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Gillingham W vs Portsmouth W

England England

Women’s FA Cup 2014/2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-5, with Portsmouth W advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Gillingham W
15%
Draws
42%
Portsmouth W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gillingham W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Gillingham W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Gillingham W are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Gillingham W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Portsmouth W, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Gillingham W Clean Sheet 20%
Portsmouth W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gillingham W Portsmouth W
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 16 9
Draws 0 2
Losses 13 19
Goals Scored 1.86 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2021 Women’s FA Cup
Portsmouth W vs Gillingham W
0:0
Jan 11, 2015 Women’s FA Cup
Gillingham W vs Portsmouth W
0:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gillingham W 36 / 100
Portsmouth W 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gillingham W Portsmouth W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gillingham W scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

Portsmouth W let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Gillingham W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Portsmouth W
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 2.13
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Gillingham W

(Home)
08 Jan
AFC Wimbledon W
1 : 0
Gillingham W
27 Nov
Dulwich Hamlet W
1 : 2
Gillingham W
13 Nov
Millwall W
2 : 3
Gillingham W
19 Dec
Gillingham W
0 : 1
Charlton W
28 Nov
Gillingham W
:
Actonians W
Page 1 of 6

Portsmouth W

(Away)
20 Sept
Real Bedford W
0 : 2
Portsmouth W
13 Sept
Plymouth W
0 : 4
Portsmouth W
23 Aug
Portsmouth W
4 : 0
Swindon W
16 Aug
Fulham W
1 : 0
Portsmouth W
02 May
Crystal Palace W
6 : 1
Portsmouth W
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Portsmouth W 1
London City Lionesses W 4
TBD -
Arsenal W -
Chelsea W -
TBD -
Watford W 2
Keynsham Town W 1
Manchester City W -
TBD -
Bradford City W 1
Doncaster W 2
Birmingham W -
TBD -
TBD -
Liverpool W -
Everton W -
TBD -
TBD -
Bristol City W -
Stoke City LFC W 1
Coventry United W 3
Charlton W 4
Crystal Palace W 3
Notts County W -
TBD -
Derby W 0
Tottenham W 3
Aston Villa W 2
Yeovil W 1
Sheffield Wed W 4
Radcliffe Olympic W 0
1/8-finals
London City Lionesses W 0
Arsenal W 7
Chelsea W 6
Watford W 0
Manchester City W 3
Doncaster W 1
Birmingham W 3
Liverpool W 1
Everton W 2
Bristol City W 1
Coventry United W 1
Charlton W 2
Notts County W 4
Tottenham W 0
Aston Villa W 2
Sheffield Wed W 0
Quarter-finals
Arsenal W 1
Chelsea W 2
Manchester City W 3
Birmingham W 1
Everton W 2
Charlton W 1
Notts County W 5
Aston Villa W 1
Semi-finals
Chelsea W 1
Manchester City W 0
Everton W 0
Notts County W 3
Final
Chelsea W 1
Notts County W 0