Sport Picks
Gil Vicente vs AFS - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Portugal
Liga Portugal 2025/2026 Estádio Cidade de Barcelos, Barcelos 
Match Events
11'
11'
Varela G.
Assist: Esteves L.
20'
20'
Tomane
34'
34'
Murilo de Souza
AI Match Summary
Gil Vicente in this Liga Portugal 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gil Vicente.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
25%
35%
40%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: AFS
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- AFS haven't matched Gil Vicente's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans AFS's way, sitting at 50%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Gil Vicente Clean Sheet 24%
AFS Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Gil Vicente | AFS |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 7 |
| Draws | 9 | 12 |
| Losses | 9 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.32 | 1.07 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.25 | 1.14 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 3, 2026 Liga Portugal
Gil Vicente vs AFS
3:0
Nov 9, 2025 Liga Portugal
AFS vs Gil Vicente
1:1
Jan 27, 2025 Liga Portugal
AFS vs Gil Vicente
1:0
Aug 16, 2024 Liga Portugal
Gil Vicente vs AFS
4:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Gil Vicente Compare
Top Goalscorer Varela G.
2 Goals Assists Leader Murilo de Souza
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44
AFS Compare
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Gil Vicente 25 / 100
AFS 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Gil Vicente AFS
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick AFS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Gil Vicente scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.
AFS let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Gil Vicente has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Gil Vicente VS AFS
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Gil Vicente
(Home) 19 Sept
Gil Vicente
1 : 1 Maritimo
13 Sept
Benfica
3 : 1 Gil Vicente
06 Sept
Gil Vicente
0 : 1 Academico Viseu
30 Aug
Famalicao
0 : 0 Gil Vicente
24 Aug
Gil Vicente
2 : 0 Casa Pia
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Gil Vicente
1 : 1 Maritimo
06 Sept
Gil Vicente
0 : 1 Academico Viseu
24 Aug
Gil Vicente
2 : 0 Casa Pia
09 Aug
Gil Vicente
1 : 0 Rio Ave
25 Jul
Gil Vicente
2 : 2 Moreirense
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AFS
(Away) 20 Sept
Sintrense
0 : 2 AFS
13 Sept
AFS
0 : 0 SC Farense
07 Sept
Lusitania FC
2 : 1 AFS
30 Aug
AFS
2 : 0 Feirense
23 Aug
Chaves
2 : 2 AFS
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Sintrense
0 : 2 AFS
07 Sept
Lusitania FC
2 : 1 AFS
23 Aug
Chaves
2 : 2 AFS
17 Aug
FC Felgueiras
1 : 1 AFS
25 Jul
Pacos Ferreira
0 : 2 AFS
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 34 | 28 | 4 | 2 | 66:18 | 88 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 89:24 | 82 |
| 3 | Benfica | 34 | 23 | 11 | 0 | 74:25 | 80 |
| 4 | Braga | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 64:36 | 59 |
| 5 | Famalicao | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 42:29 | 56 |
| 6 | Gil Vicente | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 47:38 | 50 |
| 7 | Moreirense | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 37:49 | 43 |
| 8 | Arouca | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 47:64 | 42 |
| 9 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 39:51 | 42 |
| 10 | Estoril | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 54:57 | 39 |
| 11 | Alverca | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 35:52 | 39 |
| 12 | Rio Ave | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 35:57 | 36 |
| 13 | Santa Clara | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 32:41 | 36 |
| 14 | Nacional | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 37:45 | 34 |
| 15 | Estrela da Amadora | 34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 38:56 | 30 |
| 16 | Casa Pia | 34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 31:57 | 30 |
| 17 | Tondela | 34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 27:55 | 28 |
| 18 | AFS | 34 | 3 | 12 | 19 | 27:67 | 21 |
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2 (Main)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2 (Main)
