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Gibraltar vs Wales

World World

Friendly International 2024 Estadio Algarve, Faro/Loulé
Our Tip

Match Events

28'
Sheehan J.
45'
De Haro E.
46'
Sub
Davies A. In: King T.
Out: Davies A.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2024 game between Gibraltar and Wales finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Gibraltar
20%
Draws
36%
Wales
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Gibraltar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Wales come out ahead of Gibraltar on wins alone.
  • Model gives Wales a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Friendly International 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Gibraltar Clean Sheet 10%
Wales Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gibraltar Wales
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 4 12
Draws 5 10
Losses 19 8
Goals Scored 0.61 1.6
Goals Conceded 2.5 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 6, 2024 Friendly International
Gibraltar vs Wales
0:0
Oct 11, 2023 Friendly International
Wales vs Gibraltar
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gibraltar 18 / 100
Wales 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gibraltar Wales

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Wales Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Wales let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Gibraltar found the back of the net in 36% of recent matches (28 games).

Gibraltar has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Gibraltar VS Wales
0.13 Goals Scored 1.63
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Gibraltar

(Home)
06 Jun
Gibraltar
4 : 1
Cayman Islands
03 Jun
Gibraltar
4 : 0
British Virgin Islands
31 Mar
Latvia
1 : 0
Gibraltar
26 Mar
Gibraltar
0 : 1
Latvia
17 Nov
Czech Republic
6 : 0
Gibraltar
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Wales

(Away)
06 Jun
Romania
2 : 1
Wales
02 Jun
Wales
1 : 1
Ghana
31 Mar
Wales
1 : 1
Northern Ireland
26 Mar
Wales
1 : 2
Bosnia & Herzegovina
18 Nov
Wales
7 : 1
North Macedonia
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