Wycombe in this EFL Trophy 2025/2026 tie, finishing 0-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
37%
Gillingham
35%
Draws
28%
Wycombe
Draw rate projection: 35%Favored: Gillingham
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
37%
/ Low Confidence
Form's been kind to Wycombe lately — more wins on the board than Gillingham.
Gillingham are the model's pick here, at 60%.
Wycombe arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Wycombe, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals98%
Over 1.5 Goals87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals78%
Over 3.5 Goals25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS)71.8%
Gillingham Clean Sheet17%
Wycombe Clean Sheet10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
Metric
Gillingham
Wycombe
Matches Played
27
28
Wins
8
10
Draws
6
4
Losses
13
14
Goals Scored
1
1.75
Goals Conceded
1.7
1.75
Expected Goals (xG)
1.56
1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)
1.10
1.40
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Nov 11, 2025EFL Trophy
GillinghamvsWycombe
0:3
Apr 9, 2022League One
GillinghamvsWycombe
1:1
Oct 9, 2021League One
WycombevsGillingham
2:0
Apr 25, 2020League One
WycombevsGillingham
0:0
Sep 14, 2019League One
GillinghamvsWycombe
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Gillingham Compare
Avg xG / game1.2
Avg xA / game0.78
Wycombe Compare
Top GoalscorerLowry A.
1 Goals
Assists LeaderMatton J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game1.25
Avg xA / game0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Gillingham57 / 100
Wycombe18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Gillingham Wycombe
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary PickGillingham Win (1)
Secondary PickOver 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score2:1
BTTS OutcomeYes (GG)
Over/Under PickOver 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Wycombe's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 28 matches.
Solid form: Gillingham remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
Attacking prowess: Gillingham scored in 63% of their last 27 outings.
These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.