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Gil Vicente U19 vs Vitoria Guimaraes U19

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

56' Event
Venancio R.

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026 game between Gil Vicente U19 and Vitoria Guimaraes U19 finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vitoria Guimaraes U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Gil Vicente U19
30%
Draws
23%
Vitoria Guimaraes U19
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Gil Vicente U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Gil Vicente U19 haven't matched Vitoria Guimaraes U19's recent run of results.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Gil Vicente U19 taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Gil Vicente U19 Clean Sheet 68%
Vitoria Guimaraes U19 Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gil Vicente U19 Vitoria Guimaraes U19
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 9 12
Draws 6 7
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 0.84 1.42
Goals Conceded 1.71 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 7, 2025 Campeonato Nacional U19
Gil Vicente U19 vs Vitoria Guimaraes U19
0:1
Aug 24, 2025 Campeonato Nacional U19
Vitoria Guimaraes U19 vs Gil Vicente U19
2:1
May 4, 2025 Campeonato Nacional U19
Vitoria Guimaraes U19 vs Gil Vicente U19
0:1
Mar 8, 2025 Campeonato Nacional U19
Gil Vicente U19 vs Vitoria Guimaraes U19
1:1
Nov 2, 2024 Campeonato Nacional U19
Gil Vicente U19 vs Vitoria Guimaraes U19
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gil Vicente U19 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Vitoria Guimaraes U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Venancio R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gil Vicente U19 86 / 100
Vitoria Guimaraes U19 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gil Vicente U19 Vitoria Guimaraes U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gil Vicente U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gil Vicente U19 found the back of the net in 61% of recent matches (31 games).

Vitoria Guimaraes U19's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Gil Vicente U19 stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gil Vicente U19 VS Vitoria Guimaraes U19
0.5 Goals Scored 1.13
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Gil Vicente U19

(Home)
19 Sept
Moreirense U19
1 : 1
Gil Vicente U19
12 Sept
Gil Vicente U19
2 : 0
Vizela U19
05 Sept
Feirense U19
1 : 0
Gil Vicente U19
29 Aug
Braga U19
0 : 0
Gil Vicente U19
22 Aug
Gil Vicente U19
1 : 0
Academico Viseu U19
Page 1 of 7

Vitoria Guimaraes U19

(Away)
26 Sept
Famalicao U19
3 : 1
Vitoria Guimaraes U19
19 Sept
Vitoria Guimaraes U19
1 : 2
Braga U19
12 Sept
Rio Ave U19
2 : 0
Vitoria Guimaraes U19
05 Sept
Vitoria Guimaraes U19
1 : 0
FC Porto U19
22 Aug
Vitoria Guimaraes U19
1 : 1
Famalicao U19
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Porto U19 18 16 1 1 62:19 49
2 Gil Vicente U19 18 10 2 6 31:23 32
3 Rio Ave U19 18 10 1 7 32:31 31
4 Famalicao U19 18 9 3 6 35:29 30
5 Vitoria Guimaraes U19 18 8 3 7 22:27 27
6 Braga U19 18 8 3 7 32:26 27
7 Vizela U19 18 5 4 9 30:39 19
8 Pacos Ferreira U19 18 5 4 9 22:37 19
9 Moreirense U19 18 4 4 10 20:27 16
10 Chaves U19 18 0 5 13 10:38 5
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Benfica U19 18 10 6 2 31:14 36
2 Leiria U19 18 8 6 4 30:23 30
3 Sporting CP U19 18 8 5 5 27:15 29
4 Santa Clara U19 18 7 7 4 24:17 28
5 Academico Viseu U19 18 5 9 4 23:19 24
6 Torreense U19 18 6 4 8 17:20 22
7 Alverca U19 18 6 3 9 23:26 21
8 Belenenses U19 18 5 5 8 13:23 20
9 Tondela U19 18 4 5 9 11:26 17
10 Mafra U19 18 3 6 9 22:38 15
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)