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Gievenbeck vs TUS Bovinghausen - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Oberliga Westfalen 2024/2025
Thu, Apr 17, 2025
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Gievenbeck host TUS Bovinghausen in the Oberliga Westfalen 2024/2025. Gievenbeck go into this one as the clear favorite. Gievenbeck have averaged 1.87 scored and 1.6 conceded recently, against TUS Bovinghausen's 1.1 scored and 4 conceded. Past meetings favor Gievenbeck slightly — 3-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 17, 2025, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.60 - 1.31) back Gievenbeck to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Gievenbeck
15%
Draws
0%
TUS Bovinghausen
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gievenbeck

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Gievenbeck lately — more wins on the board than TUS Bovinghausen.
  • Model gives Gievenbeck a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Gievenbeck Clean Sheet 18%
TUS Bovinghausen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gievenbeck TUS Bovinghausen
Matches Played 30 20
Wins 12 2
Draws 8 1
Losses 10 17
Goals Scored 1.87 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.6 4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2025 Oberliga Westfalen
Gievenbeck vs TUS Bovinghausen
0:0
Oct 26, 2024 Oberliga Westfalen
TUS Bovinghausen vs Gievenbeck
3:3
Apr 21, 2024 Oberliga Westfalen
TUS Bovinghausen vs Gievenbeck
1:3
Oct 29, 2023 Oberliga Westfalen
Gievenbeck vs TUS Bovinghausen
1:0
Apr 23, 2023 Oberliga Westfalen
TUS Bovinghausen vs Gievenbeck
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gievenbeck 40 / 100
TUS Bovinghausen 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gievenbeck TUS Bovinghausen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gievenbeck Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gievenbeck found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

TUS Bovinghausen let in goals in 100% of their last 20 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Away concern: TUS Bovinghausen has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Gievenbeck VS -
2 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Gievenbeck

(Home)
04 Oct
Gievenbeck
3 : 0
Hiltrup
30 Sept
Verl II
6 : 0
Gievenbeck
19 Sept
Gievenbeck
2 : 0
Arminia Bielefeld II
13 Sept
Clarholz
2 : 4
Gievenbeck
04 Sept
Gievenbeck
2 : 1
Preussen Munster 2
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TUS Bovinghausen

(Away)
23 Mar
Verl II
2 : 0
TUS Bovinghausen
16 Mar
TUS Bovinghausen
0 : 2
Schermbeck 2020
09 Mar
Concordia Wiemelhausen
5 : 3
TUS Bovinghausen
01 Mar
TUS Bovinghausen
1 : 9
ASC 09 Dortmund
23 Feb
TUS Bovinghausen
1 : 7
Vreden
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Siegen 34 23 9 2 70:25 78
2 Bochum II 34 21 8 5 79:31 71
3 ASC 09 Dortmund 34 19 5 10 81:53 62
4 Westfalia Rhynern 34 16 4 14 58:46 52
5 Eintracht Rheine 34 15 5 14 56:46 50
6 Schermbeck 2020 34 14 8 12 62:59 50
7 Lippstadt 34 15 5 14 54:51 50
8 SG Wattenscheid 34 14 7 13 50:47 49
9 Preussen Munster 2 34 14 6 14 65:66 48
10 Gievenbeck 34 11 11 12 51:49 44
11 Vreden 34 12 7 15 52:56 43
12 Verl II 34 12 7 15 47:51 43
13 Ahlen 34 11 9 14 56:69 42
14 Finnentrop/Bamenohl 34 12 5 17 45:68 41
15 Clarholz 34 10 9 15 40:47 39
16 TUS Ennepetal 34 10 7 17 52:75 37
17 Erkenschwick 34 7 9 18 41:68 30
18 Concordia Wiemelhausen 34 7 5 22 49:101 26
19 TUS Bovinghausen 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Regionalliga West 2025/2026 (Main)