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Gifu vs Matsumoto Yamaga

Japan Japan

J2/J3 League Gifu Memorial Center Nagaragawa Ball Field, Gifu
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Match Events

35'
Matsumoto A.
43' Event
Fujieda K.
Assist: Saso K.
61' Event
Inoue A.
Assist: Fujieda K.

AI Match Summary

Matsumoto Yamaga in this J2/J3 League matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Matsumoto Yamaga.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Gifu
40%
Draws
29%
Matsumoto Yamaga
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Gifu lately — more wins on the board than Matsumoto Yamaga.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular J2/J3 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Matsumoto Yamaga have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Gifu Clean Sheet 16%
Matsumoto Yamaga Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gifu Matsumoto Yamaga
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 14 11
Draws 1 1
Losses 15 17
Goals Scored 1 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 6, 2026 J2/J3 League
Gifu vs Matsumoto Yamaga
0:3
Mar 21, 2026 J2/J3 League
Matsumoto Yamaga vs Gifu
3:2
Jul 26, 2025 J3 League
Matsumoto Yamaga vs Gifu
1:0
Mar 29, 2025 J3 League
Gifu vs Matsumoto Yamaga
1:1
Aug 31, 2024 J3 League
Gifu vs Matsumoto Yamaga
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gifu Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Matsumoto Yamaga Compare

Top Goalscorer Fujieda K.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Inoue A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gifu 31 / 100
Matsumoto Yamaga 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gifu Matsumoto Yamaga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gifu scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Matsumoto Yamaga conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Gifu went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gifu VS Matsumoto Yamaga
1 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Gifu

(Home)
06 Jun
Gifu
1 : 2
Gainare Tottori
31 May
Thespakusatsu Gunma
0 : 1
Gifu
23 May
Gifu
0 : 2
Omiya Ardija
16 May
Kofu
2 : 2
Gifu
09 May
Nagano Parceiro
2 : 3
Gifu
Page 1 of 6

Matsumoto Yamaga

(Away)
06 Jun
Matsumoto Yamaga
0 : 2
Nara Club
31 May
Montedio Yamagata
1 : 2
Matsumoto Yamaga
24 May
Matsumoto Yamaga
3 : 4
Fukushima United
17 May
Iwaki
1 : 2
Matsumoto Yamaga
10 May
Matsumoto Yamaga
0 : 1
Fujieda MYFC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vegalta Sendai18160237:1543
2Blaublitz18110723:1635
3Shonan Bellmare18110728:2031
4Yokohama FC18100836:2829
5SC Sagamihara1890933:3628
6Thespakusatsu Gunma18701127:3923
7Montedio Yamagata18801022:2522
8Tochigi City18701122:3521
9Vanraure17501216:2318
10Tochigi SC17501224:3117
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Kofu17110620:1233
2Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo18110728:2231
3Iwaki18110726:2031
4Omiya Ardija18100839:2930
5Fujieda MYFC1890924:2330
6Gifu1790823:2527
7Matsumoto Yamaga18801033:2526
8Iwata1890920:2525
9Fukushima United18601230:4318
10Nagano Parceiro18501317:3616
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Toyama18130540:2638
2Albirex Niigata18120624:1935
3Tokushima18110738:2332
4Kochi United18100825:2330
5Ehime1890926:2028
6Kanazawa18100820:2327
7Nara Club18701127:3621
8FC Osaka18601218:2320
9Imabari18601215:2120
10Kamatamare Sanuki18601215:3419
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tegevajaro Miyazaki18150335:1347
2Kagoshima United18120627:1633
3Sagan Tosu18100826:1832
4Renofa Yamaguchi18100827:2429
5Kumamoto1890921:2127
6Gainare Tottori18100824:2527
7Oita Trinita18701119:2022
8Reilac Shiga18701116:2921
9Ryukyu18601217:2817
10Giravanz Kitakyushu18401417:3515
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)