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Giana Erminio vs Pro Vercelli - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group A Stadio Citta di Gorgonzola, Gorgonzola
Our Tip

Match Events

45'
Boufandar A.
49'
Sub
Mora C. In: Tornaghi P.
Out: Mora C.
51' Event
Comelli S.
Assist: Ballabio M.

AI Match Summary

The Serie C - Group A game between Giana Erminio and Pro Vercelli finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Giana Erminio
35%
Draws
36%
Pro Vercelli
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Pro Vercelli

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Pro Vercelli carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Giana Erminio a 29% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie C - Group A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Giana Erminio Clean Sheet 68%
Pro Vercelli Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Giana Erminio Pro Vercelli
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 8 9
Draws 7 5
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 0.97 1.11
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Giana Erminio vs Pro Vercelli
1:1
Feb 27, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Giana Erminio vs Pro Vercelli
1:0
Oct 19, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Pro Vercelli vs Giana Erminio
0:0
Jan 11, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Giana Erminio vs Pro Vercelli
1:2
Nov 27, 2024 Coppa Italia Serie C
Giana Erminio vs Pro Vercelli
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Giana Erminio Compare

Top Goalscorer Comelli S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Pro Vercelli Compare

Top Goalscorer Sow O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Giana Erminio 50 / 100
Pro Vercelli 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Giana Erminio Pro Vercelli

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Giana Erminio Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Giana Erminio scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Pro Vercelli conceded in 78% of 27 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Giana Erminio has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Giana Erminio VS Pro Vercelli
1 Goals Scored 0.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Giana Erminio

(Home)
04 Oct
Treviso
0 : 0
Giana Erminio
26 Sept
Giana Erminio
1 : 1
Pro Vercelli
20 Sept
Folgore Caratese
1 : 1
Giana Erminio
17 Sept
Giana Erminio
2 : 2
Trento
13 Sept
Lecco
1 : 0
Giana Erminio
Page 1 of 6

Pro Vercelli

(Away)
03 Oct
Pro Vercelli
2 : 0
Carpi
26 Sept
Giana Erminio
1 : 1
Pro Vercelli
21 Sept
Trento
4 : 0
Pro Vercelli
17 Sept
Pro Vercelli
2 : 2
Alcione Milano
13 Sept
Treviso
2 : 1
Pro Vercelli
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cittadella 8 7 0 1 14:4 21
2 Union Brescia 8 4 4 0 14:6 16
3 Ospitaletto 8 4 3 1 14:6 15
4 Arzignano 8 4 2 2 12:9 14
5 Trento 8 3 5 0 11:5 14
6 Treviso 8 3 4 1 8:6 13
7 AlbinoLeffe 8 3 3 2 12:10 12
8 Alcione Milano 8 2 5 1 12:13 11
9 Dolomiti Bellunesi 8 2 4 2 7:7 10
10 Desenzano Calvina 8 2 4 2 6:7 10
11 Novara 8 2 3 3 8:10 9
12 Pro Vercelli 8 2 3 3 8:11 9
13 Lecco 8 2 3 3 6:8 9
14 Lumezzane 7 2 2 3 7:9 8
15 Pergolettese 8 1 5 2 3:5 8
16 Carpi 8 1 3 4 10:17 6
17 Folgore Caratese 8 1 3 4 9:12 6
18 Juventus U23 7 1 3 3 7:13 6
19 Giana Erminio 8 0 4 4 6:10 4
20 Renate 8 0 3 5 6:12 3
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)