Sport Picks
Gil Vicente vs Rio Ave - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Portugal
Liga Portugal Estádio Cidade de Barcelos, Barcelos 
Match Events
19'
19'
Sub
Moreira da Costa W. In: Moreira D.
Out: Moreira da Costa W.
26'
26'
Sub
Ryan Guilherme In: Monteiro T.
Out: Ryan Guilherme
32'
32'
Caseres F.
AI Match Summary
Gil Vicente in this Liga Portugal matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gil Vicente.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
30%
31%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Gil Vicente
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Gil Vicente have won more games recently than Rio Ave.
- Model gives Gil Vicente a 39% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Gil Vicente Clean Sheet 68%
Rio Ave Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Gil Vicente | Rio Ave |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 10 | 9 |
| Draws | 9 | 6 |
| Losses | 9 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.32 | 1.18 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.25 | 1.68 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 9, 2026 Liga Portugal
Gil Vicente vs Rio Ave
1:0
May 3, 2026 Liga Portugal
Rio Ave vs Gil Vicente
0:0
Dec 20, 2025 Liga Portugal
Gil Vicente vs Rio Ave
2:2
Aug 2, 2025 Club Friendly
Gil Vicente vs Rio Ave
3:1
May 16, 2025 Liga Portugal
Rio Ave vs Gil Vicente
1:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Gil Vicente 68 / 100
Rio Ave 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Gil Vicente Rio Ave
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Gil Vicente Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Gil Vicente found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (28 games).
Defensive concern: Rio Ave conceded in 79% of 28 recent games.
H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.
Gil Vicente has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Gil Vicente VS Rio Ave
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Gil Vicente
(Home) 19 Sept
Gil Vicente
1 : 1 Maritimo
13 Sept
Benfica
3 : 1 Gil Vicente
06 Sept
Gil Vicente
0 : 1 Academico Viseu
30 Aug
Famalicao
0 : 0 Gil Vicente
24 Aug
Gil Vicente
2 : 0 Casa Pia
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Gil Vicente
1 : 1 Maritimo
06 Sept
Gil Vicente
0 : 1 Academico Viseu
24 Aug
Gil Vicente
2 : 0 Casa Pia
09 Aug
Gil Vicente
1 : 0 Rio Ave
25 Jul
Gil Vicente
2 : 2 Moreirense
Page 1 of 4
Rio Ave
(Away) 19 Sept
Alverca
1 : 0 Rio Ave
14 Sept
Rio Ave
3 : 3 Estrela da Amadora
06 Sept
Santa Clara
4 : 0 Rio Ave
28 Aug
Rio Ave
0 : 4 Sporting CP
22 Aug
Estoril
0 : 2 Rio Ave
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Alverca
1 : 0 Rio Ave
06 Sept
Santa Clara
4 : 0 Rio Ave
22 Aug
Estoril
0 : 2 Rio Ave
09 Aug
Gil Vicente
1 : 0 Rio Ave
15 Jul
Portimonense
0 : 3 Rio Ave
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 18:3 | 21 |
| 2 | Benfica | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 22:7 | 16 |
| 3 | Sporting CP | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 17:8 | 15 |
| 4 | Santa Clara | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 11:4 | 15 |
| 5 | Arouca | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10:7 | 11 |
| 6 | Braga | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7:5 | 11 |
| 7 | Academico Viseu | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9:9 | 11 |
| 8 | Estrela da Amadora | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 14:14 | 10 |
| 9 | Gil Vicente | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5:5 | 8 |
| 10 | Alverca | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:11 | 8 |
| 11 | Maritimo | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:12 | 8 |
| 12 | Moreirense | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:14 | 8 |
| 13 | Famalicao | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 9:7 | 7 |
| 14 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5:8 | 5 |
| 15 | Nacional | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7:15 | 4 |
| 16 | Rio Ave | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5:15 | 4 |
| 17 | Casa Pia | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3:16 | 4 |
| 18 | Estoril | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3:10 | 2 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2 2027/2028 (Main)
