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Gicumbi vs Amagaju - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Rwanda Rwanda

Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Hakizimana A.
Assist: Bahati Bitwayiki C.

AI Match Summary

Gicumbi in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gicumbi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
Gicumbi
20%
Draws
24%
Amagaju
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Gicumbi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Gicumbi lately — more wins on the board than Amagaju.
  • 56% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Gicumbi Clean Sheet 68%
Amagaju Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gicumbi Amagaju
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 11 9
Draws 6 7
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 1.17 0.58
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Premier League
Gicumbi vs Amagaju
1:0
Feb 8, 2026 Premier League
Gicumbi vs Amagaju
1:1
Oct 5, 2025 Premier League
Amagaju vs Gicumbi
0:2
Mar 10, 2019 Premier League
Amagaju vs Gicumbi
1:0
Nov 7, 2018 Premier League
Gicumbi vs Amagaju
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gicumbi Compare

Top Goalscorer Hakizimana A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Amagaju Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gicumbi 41 / 100
Amagaju 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gicumbi Amagaju

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gicumbi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gicumbi scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Amagaju let in goals in 65% of their last 31 matches.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Gicumbi stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gicumbi VS Amagaju
1.25 Goals Scored 0.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Gicumbi

(Home)
15 Sept
Etoile de L'Est
1 : 2
Gicumbi
12 Sept
Gicumbi
1 : 0
Amagaju
07 Sept
Police
1 : 2
Gicumbi
31 May
APR
2 : 0
Gicumbi
24 May
Gicumbi
3 : 2
Mukura Victory Sports
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Amagaju

(Away)
18 Sept
Amagaju
0 : 0
Al Merreikh
12 Sept
Gicumbi
1 : 0
Amagaju
05 Sept
Amagaju
2 : 0
Etoile de L'Est
30 May
Mukura Victory Sports
0 : 0
Amagaju
22 May
Amagaju
0 : 2
Muhanga
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gicumbi 3 3 0 0 5:2 9
2 Etincelles 3 2 1 0 2:0 7
3 Amagaju 3 1 1 1 2:1 4
4 APR 1 1 0 0 4:2 3
5 Al Hilal Omdurman 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
6 Mukura Victory Sports 2 1 0 1 2:1 3
7 Marines 2 1 0 1 4:4 3
8 Police 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
9 Musanze 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
10 Gorilla 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
11 Kiyovu 3 1 0 2 1:2 3
12 Sunrise 2 0 2 0 1:1 2
13 Rayon Sport 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
14 Al Merreikh 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
15 Etoile de L'Est 3 0 1 2 1:4 1
16 Kigali FC 3 0 1 2 0:4 1
17 Bugesera 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
18 Gasogi United 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)