Sport Picks
Giana Erminio vs Folgore Caratese - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Italy
Coppa Italia Serie C Stadio Citta di Gorgonzola, Gorgonzola 
Match Events
17'
17'
Samele L.
64'
64'
Spalluto S.
1'
1'
Magazzu L.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 2-1. The second leg ended 2-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
29%
35%
36%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Folgore Caratese
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Folgore Caratese carry the better recent record into this one.
- Giana Erminio are the model's pick here, at 36%.
- Folgore Caratese arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Giana Erminio, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Giana Erminio Clean Sheet 16%
Folgore Caratese Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Giana Erminio | Folgore Caratese |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 8 | 9 |
| Draws | 7 | 11 |
| Losses | 14 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 0.97 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 1.11 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 20, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Folgore Caratese vs Giana Erminio
1:1
Aug 16, 2026 Coppa Italia Serie C
Giana Erminio vs Folgore Caratese
2:1
Jan 5, 2014 Serie D - Group A
Giana Erminio vs Folgore Caratese
1:1
Sep 1, 2013 Serie D - Group A
Folgore Caratese vs Giana Erminio
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Giana Erminio Compare
Top Goalscorer Samele L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Folgore Caratese Compare
Top Goalscorer Spalluto S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Giana Erminio 36 / 100
Folgore Caratese 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Giana Erminio Folgore Caratese
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Giana Erminio scored in 69% of their last 29 games.
Defensive concern: Folgore Caratese conceded in 71% of 28 recent games.
Games between these two average 1.75 goals.
Giana Erminio has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Giana Erminio VS Folgore Caratese
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Giana Erminio
(Home) 04 Oct
Treviso
0 : 0 Giana Erminio
26 Sept
Giana Erminio
1 : 1 Pro Vercelli
20 Sept
Folgore Caratese
1 : 1 Giana Erminio
17 Sept
Giana Erminio
2 : 2 Trento
13 Sept
Lecco
1 : 0 Giana Erminio
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Giana Erminio
1 : 1 Pro Vercelli
17 Sept
Giana Erminio
2 : 2 Trento
06 Sept
Giana Erminio
1 : 2 Dolomiti Bellunesi
22 Aug
Giana Erminio
1 : 2 AlbinoLeffe
16 Aug
Giana Erminio
2 : 1 Folgore Caratese
Page 1 of 3
Folgore Caratese
(Away) 03 Oct
Folgore Caratese
1 : 2 Desenzano Calvina
26 Sept
Lumezzane
1 : 2 Folgore Caratese
20 Sept
Folgore Caratese
1 : 1 Giana Erminio
17 Sept
Pergolettese
0 : 0 Folgore Caratese
13 Sept
Folgore Caratese
2 : 3 Alcione Milano
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Lumezzane
1 : 2 Folgore Caratese
17 Sept
Pergolettese
0 : 0 Folgore Caratese
07 Sept
Pro Vercelli
1 : 0 Folgore Caratese
31 Aug
Novara
2 : 2 Folgore Caratese
16 Aug
Giana Erminio
2 : 1 Folgore Caratese
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Campobasso 2
Cavese 0
Salernitana 1
Scafatese 2
Grosseto 3
Guidonia 1937 0
Latina 2
Ostiamare 1
Vado 2
Inter U23 1
Spezia 4
Sassari Torres 1
Alcione Milano 0
Novara 1
Livorno 3
Reggiana 1
Potenza -
TBD -
Audace Cerignola 1
Monopoli 2
Bari 1
Casarano 0
Picerno 2
Barletta 1
Catania -
TBD -
Casertana 1
A.C. Savoia 2
Giugliano 0
Sorrento 1
Crotone 0
Cosenza 2
Foggia 1
Altamura 2
Pescara 0
Sambenedettese 1
Pineto 1
Gubbio 2
Perugia 1
Vis Pesaro 2
Lecco 0
Desenzano Calvina 1
Trento 2
Ospitaletto 1
Arzignano 2
AlbinoLeffe 1
Dolomiti Bellunesi 1
Treviso 0
Carpi 3
Pianese 2
Pro Vercelli 2
Pergolettese 1
Ravenna -
TBD -
Juventus U23 1
Forli FC 2
Union Brescia -
TBD -
Giana Erminio 2
Folgore Caratese 1
Cittadella 3
Atalanta U23 2
Lumezzane 2
Renate 3
1/16-finals
Campobasso 2
Scafatese 1
Grosseto 1
Latina 4
Vado 0
Spezia 3
Novara 0
Livorno 1
Potenza 2
Monopoli 1
Bari 2
Picerno 1
Catania 0
A.C. Savoia 3
Sorrento 1
Cosenza 0
Altamura 3
Sambenedettese 2
Gubbio 5
Vis Pesaro 0
Desenzano Calvina 1
Trento 0
Arzignano 2
Dolomiti Bellunesi 3
Carpi 2
Pro Vercelli 1
Ravenna 2
Forli FC 1
Union Brescia 5
Giana Erminio 2
Cittadella 4
Renate 1
1/8-finals
Campobasso -
Latina -
Spezia -
Livorno -
Potenza -
Bari -
A.C. Savoia -
Sorrento -
Altamura -
Gubbio -
Desenzano Calvina -
Dolomiti Bellunesi -
Carpi -
Ravenna -
Union Brescia -
Cittadella -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -
