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Gijang United vs Jinju Citizen - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

South Korea South Korea

K4 League
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AI Match Summary

The K4 League game between Gijang United and Jinju Citizen finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Jinju Citizen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Gijang United
20%
Draws
38%
Jinju Citizen
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Gijang United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Jinju Citizen carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Jinju Citizen a 38% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Gijang United Clean Sheet 10%
Jinju Citizen Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gijang United Jinju Citizen
Matches Played 24 29
Wins 9 21
Draws 2 3
Losses 13 5
Goals Scored 1.42 2.03
Goals Conceded 1.83 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 K4 League
Gijang United vs Jinju Citizen
1:4
Apr 12, 2026 K4 League
Jinju Citizen vs Gijang United
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gijang United 26 / 100
Jinju Citizen 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gijang United Jinju Citizen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jinju Citizen Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Gijang United found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (24 games).

Gijang United has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Jinju Citizen has conceded goals in 48% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Gijang United VS Jinju Citizen
1.5 Goals Scored 1.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Gijang United

(Home)
03 Oct
Namyangju
2 : 1
Gijang United
13 Sept
Gijang United
3 : 1
Geumsan Insam
29 Aug
Pyeongtaek Citizen
2 : 3
Gijang United
22 Aug
Gijang United
1 : 4
Jinju Citizen
25 Jul
Seosan Pioneer
0 : 2
Gijang United
Page 1 of 5

Jinju Citizen

(Away)
03 Oct
Jinju Citizen
0 : 0
Geoje
12 Sept
Sejong SA
0 : 4
Jinju Citizen
06 Sept
Jinju Citizen
1 : 2
Namyangju
30 Aug
Geumsan Insam
1 : 1
Jinju Citizen
22 Aug
Gijang United
1 : 4
Jinju Citizen
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jinju Citizen 21 16 3 2 50:16 51
2 Jincheon 21 12 5 4 42:20 41
3 Namyangju 22 11 6 5 32:27 39
4 Seoul Jungnang 21 10 4 7 38:27 34
5 Geumsan Insam 21 8 8 5 33:25 32
6 Jecheon Citizen 22 8 7 7 29:32 31
7 Geoje 19 8 4 7 33:26 28
8 Pyeongchang United 21 8 3 10 28:32 27
9 Gijang United 21 8 2 11 29:38 26
10 Sejong SA 21 8 2 11 30:47 26
11 Haman 20 6 2 12 23:35 20
12 Pyeongtaek Citizen 21 3 5 13 27:45 14
13 Seosan Pioneer 21 4 1 16 23:47 13
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