Wycombe in this EFL Trophy 2025/2026 tie, finishing 0-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
27%
Gillingham
33%
Draws
40%
Wycombe
Draw rate projection: 33%Favored: Wycombe
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
70%
/ Medium Confidence
Form's been kind to Wycombe lately — more wins on the board than Gillingham.
Wycombe are the model's pick here, at 40%.
Wycombe arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Wycombe, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals92%
Over 1.5 Goals82%
Over 2.5 Goals78%
Over 3.5 Goals44%
Over 4.5 Goals20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS)69.4%
Gillingham Clean Sheet10%
Wycombe Clean Sheet10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
Metric
Gillingham
Wycombe
Matches Played
29
29
Wins
8
13
Draws
5
5
Losses
16
11
Goals Scored
1.25
2.13
Goals Conceded
1.63
1.88
Expected Goals (xG)
1.25
2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)
1.63
1.88
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Nov 11, 2025EFL Trophy
GillinghamvsWycombe
0:3
Apr 9, 2022League One
GillinghamvsWycombe
1:1
Oct 9, 2021League One
WycombevsGillingham
2:0
Apr 25, 2020League One
WycombevsGillingham
0:0
Sep 14, 2019League One
GillinghamvsWycombe
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Gillingham Compare
Avg xG / game0.96
Avg xA / game0.63
Wycombe Compare
Top GoalscorerLowry A.
1 Goals
Assists LeaderMatton J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game1.94
Avg xA / game1.18
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Gillingham26 / 100
Wycombe38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Gillingham Wycombe
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary PickWYC Win (2)
Secondary PickOver 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score1:2
BTTS OutcomeYes (GG)
Over/Under PickOver 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Gillingham's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Defensive concern: Wycombe conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.
H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Gillingham stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.