Sport Picks
Gillingham vs AFC Wimbledon
England
EFL Cup 2025/2026 Priestfield Stadium, Gillingham 
Match Events
32'
32'
Hackford A.
Assist: Orsi-Dadomo D.
42'
42'
Sasu A.
53'
53'
Sub
Ogie S. In: McKenzie R.
Out: Ogie S.
AI Match Summary
AFC Wimbledon in this EFL Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 1-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
48%
15%
37%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gillingham
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- AFC Wimbledon have won more games recently than Gillingham.
- 36% — that's where the model lands on Gillingham taking it.
- AFC Wimbledon arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Gillingham, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Gillingham Clean Sheet 19%
AFC Wimbledon Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Gillingham | AFC Wimbledon |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 11 |
| Draws | 3 | 4 |
| Losses | 16 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 1.34 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.82 | 1.66 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 12, 2025 EFL Cup
Gillingham vs AFC Wimbledon
1:2
Apr 21, 2025 League Two
Gillingham vs AFC Wimbledon
1:0
Dec 30, 2024 League Two
AFC Wimbledon vs Gillingham
1:0
Mar 12, 2024 League Two
AFC Wimbledon vs Gillingham
2:0
Nov 28, 2023 League Two
Gillingham vs AFC Wimbledon
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Gillingham Compare
Top Goalscorer Coleman E.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
AFC Wimbledon Compare
Top Goalscorer Hackford A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Gillingham 36 / 100
AFC Wimbledon 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Gillingham AFC Wimbledon
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: AFC Wimbledon conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.
Gillingham scored in 61% of their last 28 games.
H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.
Gillingham has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Gillingham VS AFC Wimbledon
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Gillingham
(Home) 08 Aug
Gillingham
0 : 3 Luton
31 Jul
Ebbsfleet
1 : 2 Gillingham
21 Jul
Gillingham
1 : 0 Millwall
18 Jul
Gillingham
0 : 1 Charlton
14 Jul
Dover Ath.
0 : 3 Gillingham
Page 1 of 6
08 Aug
Gillingham
0 : 3 Luton
21 Jul
Gillingham
1 : 0 Millwall
18 Jul
Gillingham
0 : 1 Charlton
02 May
Gillingham
1 : 0 Shrewsbury
18 Apr
Gillingham
1 : 4 Grimsby
Page 1 of 3
AFC Wimbledon
(Away) 08 Aug
AFC Wimbledon
2 : 1 Newport
01 Aug
AFC Wimbledon
2 : 3 QPR
28 Jul
Wealdstone
1 : 0 AFC Wimbledon
25 Jul
AFC Wimbledon
2 : 0 Charlton
22 Jul
AFC Wimbledon
0 : 0 Norwich
Page 1 of 6
28 Jul
Wealdstone
1 : 0 AFC Wimbledon
18 Jul
Sutton
1 : 2 AFC Wimbledon
25 Apr
Wigan
0 : 1 AFC Wimbledon
11 Apr
Burton
1 : 0 AFC Wimbledon
03 Apr
Lincoln City
1 : 0 AFC Wimbledon
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Barrow 0
Preston 1
Wrexham 4
Hull City 3
Portsmouth 1
Reading 2
Gillingham 1
AFC Wimbledon 2
Burnley -
TBD -
West Brom 1
Derby 2
Cardiff 2
Swindon 1
Cheltenham 2
Exeter 0
Wolves -
TBD -
TBD -
West Ham -
Everton -
TBD -
Chesterfield 0
Mansfield 2
Tranmere 1
Burton 2
Harrogate 1
Lincoln City 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chelsea -
Birmingham 2
Sheffield Utd 1
Blackpool 0
Port Vale 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Arsenal -
Barnsley 3
Fleetwood Town 2
Salford 0
Rotherham 1
Oxford Utd 1
Colchester 0
TBD -
Brighton -
Liverpool -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Watford 1
Norwich 2
Northampton 0
Southampton 1
Crystal Palace -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Newport 0
Millwall 1
Coventry 1
Luton 0
Newcastle Utd -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stoke City 1
Walsall 0
Blackburn 1
Bradford City 2
Tottenham -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Accrington 2
Peterborough 1
Middlesbrough 0
Doncaster 4
Wigan 1
Notts County 0
Stockport County 3
Crewe 1
Bromley 2
Ipswich 1
Leyton Orient 0
Wycombe 1
Fulham -
TBD -
Bristol City 2
Milton Keynes Dons 0
Bristol Rovers 0
Cambridge Utd 2
Charlton 3
Stevenage 1
Swansea 3
Crawley Town 1
Plymouth 3
QPR 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nottingham -
Sunderland -
TBD -
Huddersfield 3
Leicester 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Manchester City -
Bolton 3
Sheffield Wed 4
TBD -
Leeds -
Grimsby 3
Shrewsbury 1
TBD -
Manchester United -
Bournemouth -
TBD -
TBD -
Brentford -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aston Villa -
1/32-finals
Preston 2
Wrexham 3
Reading 2
AFC Wimbledon 1
Burnley 2
Derby 1
Cardiff 3
Cheltenham 0
Wolves 3
West Ham 2
Everton 2
Mansfield 0
Burton 0
Lincoln City 1
TBD -
Chelsea -
Birmingham 0
Port Vale 1
TBD -
Arsenal -
Barnsley 2
Rotherham 1
Oxford Utd 0
Brighton 6
Liverpool -
TBD -
Norwich 0
Southampton 3
Crystal Palace -
TBD -
Millwall 2
Coventry 1
Newcastle Utd -
TBD -
Stoke City 0
Bradford City 3
Tottenham -
TBD -
Accrington 0
Doncaster 2
Wigan 1
Stockport County 0
Bromley 1
Wycombe 2
Fulham 2
Bristol City 0
Cambridge Utd 3
Charlton 1
Swansea 2
Plymouth 1
TBD -
Nottingham -
Sunderland 1
Huddersfield 2
TBD -
Manchester City -
Sheffield Wed 2
Leeds 1
Grimsby 3
Manchester United 2
Bournemouth 0
Brentford 2
TBD -
Aston Villa -
1/16-finals
Wrexham 2
Reading 0
Burnley 1
Cardiff 2
Wolves 2
Everton 0
Lincoln City 1
Chelsea 2
Port Vale 0
Arsenal 2
Barnsley 0
Brighton 6
Liverpool 2
Southampton 1
Crystal Palace 2
Millwall 1
Newcastle Utd 4
Bradford City 1
Tottenham 3
Doncaster 0
Wigan 0
Wycombe 2
Fulham 1
Cambridge Utd 0
Swansea 3
Nottingham 2
Huddersfield 0
Manchester City 2
Sheffield Wed 0
Grimsby 1
Brentford 2
Aston Villa 1
1/8-finals
Wrexham 1
Cardiff 2
Wolves 3
Chelsea 4
Arsenal 2
Brighton 0
Liverpool 0
Crystal Palace 3
Newcastle Utd 2
Tottenham 0
Wycombe 1
Fulham 2
Swansea 1
Manchester City 3
Grimsby 0
Brentford 5
Quarter-finals
Cardiff 1
Chelsea 3
Arsenal 2
Crystal Palace 1
Newcastle Utd 2
Fulham 1
Manchester City 2
Brentford 0
Semi-finals
Chelsea 2
Arsenal 4
Newcastle Utd 1
Manchester City 5
Final
Arsenal 0
Manchester City 2
