Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Gibraltar vs Wales

World World

Friendly International 2024 Estadio Algarve
Our Tip

Match Events

28'
Sheehan J.
45'
De Haro E.
46'
Sub
Davies A. In: King T.
Out: Davies A.

AI Match Summary

Gibraltar host Wales in the Friendly International 2024. This has Wales written all over it on paper. Gibraltar have averaged 0.13 scored and 2.13 conceded recently, against Wales's 1.63 scored and 1.5 conceded. Head-to-head, Gibraltar have won 0 to Wales's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Jun 6, 2024, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 0.81 vs 1.88, favoring Wales. Wales in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Gibraltar
22%
Draws
60%
Wales
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Wales

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Wales has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Gibraltar.
  • Model forecasts a 60% win probability edge for Wales.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Friendly International 2024 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Gibraltar Clean Sheet 10%
Wales Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gibraltar Wales
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 4 12
Draws 5 10
Losses 19 8
Goals Scored 0.13 1.63
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.13 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 6, 2024 Friendly International
Gibraltar vs Wales
0:0
Oct 11, 2023 Friendly International
Wales vs Gibraltar
4:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gibraltar 18 / 100
Wales 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gibraltar Wales

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick WAL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gibraltar scored in 36% of their last 28 games.

Wales let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Gibraltar went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Wales lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gibraltar VS Wales
0.13 Goals Scored 1.63
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%