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Gil Vicente U19 vs FC Porto U19

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato Nacional U19
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Gil Vicente U19 play FC Porto U19 in the Campeonato Nacional U19. FC Porto U19 are favorites here. Recently, Gil Vicente U19 averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.83 conceded. FC Porto U19 averaged 2.87 goals scored and 1.3 conceded. In past meetings, Gil Vicente U19 won 0, FC Porto U19 won 5, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 17, 2026 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.81 for Gil Vicente U19 and 2.75 for FC Porto U19. This points to a FC Porto U19 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Gil Vicente U19
15%
Draws
60%
FC Porto U19
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FC Porto U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

86% / Very High Confidence
  • Gil Vicente U19 picked up more points recently compared to FC Porto U19.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.81 vs 2.75 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 75%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 88%
Over 1.5 Goals 85%
Over 2.5 Goals 75%
Over 3.5 Goals 45%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 48%
Gil Vicente U19 Clean Sheet 10%
FC Porto U19 Clean Sheet 18%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 81%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gil Vicente U19 FC Porto U19
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 22
Draws 4 4
Losses 16 4
Goals Scored 1.2 2.87
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 3.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2026 Campeonato Nacional U19
FC Porto U19 vs Gil Vicente U19
3:0
Feb 7, 2026 Campeonato Nacional U19
Gil Vicente U19 vs FC Porto U19
1:2
Jan 11, 2026 Campeonato Nacional U19
Gil Vicente U19 vs FC Porto U19
0:1
Oct 3, 2025 Campeonato Nacional U19
FC Porto U19 vs Gil Vicente U19
3:0
Apr 19, 2025 Campeonato Nacional U19
FC Porto U19 vs Gil Vicente U19
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gil Vicente U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ferreira D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

FC Porto U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Gomes S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pereira Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.18
Avg xA / game 1.94

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gil Vicente U19 25 / 100
FC Porto U19 58 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gil Vicente U19 FC Porto U19

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Porto U19 Win (2)
Secondary Pick FC Porto U19 & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +47%
5.88
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.7%
1.45
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Gil Vicente U19 attacking → ← attacking FC Porto U19

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gil Vicente U19 scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

FC Porto U19 let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Gil Vicente U19 went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

FC Porto U19 lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

34 Points in last 5 70
0.75 Goals expected (xG) 3.50
2.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88