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Gifu vs Matsumoto Yamaga

Japan Japan

J2/J3 League Gifu Memorial Center Nagaragawa Ball Field, Gifu
Gifu Logo

Gifu

0 - 3
FT
Matsumoto Yamaga Logo

Matsumoto Yamaga

Our Tip

Match Events

35'
Matsumoto A.
43' Event
Fujieda K.
Assist: Saso K.
61' Event
Inoue A.
Assist: Fujieda K.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Matsumoto Yamaga in this J2/J3 League matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Matsumoto Yamaga.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Gifu
20%
Draws
46%
Matsumoto Yamaga
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Matsumoto Yamaga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Gifu lately — more wins on the board than Matsumoto Yamaga.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular J2/J3 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Matsumoto Yamaga have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Gifu Clean Sheet 20%
Matsumoto Yamaga Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gifu Matsumoto Yamaga
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 13 12
Draws 2 5
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.64 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 6, 2026 J2/J3 League
Gifu vs Matsumoto Yamaga
0:3
Mar 21, 2026 J2/J3 League
Matsumoto Yamaga vs Gifu
3:2
Jul 26, 2025 J3 League
Matsumoto Yamaga vs Gifu
1:0
Mar 29, 2025 J3 League
Gifu vs Matsumoto Yamaga
1:1
Aug 31, 2024 J3 League
Gifu vs Matsumoto Yamaga
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gifu Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Matsumoto Yamaga Compare

Top Goalscorer Fujieda K.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Inoue A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gifu 32 / 100
Matsumoto Yamaga 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gifu Matsumoto Yamaga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gifu scored in 68% of their last 28 games.

Defensive concern: Matsumoto Yamaga conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Gifu went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gifu VS Matsumoto Yamaga
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Gifu

(Home)
26 Sept
Kamatamare Sanuki
3 : 4
Gifu
20 Sept
Nagano Parceiro
1 : 0
Gifu
12 Sept
Nara Club
2 : 1
Gifu
05 Sept
Gifu
0 : 1
Kanazawa
02 Sept
Gifu
1 : 0
Tokushima
Page 1 of 6

Matsumoto Yamaga

(Away)
26 Sept
Tochigi SC
1 : 2
Matsumoto Yamaga
18 Sept
Kumamoto
0 : 0
Matsumoto Yamaga
13 Sept
Matsumoto Yamaga
1 : 3
SC Sagamihara
09 Sept
Matsumoto Yamaga
4 : 3
Shonan Bellmare
05 Sept
Matsumoto Yamaga
0 : 0
FC Osaka
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vegalta Sendai 18 16 0 2 37:15 43
2 Blaublitz 18 11 0 7 23:16 35
3 Shonan Bellmare 18 11 0 7 28:20 31
4 Yokohama FC 18 10 0 8 36:28 29
5 SC Sagamihara 18 9 0 9 33:36 28
6 Thespakusatsu Gunma 18 7 0 11 27:39 23
7 Montedio Yamagata 18 8 0 10 22:25 22
8 Tochigi City 18 7 0 11 22:35 21
9 Vanraure 17 5 0 12 16:23 18
10 Tochigi SC 17 5 0 12 24:31 17
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kofu 17 11 0 6 20:12 33
2 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 18 11 0 7 28:22 31
3 Iwaki 18 11 0 7 26:20 31
4 Omiya Ardija 18 10 0 8 39:29 30
5 Fujieda MYFC 18 9 0 9 24:23 30
6 Gifu 17 9 0 8 23:25 27
7 Matsumoto Yamaga 18 8 0 10 33:25 26
8 Iwata 18 9 0 9 20:25 25
9 Fukushima United 18 6 0 12 30:43 18
10 Nagano Parceiro 18 5 0 13 17:36 16
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Toyama 18 13 0 5 40:26 38
2 Albirex Niigata 18 12 0 6 24:19 35
3 Tokushima 18 11 0 7 38:23 32
4 Kochi United 18 10 0 8 25:23 30
5 Ehime 18 9 0 9 26:20 28
6 Kanazawa 18 10 0 8 20:23 27
7 Nara Club 18 7 0 11 27:36 21
8 FC Osaka 18 6 0 12 18:23 20
9 Imabari 18 6 0 12 15:21 20
10 Kamatamare Sanuki 18 6 0 12 15:34 19
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tegevajaro Miyazaki 18 15 0 3 35:13 47
2 Kagoshima United 18 12 0 6 27:16 33
3 Sagan Tosu 18 10 0 8 26:18 32
4 Renofa Yamaguchi 18 10 0 8 27:24 29
5 Kumamoto 18 9 0 9 21:21 27
6 Gainare Tottori 18 10 0 8 24:25 27
7 Oita Trinita 18 7 0 11 19:20 22
8 Reilac Shiga 18 7 0 11 16:29 21
9 Ryukyu 18 6 0 12 17:28 17
10 Giravanz Kitakyushu 18 4 0 14 17:35 15
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)