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Stadium Background

Gimcheon Sangmu vs Incheon - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

South Korea South Korea

K League 1 Gimcheon Stadium, Gimcheon
Our Tip

Match Events

18'
Lee Jung-Taek
22'
Sub
Lee Jung-Taek In: Lee Chan-Wook
Out: Lee Jung-Taek
27' Event
Baek Jong-beom
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

Incheon in this K League 1 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Incheon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Gimcheon Sangmu
35%
Draws
37%
Incheon
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Incheon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Incheon have won more games recently than Gimcheon Sangmu.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular K League 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Gimcheon Sangmu Clean Sheet 20%
Incheon Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gimcheon Sangmu Incheon
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 6 11
Draws 15 9
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.03 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.24 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 K League 1
Incheon vs Gimcheon Sangmu
1:1
May 9, 2026 K League 1
Gimcheon Sangmu vs Incheon
0:3
Apr 5, 2026 K League 1
Incheon vs Gimcheon Sangmu
2:1
Sep 15, 2024 K League 1
Gimcheon Sangmu vs Incheon
2:0
Jul 5, 2024 K League 1
Incheon vs Gimcheon Sangmu
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gimcheon Sangmu Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Incheon Compare

Top Goalscorer Lee Dong-Ryul
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ferrier M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gimcheon Sangmu 32 / 100
Incheon 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gimcheon Sangmu Incheon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gimcheon Sangmu scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Incheon has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Gimcheon Sangmu stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gimcheon Sangmu VS Incheon
0.63 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Gimcheon Sangmu

(Home)
19 Sept
Bucheon FC 1995
0 : 2
Gimcheon Sangmu
13 Sept
Gimcheon Sangmu
2 : 2
Gangwon
09 Sept
Pohang
0 : 0
Gimcheon Sangmu
06 Sept
Gimcheon Sangmu
2 : 2
Gwangju FC
29 Aug
Ulsan Hyundai
3 : 1
Gimcheon Sangmu
Page 1 of 6

Incheon

(Away)
09 Oct
Incheon
3 : 0
Pohang
27 Sept
Gangwon
0 : 0
Incheon
20 Sept
Incheon
1 : 1
Daejeon
12 Sept
Ulsan Hyundai
2 : 1
Incheon
08 Sept
Incheon
2 : 1
Bucheon FC 1995
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Seoul 30 19 5 6 56:25 62
2 Ulsan Hyundai 30 14 5 11 45:40 47
3 Jeju SK 30 12 10 8 35:29 46
4 Jeonbuk 30 11 11 8 38:28 44
5 Gangwon 30 10 13 7 36:28 43
6 Daejeon 30 10 10 10 46:37 40
7 Pohang 30 11 7 12 28:34 40
8 Incheon 30 10 9 11 36:33 39
9 Anyang 30 9 11 10 38:47 38
10 Gimcheon Sangmu 30 5 18 7 30:36 33
11 Bucheon FC 1995 30 7 11 12 31:40 32
12 Gwangju FC 30 1 12 17 21:63 15
Promotion - K League 1 (Championship Group)
Relegation - K League 1 (Relegation Group)