
Out: Tran Thanh Son

AI Match Summary

Ho Chi Minh in this V.League 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ho Chi Minh.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Gia Lai
15%
Draws
42%
Ho Chi Minh
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gia Lai

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Ho Chi Minh have won more games recently than Gia Lai.
  • Win probability leans Gia Lai's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular V.League 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Gia Lai Clean Sheet 10%
Ho Chi Minh Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gia Lai Ho Chi Minh
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 7 13
Draws 8 5
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 0.97 1.19
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 V.League 1
Gia Lai vs Ho Chi Minh
0:1
Aug 28, 2025 V.League 1
Ho Chi Minh vs Gia Lai
1:0
Mar 2, 2025 V.League 1
Ho Chi Minh vs Gia Lai
1:0
Jan 17, 2025 V.League 1
Gia Lai vs Ho Chi Minh
2:2
Aug 30, 2024 Club Friendly
Ho Chi Minh vs Gia Lai
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gia Lai Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Ho Chi Minh Compare

Top Goalscorer Ngo D. K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gia Lai 34 / 100
Ho Chi Minh 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gia Lai Ho Chi Minh

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gia Lai found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Ho Chi Minh let in goals in 74% of their last 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Ho Chi Minh lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gia Lai VS Ho Chi Minh
1.13 Goals Scored 1.75
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Gia Lai

(Home)
20 Sept
Gia Lai
2 : 3
Hung Yen
13 Sept
Gia Lai
1 : 3
Hai Phong
06 Sept
Nam Dinh
4 : 0
Gia Lai
07 Jun
Binh Duong
3 : 1
Gia Lai
31 May
Gia Lai
3 : 1
Hanoi FC
Page 1 of 6

Ho Chi Minh

(Away)
11 Sept
Bac Ninh
1 : 0
Ho Chi Minh
05 Sept
Ho Chi Minh
3 : 1
Hanoi FC
30 Aug
Cong An Ha Noi
5 : 0
Ho Chi Minh
23 Aug
Binh Duong
2 : 1
Ho Chi Minh
16 Aug
Ho Chi Minh
0 : 2
Long An
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cong An Ha Noi 26 20 4 2 58:22 64
2 Viettel 26 15 9 2 39:21 54
3 Phu Dong Ninh Binh 26 15 6 5 53:31 51
4 Hanoi FC 26 14 4 8 48:30 46
5 Ho Chi Minh 26 10 6 10 28:36 36
6 Nam Dinh 26 9 8 9 33:32 35
7 Hai Phong 26 9 5 12 37:36 32
8 Hong Linh Ha Tinh 26 7 8 11 15:29 29
9 Song Lam Nghe An 26 7 6 13 27:40 27
10 Gia Lai 26 6 8 12 24:37 26
11 Thanh Hoa 26 5 10 11 26:38 25
12 Da Nang 26 5 9 12 33:39 24
13 PVF-CAND 26 5 9 12 26:44 24
14 Binh Duong 26 6 6 14 31:43 24
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Relegation - V.League 1 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - V.League 2 (Main)