Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
56%
20%
24%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Gicumbi
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
56%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Gicumbi lately — more wins on the board than Amagaju.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Gicumbi Clean Sheet 68%
Amagaju Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Gicumbi | Amagaju |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 8 |
| Draws | 6 | 8 |
| Losses | 13 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.17 | 0.6 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.6 | 1.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 12, 2026 Premier League
Gicumbi vs Amagaju
1:0
Feb 8, 2026 Premier League
Gicumbi vs Amagaju
1:1
Oct 5, 2025 Premier League
Amagaju vs Gicumbi
0:2
Mar 10, 2019 Premier League
Amagaju vs Gicumbi
1:0
Nov 7, 2018 Premier League
Gicumbi vs Amagaju
2:3
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Gicumbi 41 / 100
Amagaju 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Gicumbi Amagaju
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Gicumbi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Gicumbi scored in 73% of their last 30 games.
Amagaju let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.
Gicumbi went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Gicumbi VS Amagaju
1.38 Goals Scored 0.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Gicumbi
(Home) 15 Sept
Etoile de L'Est
1 : 2 Gicumbi
12 Sept
Gicumbi
1 : 0 Amagaju
07 Sept
Police
1 : 2 Gicumbi
31 May
APR
2 : 0 Gicumbi
24 May
Gicumbi
3 : 2 Mukura Victory Sports
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Gicumbi
1 : 0 Amagaju
24 May
Gicumbi
3 : 2 Mukura Victory Sports
09 May
Gicumbi
2 : 1 Bugesera
02 May
Gicumbi
0 : 3 Al-Merreikh
24 Apr
Gicumbi
2 : 0 Rutsiro
Page 1 of 3
Amagaju
(Away) 18 Sept
Amagaju
0 : 0 Al-Merreikh
12 Sept
Gicumbi
1 : 0 Amagaju
05 Sept
Amagaju
2 : 0 Etoile de L'Est
30 May
Mukura Victory Sports
0 : 0 Amagaju
22 May
Amagaju
0 : 2 Muhanga
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Gicumbi
1 : 0 Amagaju
30 May
Mukura Victory Sports
0 : 0 Amagaju
10 May
Rutsiro
1 : 2 Amagaju
02 May
Etincelles
0 : 0 Amagaju
17 Apr
Musanze
0 : 2 Amagaju
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al-Hilal Omdurman | 34 | 23 | 6 | 5 | 74:25 | 75 |
| 2 | APR | 34 | 19 | 11 | 4 | 50:28 | 68 |
| 3 | Al-Merreikh | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 41:24 | 59 |
| 4 | Rayon Sport | 34 | 14 | 14 | 6 | 40:30 | 56 |
| 5 | Kiyovu | 34 | 13 | 14 | 7 | 34:21 | 53 |
| 6 | Police | 34 | 12 | 16 | 6 | 29:19 | 52 |
| 7 | Mukura Victory Sports | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 36:38 | 47 |
| 8 | Marines | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 47:43 | 45 |
| 9 | Bugesera | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 34:39 | 44 |
| 10 | Musanze | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 38:37 | 43 |
| 11 | Gorilla | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 31:42 | 40 |
| 12 | Gicumbi | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 38:54 | 38 |
| 13 | Etincelles | 34 | 7 | 16 | 11 | 32:40 | 37 |
| 14 | Kigali FC | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 27:39 | 35 |
| 15 | Gasogi United | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 29:44 | 35 |
| 16 | Amagaju | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 19:38 | 35 |
| 17 | Muhanga | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 25:46 | 31 |
| 18 | Rutsiro | 34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 30:47 | 29 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
