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Gicumbi vs Police - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Rwanda Rwanda

Premier League 2025/2026
Gicumbi Logo

Gicumbi

1 - 2
FT
Police Logo

Police

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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Gicumbi and Police finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Police.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Gicumbi
15%
Draws
36%
Police
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gicumbi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Police haven't matched Gicumbi's recent run of results.
  • 49% — that's where the model lands on Gicumbi taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Gicumbi Clean Sheet 68%
Police Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gicumbi Police
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 11 7
Draws 6 12
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.17 0.71
Goals Conceded 1.59 0.64
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 7, 2026 Premier League
Police vs Gicumbi
1:2
Mar 16, 2026 Premier League
Gicumbi vs Police
1:2
Nov 22, 2025 Premier League
Police vs Gicumbi
2:1
Mar 20, 2022 Premier League
Gicumbi vs Police
1:1
Dec 4, 2021 Premier League
Police vs Gicumbi
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gicumbi 50 / 100
Police 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gicumbi Police

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gicumbi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gicumbi scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Gicumbi has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Police's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Gicumbi VS Police
1.25 Goals Scored 0.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.5
88% Over 1.5 25%
75% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Gicumbi

(Home)
15 Sept
Etoile de L'Est
1 : 2
Gicumbi
12 Sept
Gicumbi
1 : 0
Amagaju
07 Sept
Police
1 : 2
Gicumbi
31 May
APR
2 : 0
Gicumbi
24 May
Gicumbi
3 : 2
Mukura Victory Sports
Page 1 of 6

Police

(Away)
17 Sept
Mukura Victory Sports
0 : 1
Police
07 Sept
Police
1 : 2
Gicumbi
30 Aug
Kiyovu
1 : 0
Police
27 Aug
Rayon Sport
0 : 1
Police
28 May
Gasogi United
0 : 1
Police
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Hilal Omdurman 34 23 6 5 74:25 75
2 APR 34 19 11 4 50:28 68
3 Al Merreikh 34 16 11 7 41:24 59
4 Rayon Sport 34 14 14 6 40:30 56
5 Kiyovu 34 13 14 7 34:21 53
6 Police 34 12 16 6 29:19 52
7 Mukura Victory Sports 34 12 11 11 36:38 47
8 Marines 34 12 9 13 47:43 45
9 Bugesera 34 12 8 14 34:39 44
10 Musanze 34 11 10 13 38:37 43
11 Gorilla 34 10 10 14 31:42 40
12 Gicumbi 34 10 8 16 38:54 38
13 Etincelles 34 7 16 11 32:40 37
14 Kigali FC 34 8 11 15 27:39 35
15 Gasogi United 34 8 11 15 29:44 35
16 Amagaju 34 9 8 17 19:38 35
17 Muhanga 34 8 7 19 25:46 31
18 Rutsiro 34 6 11 17 30:47 29
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)