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Gillingham vs Wycombe

England England

EFL Trophy 2025/2026 Priestfield Stadium, Gillingham
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Lowry A.
Assist: Quitirna A.
18'
Akomeah T.
46'
Sub
Hutton R. In: Gale S.
Out: Hutton R.

AI Match Summary

Wycombe in this EFL Trophy 2025/2026 tie, finishing 0-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Gillingham
35%
Draws
28%
Wycombe
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Gillingham

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Wycombe lately — more wins on the board than Gillingham.
  • Gillingham are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Wycombe arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Wycombe, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Gillingham Clean Sheet 17%
Wycombe Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gillingham Wycombe
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 8 10
Draws 6 4
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 1 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.7 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 11, 2025 EFL Trophy
Gillingham vs Wycombe
0:3
Apr 9, 2022 League One
Gillingham vs Wycombe
1:1
Oct 9, 2021 League One
Wycombe vs Gillingham
2:0
Apr 25, 2020 League One
Wycombe vs Gillingham
0:0
Sep 14, 2019 League One
Gillingham vs Wycombe
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gillingham Compare

Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Wycombe Compare

Top Goalscorer Lowry A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Matton J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gillingham 57 / 100
Wycombe 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gillingham Wycombe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gillingham Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Wycombe's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 28 matches.

Solid form: Gillingham remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Gillingham scored in 63% of their last 27 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Gillingham VS Wycombe
1 Goals Scored 1.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Gillingham

(Home)
12 Sept
Gillingham
2 : 0
Tranmere
05 Sept
Rochdale
1 : 4
Gillingham
01 Sept
Chesterfield
1 : 1
Gillingham
29 Aug
Gillingham
1 : 1
Northampton
22 Aug
Fleetwood Town
0 : 0
Gillingham
Page 1 of 6

Wycombe

(Away)
15 Sept
Wycombe
2 : 1
Chelsea U21
12 Sept
Leyton Orient
2 : 3
Wycombe
05 Sept
Wycombe
3 : 3
Milton Keynes Dons
01 Sept
Wycombe
1 : 2
Sheffield Wed
29 Aug
Stockport County
5 : 1
Wycombe
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Salford 3 3 0 0 9:3 9
2 Stockport County 3 2 0 1 7:7 5
3 Wolves U21 3 1 0 2 7:10 3
4 Wigan 3 0 0 3 2:5 1
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tranmere 3 3 0 0 6:4 8
2 Blackpool 3 2 0 1 8:3 6
3 Barrow 3 1 0 2 3:7 3
4 Nottingham U21 3 0 0 3 3:6 1
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Doncaster 3 3 0 0 8:2 9
2 Bradford City 3 2 0 1 8:5 6
3 Grimsby 3 1 0 2 6:8 3
4 Everton U21 3 0 0 3 5:12 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lincoln City 3 3 0 0 8:0 9
2 Barnsley 3 1 0 2 6:6 3
3 Manchester United U21 3 1 0 2 4:8 3
4 Notts County 3 1 0 2 2:6 3
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bolton 3 3 0 0 10:2 9
2 Rotherham 3 2 0 1 7:5 6
3 Manchester City U21 3 1 0 2 7:8 3
4 Oldham 3 0 0 3 5:14 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Harrogate 3 3 0 0 5:1 9
2 Huddersfield 3 2 0 1 9:4 6
3 Newcastle Utd U21 3 1 0 2 5:11 2
4 Mansfield 3 0 0 3 3:6 1
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Port Vale 3 2 0 1 9:4 7
2 Fleetwood Town 3 3 0 0 9:5 7
3 Accrington 3 1 0 2 5:6 4
4 Leeds U21 3 0 0 3 3:11 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Crewe 3 3 0 0 12:2 9
2 Chesterfield 3 1 0 2 4:9 4
3 Burton 3 1 0 2 3:4 3
4 Liverpool U21 3 1 0 2 2:6 2
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cardiff 3 2 0 1 4:2 6
2 Exeter 3 2 0 1 5:4 6
3 Newport 3 1 0 2 2:3 3
4 Arsenal U21 3 1 0 2 6:8 3
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bristol Rovers 3 3 0 0 6:4 8
2 Plymouth 3 2 0 1 8:3 6
3 Cheltenham 3 1 0 2 2:5 2
4 Tottenham U21 3 0 0 3 8:12 2
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 11)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Northampton 3 3 0 0 6:1 9
2 Walsall 3 2 0 1 3:2 5
3 Shrewsbury 3 1 0 2 5:6 3
4 Chelsea U21 3 0 0 3 1:6 1
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 12)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Swindon 3 2 0 1 9:5 6
2 West Ham U21 3 2 0 1 9:6 6
3 Reading 3 2 0 1 6:4 6
4 Milton Keynes Dons 3 0 0 3 1:10 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 13)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Stevenage 3 3 0 0 12:4 9
2 AFC Wimbledon 3 2 0 1 6:7 6
3 Bromley 3 1 0 2 5:7 2
4 Crystal Palace U21 3 0 0 3 6:11 1
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 14)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Leyton Orient 3 3 0 0 6:2 9
2 Peterborough 3 2 0 1 7:6 6
3 Crawley Town 3 1 0 2 6:6 3
4 Aston Villa U21 3 0 0 3 4:9 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 15)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colchester 3 3 0 0 6:2 9
2 Wycombe 3 2 0 1 7:3 6
3 Gillingham 3 1 0 2 5:6 3
4 Fulham U21 3 0 0 3 2:9 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 16)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Luton 3 2 0 1 8:5 6
2 Cambridge Utd 3 2 0 1 6:4 6
3 Barnet 3 2 0 1 5:7 5
4 Brighton U21 3 0 0 3 2:5 1
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)