Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Gibraltar W vs Moldova W

Europe Europe

UEFA Nations League Women Europa Point Stadium, Gibraltar
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Chiper C.
27'
Colnic I.
32' Event
Chiper C.

AI Match Summary

The UEFA Nations League Women game between Gibraltar W and Moldova W finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Moldova W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Gibraltar W
30%
Draws
70%
Moldova W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Moldova W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Gibraltar W haven't matched Moldova W's recent run of results.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Moldova W taking it.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this UEFA Nations League Women fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 23.6%
Gibraltar W Clean Sheet 10%
Moldova W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gibraltar W Moldova W
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 1 7
Draws 1 10
Losses 25 13
Goals Scored 0.52 0.73
Goals Conceded 4.44 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 0.56 2.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 3, 2025 UEFA Nations League Women
Gibraltar W vs Moldova W
0:4
Feb 21, 2025 UEFA Nations League Women
Moldova W vs Gibraltar W
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gibraltar W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.43
Avg xA / game 0.28

Moldova W Compare

Top Goalscorer Chiper C.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Coceanovschi E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.67
Avg xA / game 1.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gibraltar W 10 / 100
Moldova W 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gibraltar W Moldova W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Moldova W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Moldova W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Gibraltar W scored in 41% of their last 27 games.

Moldova W lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gibraltar W VS Moldova W
0.13 Goals Scored 0.75
5.13 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 25%
75% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Gibraltar W

(Home)
09 Jun
Gibraltar W
0 : 8
Kosovo W
05 Jun
Bulgaria W
3 : 1
Gibraltar W
18 Apr
Croatia W
9 : 0
Gibraltar W
14 Apr
Gibraltar W
0 : 1
Croatia W
07 Mar
Gibraltar W
0 : 5
Bulgaria W
Page 1 of 6

Moldova W

(Away)
09 Jun
Cyprus W
0 : 2
Moldova W
05 Jun
Moldova W
0 : 0
Romania W
18 Apr
Greece W
1 : 1
Moldova W
14 Apr
Moldova W
0 : 0
Cyprus W
03 Mar
Romania W
1 : 0
Moldova W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Slovakia W 6 6 0 0 27:1 18
2 Faroe Islands W 6 3 1 2 10:6 10
3 Moldova W 6 2 1 3 6:6 7
4 Gibraltar W 6 0 0 6 0:30 0
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League B)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League B/C)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Malta W 6 4 1 1 8:5 13
2 Cyprus W 6 3 1 2 9:8 10
3 Georgia W 6 2 0 4 9:11 6
4 Andorra W 6 1 2 3 6:8 5
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League B)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League B/C)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Luxembourg W 6 5 1 0 20:6 16
2 Kazakhstan W 6 3 1 2 14:9 10
3 Armenia W 6 2 1 3 13:11 7
4 Liechtenstein W 6 0 1 5 5:26 1
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League B)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League B/C)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Montenegro W 4 2 2 0 5:2 8
2 Azerbaijan W 4 1 2 1 3:6 5
3 Lithuania W 4 1 0 3 6:6 3
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League B)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League B/C)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Israel W 4 3 1 0 12:5 10
2 Estonia W 4 1 1 2 2:6 4
3 Bulgaria W 4 0 2 2 4:7 2
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League B)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League B/C)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Latvia W 4 2 2 0 6:4 8
2 Kosovo W 4 2 1 1 9:3 7
3 North Macedonia W 4 0 1 3 2:10 1
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League B)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League B/C)
Ranking of third-placed teams