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Giana Erminio vs Dolomiti Bellunesi

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group A Stadio Citta di Gorgonzola
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Giana Erminio play Dolomiti Bellunesi in the Serie C - Group A. It looks like a close match. Recently, Giana Erminio averaged 1.17 goals scored and 1.07 conceded. Dolomiti Bellunesi averaged 1 goals scored and 1.53 conceded. In past meetings, Giana Erminio won 0, Dolomiti Bellunesi won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on Apr 6, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.63 for Giana Erminio and 1.50 for Dolomiti Bellunesi. This points to a Giana Erminio double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Giana Erminio
18%
Draws
34%
Dolomiti Bellunesi
Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: Giana Erminio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence
  • Giana Erminio picked up more points recently compared to Dolomiti Bellunesi.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.63 vs 1.50 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 71%
Over 2.5 Goals 40%
Over 3.5 Goals 24%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 44%
Giana Erminio Clean Sheet 16%
Dolomiti Bellunesi Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 64%
Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Giana Erminio Dolomiti Bellunesi
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 9
Draws 5 6
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 1.17 1
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Giana Erminio vs Dolomiti Bellunesi
1:1
Nov 30, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Dolomiti Bellunesi vs Giana Erminio
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Giana Erminio Compare

Top Goalscorer Pinto D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Dolomiti Bellunesi Compare

Top Goalscorer Marconi G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Giana Erminio 46 / 100
Dolomiti Bellunesi 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Giana Erminio Dolomiti Bellunesi

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Giana Erminio or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +20%
2.50
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +17.6%
2.94
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Giana Erminio attacking → ← attacking Dolomiti Bellunesi

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Giana Erminio scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Dolomiti Bellunesi let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Giana Erminio went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Dolomiti Bellunesi lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

44 Points in last 5 33
1.25 Goals expected (xG) 1.75
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Vicenza38278369:2689
2Union Brescia381912749:2469
3Renate381713853:3764
4Lecco3818101047:3464
5Trento381615758:4263
6Cittadella381781345:4359
7Lumezzane3814141046:3956
8Alcione Milano3815101335:2855
9Arzignano381581550:4853
10Giana Erminio3814101438:3952
11AlbinoLeffe3813111451:4950
12Inter U233812121440:4148
13Novara38920940:3947
14Pro Vercelli381371839:5546
15Ospitaletto3810151341:4345
16Pergolettese3810111737:5041
17Dolomiti Bellunesi3810101838:6140
18Virtus Verona383161934:6225
19Pro Patria384112334:7023
20Triestina38992045:5912