Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 2

Tuilla

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Gijon Industrial play Tuilla in the Tercera RFEF - Group 2. It looks like a close match. Recently, Gijon Industrial averaged 1.07 goals scored and 1.67 conceded. Tuilla averaged 0.97 goals scored and 1.77 conceded. In past meetings, Gijon Industrial won 2, Tuilla won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 29, 2026 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.13 for Gijon Industrial and 1.63 for Tuilla. This points to a Gijon Industrial double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%

Gijon Industrial

22%

Draws

35%

Tuilla

Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Gijon Industrial

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence

Gijon Industrial picked up more points recently compared to Tuilla.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.13 vs 1.63 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 74%

Over 2.5 Goals 45%

Over 3.5 Goals 27%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 54%

Gijon Industrial Clean Sheet 14%

Tuilla Clean Sheet 13%

First Half Goal 67%

Second Half Goal 70%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Gijon Industrial	Tuilla
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	7	7
Draws	9	5
Losses	14	18
Goals Scored	1.07	0.97
Goals Conceded	1.67	1.77
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.63	0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 2

Gijon Industrial vs Tuilla

Possession: 49% - 57% Cards: 1 - 3

0:2

Nov 16, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 2

Tuilla vs Gijon Industrial

Possession: 58% - 52% Cards: 3 - 0

0:1

Mar 17, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 2

Gijon Industrial vs Tuilla

Possession: 59% - 57% Cards: 2 - 2

1:1

Oct 29, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 2

Tuilla vs Gijon Industrial

Possession: 56% - 55% Cards: 3 - 2

3:1

May 1, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 2

Gijon Industrial vs Tuilla

Possession: 49% - 58% Cards: 1 - 1

3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gijon Industrial Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06

Avg xA / game 0.69

Tuilla Compare

Top Goalscorer Gonzalez D.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Monasterio M.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.48

Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gijon Industrial 42 / 100

Tuilla 34 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Gijon Industrial Tuilla

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Gijon Industrial or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +23%

2.86

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +15.2%

2.56

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Gijon Industrial attacking → ← attacking Tuilla

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gijon Industrial scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Tuilla let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Gijon Industrial went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Tuilla lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

30 Points in last 5 26

1.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.63

1.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Llanera	34	29	4	1	71:18	91
2	Covadonga	34	25	5	4	88:24	80
3	Gijon B	34	19	10	5	79:29	67
4	Caudal Deportivo	34	20	6	8	59:39	66
5	CD Mosconia	34	16	7	11	46:29	55
6	EI San Martin	34	14	9	11	36:36	51
7	L Entregu CF	34	13	10	11	41:42	49
8	Union Club Ceares	34	12	9	13	39:40	45
9	Praviano	34	11	9	14	36:42	42
10	Club Siero	34	11	8	15	39:49	41
11	CD Colunga	34	10	9	15	38:59	39
12	Llanes	34	8	13	13	44:51	37
13	Aviles Stadium	34	6	15	13	21:40	33
14	Gijon Industrial	34	7	11	16	36:57	32
15	Lenense	34	7	11	16	36:58	32
16	Navarro	34	6	13	15	38:53	31
17	Tuilla	34	7	6	21	31:60	27
18	Real Titanico	34	3	9	22	22:74	18