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Gillingham vs Wycombe

England England

EFL Trophy 2025/2026 Priestfield Stadium, Gillingham
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Lowry A.
Assist: Quitirna A.
18'
Akomeah T.
46'
Sub
Hutton R. In: Gale S.
Out: Hutton R.

AI Match Summary

Wycombe in this EFL Trophy 2025/2026 tie, finishing 0-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Gillingham
33%
Draws
40%
Wycombe
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Wycombe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Wycombe lately — more wins on the board than Gillingham.
  • Wycombe are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Wycombe arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Wycombe, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Gillingham Clean Sheet 10%
Wycombe Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gillingham Wycombe
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 13
Draws 5 5
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 1.25 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 11, 2025 EFL Trophy
Gillingham vs Wycombe
0:3
Apr 9, 2022 League One
Gillingham vs Wycombe
1:1
Oct 9, 2021 League One
Wycombe vs Gillingham
2:0
Apr 25, 2020 League One
Wycombe vs Gillingham
0:0
Sep 14, 2019 League One
Gillingham vs Wycombe
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gillingham Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Wycombe Compare

Top Goalscorer Lowry A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Matton J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gillingham 26 / 100
Wycombe 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gillingham Wycombe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick WYC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gillingham's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Wycombe conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Gillingham stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gillingham VS Wycombe
1.25 Goals Scored 2.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Gillingham

(Home)
21 Jul
Gillingham
1 : 0
Millwall
18 Jul
Gillingham
0 : 1
Charlton
14 Jul
Dover Ath.
0 : 3
Gillingham
02 May
Gillingham
1 : 0
Shrewsbury
25 Apr
Barnet
6 : 2
Gillingham
Page 1 of 6

Wycombe

(Away)
25 Jul
Wycombe
3 : 1
Portsmouth
25 Jul
Wycombe
3 : 2
Yeovil
21 Jul
Farnham
2 : 1
Wycombe
21 Jul
QPR
1 : 0
Wycombe
11 Jul
Wycombe
4 : 0
Ebbsfleet
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Salford33009:39
2Stockport County32017:75
3Wolves U2131027:103
4Wigan30032:51
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tranmere33006:48
2Blackpool32018:36
3Barrow31023:73
4Nottingham U2130033:61
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Doncaster33008:29
2Bradford City32018:56
3Grimsby31026:83
4Everton U2130035:120
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Lincoln City33008:09
2Barnsley31026:63
3Manchester United U2131024:83
4Notts County31022:63
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bolton330010:29
2Rotherham32017:56
3Manchester City U2131027:83
4Oldham30035:140
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Harrogate33005:19
2Huddersfield32019:46
3Newcastle Utd U2131025:112
4Mansfield30033:61
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Port Vale32019:47
2Fleetwood Town33009:57
3Accrington31025:64
4Leeds U2130033:110
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Crewe330012:29
2Chesterfield31024:94
3Burton31023:43
4Liverpool U2131022:62
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 9)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cardiff32014:26
2Exeter32015:46
3Newport31022:33
4Arsenal U2131026:83
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 10)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bristol Rovers33006:48
2Plymouth32018:36
3Cheltenham31022:52
4Tottenham U2130038:122
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 11)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Northampton33006:19
2Walsall32013:25
3Shrewsbury31025:63
4Chelsea U2130031:61
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 12)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Swindon32019:56
2West Ham U2132019:66
3Reading32016:46
4Milton Keynes Dons30031:100
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 13)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Stevenage330012:49
2AFC Wimbledon32016:76
3Bromley31025:72
4Crystal Palace U2130036:111
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 14)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Leyton Orient33006:29
2Peterborough32017:66
3Crawley Town31026:63
4Aston Villa U2130034:90
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 15)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Colchester33006:29
2Wycombe32017:36
3Gillingham31025:63
4Fulham U2130032:90
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 16)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Luton32018:56
2Cambridge Utd32016:46
3Barnet32015:75
4Brighton U2130032:51
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)