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Gimcheon Sangmu vs Incheon

South Korea South Korea

K League 1 Gimcheon Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

18'
Lee Jung-Taek
22'
Sub
Lee Jung-Taek In: Lee Chan-Wook
Out: Lee Jung-Taek
27' Event
Baek Jong-beom
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

Incheon in this K League 1 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Incheon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Gimcheon Sangmu
28%
Draws
50%
Incheon
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Incheon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Incheon have won more games recently than Gimcheon Sangmu.
  • Model gives Incheon a 50% chance of winning this.
  • Regular K League 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Gimcheon Sangmu Clean Sheet 17%
Incheon Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gimcheon Sangmu Incheon
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 7 9
Draws 10 5
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1 1
Goals Conceded 1.75 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 K League 1
Gimcheon Sangmu vs Incheon
0:3
Apr 5, 2026 K League 1
Incheon vs Gimcheon Sangmu
2:1
Sep 15, 2024 K League 1
Gimcheon Sangmu vs Incheon
2:0
Jul 5, 2024 K League 1
Incheon vs Gimcheon Sangmu
1:1
Jun 19, 2024 Korean Cup
Incheon vs Gimcheon Sangmu
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gimcheon Sangmu Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Incheon Compare

Top Goalscorer Lee Dong-Ryul
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ferrier M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gimcheon Sangmu 23 / 100
Incheon 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gimcheon Sangmu Incheon

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick INC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gimcheon Sangmu scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

Incheon has conceded goals in 67% of their last 27 outings.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Gimcheon Sangmu stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gimcheon Sangmu VS Incheon
1 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.5
88% Over 1.5 25%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Seoul17113328:1236
2Gangwon1887323:1131
3Jeonbuk1885525:1629
4Ulsan Hyundai1884626:2628
5Pohang1884619:1628
6Incheon1873822:1924
7Anyang1758422:1923
8Jeju SK1865716:1823
9Daejeon1847721:2019
10Bucheon FC 19951747614:1819
11Gimcheon Sangmu18210617:2516
12Gwangju FC1715118:418