Sport Picks
Gillingham vs Newport - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
League Two Priestfield Stadium, Gillingham 
Match Events
14'
14'
Hale R.
15'
15'
Sillah L.
45'
45'
Biggins H.
AI Match Summary
The League Two game between Gillingham and Newport finished 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
30%
37%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Newport
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
37%
/ Low Confidence
- Newport carry the better recent record into this one.
- Newport are the model's pick here, at 40%.
- Regular League Two form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Gillingham Clean Sheet 21%
Newport Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Gillingham | Newport |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 31 |
| Wins | 9 | 12 |
| Draws | 7 | 6 |
| Losses | 13 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.1 | 1.32 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.72 | 1.61 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 3, 2026 League Two
Gillingham vs Newport
0:0
Jan 17, 2026 League Two
Gillingham vs Newport
3:2
Nov 1, 2025 FA Cup
Newport vs Gillingham
3:2
Sep 20, 2025 League Two
Newport vs Gillingham
1:3
Mar 4, 2025 League Two
Newport vs Gillingham
3:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Gillingham 29 / 100
Newport 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Gillingham Newport
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Newport Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:5
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.
Gillingham's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Newport let in goals in 77% of their last 31 matches.
Solid form: Gillingham remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Gillingham VS Newport
1.5 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Gillingham
(Home) 03 Oct
Gillingham
0 : 0 Newport
26 Sept
York City
3 : 0 Gillingham
22 Sept
Gillingham
1 : 4 Cambridge Utd
19 Sept
Gillingham
3 : 0 Bristol Rovers
12 Sept
Gillingham
2 : 0 Tranmere
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Gillingham
0 : 0 Newport
22 Sept
Gillingham
1 : 4 Cambridge Utd
19 Sept
Gillingham
3 : 0 Bristol Rovers
12 Sept
Gillingham
2 : 0 Tranmere
29 Aug
Gillingham
1 : 1 Northampton
Page 1 of 4
Newport
(Away) 06 Oct
Newport
2 : 3 Plymouth
03 Oct
Gillingham
0 : 0 Newport
26 Sept
Newport
2 : 1 Grimsby
22 Sept
Swindon
0 : 2 Newport
19 Sept
Accrington
0 : 0 Newport
Page 1 of 7
03 Oct
Gillingham
0 : 0 Newport
22 Sept
Swindon
0 : 2 Newport
19 Sept
Accrington
0 : 0 Newport
05 Sept
Northampton
1 : 0 Newport
01 Sept
Salford
2 : 1 Newport
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Salford | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 13:10 | 16 |
| 2 | Barnet | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 17:10 | 15 |
| 3 | Crewe | 9 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 11:7 | 15 |
| 4 | Cheltenham | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 16:14 | 15 |
| 5 | Bristol Rovers | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 14:14 | 15 |
| 6 | York City | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16:10 | 14 |
| 7 | Walsall | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 11:5 | 14 |
| 8 | Chesterfield | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 15:12 | 14 |
| 9 | Grimsby | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 13:10 | 13 |
| 10 | Gillingham | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 11:9 | 13 |
| 11 | Rochdale | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 10:11 | 13 |
| 12 | Tranmere | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 12:12 | 11 |
| 13 | Swindon | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9:13 | 11 |
| 14 | Shrewsbury | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9:14 | 11 |
| 15 | Newport | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12:12 | 10 |
| 16 | Accrington | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 13:14 | 10 |
| 17 | Rotherham | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 11:12 | 10 |
| 18 | Fleetwood Town | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 9:10 | 10 |
| 19 | Colchester | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 10:12 | 10 |
| 20 | Exeter | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5:6 | 9 |
| 21 | Oldham | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9:13 | 7 |
| 22 | Northampton | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3:6 | 6 |
| 23 | Port Vale | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3:9 | 5 |
| 24 | Crawley Town | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6:13 | 4 |
Promotion - League One 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League Two (Play Offs)
Relegation - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
