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Gillingham W vs Nottingham W

England England

Women’s FA Cup 2012/2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-3, with Nottingham W advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Gillingham W
30%
Draws
28%
Nottingham W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Gillingham W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Gillingham W come out ahead of Nottingham W on wins alone.
  • Gillingham W are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Gillingham W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Nottingham W, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Gillingham W Clean Sheet 20%
Nottingham W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gillingham W Nottingham W
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 16 12
Draws 0 6
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1.86 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.58
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 16, 2014 Women’s FA Cup
Nottingham W vs Gillingham W
0:1
Feb 24, 2013 Women’s FA Cup
Gillingham W vs Nottingham W
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gillingham W 58 / 100
Nottingham W 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gillingham W Nottingham W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gillingham W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nottingham W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 31 matches.

Gillingham W scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Gillingham W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Nottingham W
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 2.13
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Gillingham W

(Home)
08 Jan
AFC Wimbledon W
1 : 0
Gillingham W
27 Nov
Dulwich Hamlet W
1 : 2
Gillingham W
13 Nov
Millwall W
2 : 3
Gillingham W
19 Dec
Gillingham W
0 : 1
Charlton W
28 Nov
Gillingham W
:
Actonians W
Page 1 of 6

Nottingham W

(Away)
27 Sept
Southampton FC W
1 : 1
Nottingham W
23 Sept
Nottingham W
0 : 2
Aston Villa W
20 Sept
Durham W
1 : 2
Nottingham W
13 Sept
Nottingham W
2 : 2
Watford W
06 Sept
Ipswich W
1 : 1
Nottingham W
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Sporting Club Albion W 1
Sunderland W 2
Coventry United W 0
Manchester City W 1
Aston Villa W 3
Preston W 0
TBD -
Liverpool W -
Gillingham W 2
Nottingham W 3
TBD -
Arsenal W -
Gwalia United W 2
Reading W 1
TBD -
Birmingham W -
Doncaster W -
TBD -
TBD -
Bristol City W -
Oxford Utd W 2
Newcastle Utd W 1
TBD -
Everton W -
Notts County W -
TBD -
TBD -
Chelsea W -
Watford W 0
Leeds W 2
Yeovil W 3
Portsmouth W 0
1/8-finals
Sunderland W 4
Manchester City W 0
Aston Villa W 0
Liverpool W 5
Nottingham W 0
Arsenal W 7
Gwalia United W 1
Birmingham W 3
Doncaster W 0
Bristol City W 2
Oxford Utd W 0
Everton W 7
Notts County W 1
Chelsea W 0
Leeds W 4
Yeovil W 0
Quarter-finals
Sunderland W 1
Liverpool W 2
Arsenal W 6
Birmingham W 0
Bristol City W 3
Everton W 2
Notts County W 4
Leeds W 0
Semi-finals
Liverpool W 1
Arsenal W 2
Bristol City W 2
Notts County W 0
Final
Arsenal W 3
Bristol City W 0