Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Gijon Industrial vs Luarca

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Alegre I.
18' Event
Prieto I.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Gijon Industrial
30%
Draws
12%
Luarca
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Gijon Industrial

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Gijon Industrial have won more games recently than Luarca.
  • Win probability leans Gijon Industrial's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Gijon Industrial Clean Sheet 15%
Luarca Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gijon Industrial Luarca
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 7 6
Draws 12 6
Losses 12 18
Goals Scored 1.16 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.61 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 5, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Luarca vs Gijon Industrial
2:3
Jan 14, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Gijon Industrial vs Luarca
1:1
Jan 9, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Gijon Industrial vs Luarca
2:1
Sep 12, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Luarca vs Gijon Industrial
0:0
Mar 9, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Luarca vs Gijon Industrial
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gijon Industrial Compare

Top Goalscorer Alegre I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Luarca Compare

Top Goalscorer Prieto I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gijon Industrial 84 / 100
Luarca 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gijon Industrial Luarca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gijon Industrial Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Luarca let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Gijon Industrial found the back of the net in 65% of recent matches (31 games).

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Gijon Industrial remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Gijon Industrial VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
2.13 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Gijon Industrial

(Home)
27 Sept
Gijon Industrial
1 : 2
Condal
20 Sept
Llanes
2 : 2
Gijon Industrial
13 Sept
CD Mosconia
2 : 0
Gijon Industrial
06 Sept
Gijon Industrial
2 : 0
EI San Martin
29 Aug
Gijon Industrial
0 : 0
Covadonga
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Luarca

(Away)
12 May
Lealtad
4 : 0
Luarca
05 May
Luarca
2 : 3
Gijon Industrial
01 May
Lenense
3 : 0
Luarca
27 Apr
Luarca
1 : 2
Basico Urraca
21 Apr
Tuilla
1 : 1
Luarca
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Llanera 34 28 3 3 105:25 87
2 Gijon B 34 21 8 5 61:15 71
3 Lealtad 34 19 8 7 53:25 65
4 Union Club Ceares 34 19 8 7 52:30 65
5 L Entregu CF 34 18 9 7 51:32 63
6 Praviano 34 13 16 5 34:26 55
7 Tuilla 34 13 13 8 56:43 52
8 Basico Urraca 34 11 11 12 33:35 44
9 Caudal Deportivo 34 9 16 9 35:35 43
10 CD Colunga 34 11 8 15 38:44 41
11 Lenense 34 10 8 16 32:45 38
12 Aviles Stadium 34 8 12 14 30:43 36
13 Real Titanico 34 9 9 16 43:63 36
14 Condal 34 10 6 18 28:49 36
15 Llanes 34 9 8 17 36:54 35
16 Gijon Industrial 34 7 9 18 36:67 30
17 Luarca 34 6 7 21 38:75 25
18 Barcia 34 2 7 25 26:81 13
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2023/2024 (Play Offs)