Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Gimcheon Sangmu vs Suwon FC

South Korea South Korea

Korean Cup Gimcheon Stadium, Gimcheon
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Kang M.
61' Event
Kim In-Gyun
79' Event
Matheus Babi

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. The second leg ended 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Gimcheon Sangmu
35%
Draws
42%
Suwon FC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Suwon FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Gimcheon Sangmu haven't matched Suwon FC's recent run of results.
  • Suwon FC are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Suwon FC arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Gimcheon Sangmu, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Gimcheon Sangmu Clean Sheet 19%
Suwon FC Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gimcheon Sangmu Suwon FC
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 6 14
Draws 15 9
Losses 8 6
Goals Scored 1.03 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 29, 2026 Korean Cup
Gimcheon Sangmu vs Suwon FC
2:1
Aug 23, 2025 K League 1
Gimcheon Sangmu vs Suwon FC
3:2
Jun 1, 2025 K League 1
Gimcheon Sangmu vs Suwon FC
1:1
Apr 12, 2025 K League 1
Suwon FC vs Gimcheon Sangmu
3:2
Nov 2, 2024 K League 1
Gimcheon Sangmu vs Suwon FC
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gimcheon Sangmu Compare

Top Goalscorer Kang M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kim In-Gyun
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34

Suwon FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Matheus Babi
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gimcheon Sangmu 24 / 100
Suwon FC 49 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gimcheon Sangmu Suwon FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Suwon FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Suwon FC conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Gimcheon Sangmu scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Gimcheon Sangmu went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gimcheon Sangmu VS Suwon FC
0.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 0.63
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Gimcheon Sangmu

(Home)
19 Sept
Bucheon FC 1995
0 : 2
Gimcheon Sangmu
13 Sept
Gimcheon Sangmu
2 : 2
Gangwon
09 Sept
Pohang
0 : 0
Gimcheon Sangmu
06 Sept
Gimcheon Sangmu
2 : 2
Gwangju FC
29 Aug
Ulsan Hyundai
3 : 1
Gimcheon Sangmu
Page 1 of 6

Suwon FC

(Away)
19 Sept
Jeonnam
0 : 3
Suwon FC
13 Sept
Suwon FC
1 : 1
Cheonan City
05 Sept
Yongin FC
1 : 1
Suwon FC
30 Aug
Suwon FC
2 : 1
Busan
22 Aug
Suwon FC
2 : 0
Gimhae
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Jeonnam -
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Chungnam Asan -
Daegu -
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Jincheon -
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Siheung Citizen -
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Daejeon -
Ulsan Citizen -
TBD -
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Chuncheon -
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Seoul E-Land -
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Ulsan Hyundai -
Gwangju FC -
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Cheonan City -
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Yangsan United 1
Anseong Citizen 2
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Mokpo -
Pohang -
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Busan Kyotong -
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Gijang United -
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Suwon Bluewings -
Ansan Greeners -
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Jinju Citizen -
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Sejong SA -
Seosan Pioneer -
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Gyeongju KHNP -
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Cheongju -
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Anyang -
Jeju SK -
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Hwaseong -
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Yeonsu Songdo 0
Ulsan FC 4
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Yangpyeong -
Pyeongtaek Citizen -
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Yeoju Citizen -
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Gyeongnam -
Yongin FC -
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Haman -
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Dangjin Citizen -
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Jeonbuk -
Namyangju -
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Seoul Jungnang -
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Gimpo FC -
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Incheon -
Gimcheon Sangmu -
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Suwon FC -
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Cheongju Showking 3
Yangcheon TNT 9
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Pyeongchang United -
Gangwon -
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Changwon -
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Geumsan Insam -
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Gimhae -
Seongnam -
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Daejeon Korail -
TBD -
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Pocheon -
Busan -
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Incheon Seogot 2
Areum 1
TBD -
Geoje -
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Seoul -
Bucheon FC 1995 -
TBD -
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Paju Frontier -
TBD -
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TBD -
Jecheon Citizen -
TBD -
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Gangneung -
1/64-finals
Jeonnam -
TBD -
TBD -
Chungnam Asan -
Daegu -
TBD -
Jincheon 1
Siheung Citizen 2
TBD -
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Daejeon -
Ulsan Citizen 2
Chuncheon 1
TBD -
Seoul E-Land -
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Ulsan Hyundai -
Gwangju FC -
TBD -
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Cheonan City -
TBD -
Anseong Citizen 2
Mokpo 3
Pohang -
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Busan Kyotong 2
Gijang United 1
TBD -
Suwon Bluewings -
Ansan Greeners -
TBD -
Jinju Citizen 2
Sejong SA 1
Seosan Pioneer 0
Gyeongju KHNP 3
TBD -
Cheongju -
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Anyang -
Jeju SK -
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Hwaseong -
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Ulsan FC 1
Yangpyeong 5
Pyeongtaek Citizen 1
Yeoju Citizen 3
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Gyeongnam -
Yongin FC -
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Haman 0
Dangjin Citizen 2
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Jeonbuk -
Namyangju 3
Seoul Jungnang 1
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Gimpo FC -
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Incheon -
Gimcheon Sangmu -
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Suwon FC -
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Yangcheon TNT 1
Pyeongchang United 2
Gangwon -
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Changwon 3
Geumsan Insam 0
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Gimhae -
Seongnam -
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Daejeon Korail 0
Pocheon 2
Busan -
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Incheon Seogot 0
Geoje 4
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Seoul -
Bucheon FC 1995 -
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Paju Frontier -
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Jecheon Citizen 0
Gangneung 2
1/32-finals
Jeonnam 3
Chungnam Asan 4
Daegu 0
Siheung Citizen 1
TBD -
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Daejeon -
Ulsan Citizen 4
Seoul E-Land 2
TBD -
Ulsan Hyundai -
Gwangju FC -
TBD -
Cheonan City 2
Mokpo 1
Pohang -
TBD -
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Busan Kyotong 2
Suwon Bluewings 1
Ansan Greeners 0
Jinju Citizen 2
Gyeongju KHNP 0
Cheongju 4
TBD -
Anyang -
Jeju SK -
TBD -
Hwaseong 4
Yangpyeong 3
Yeoju Citizen 1
Gyeongnam 0
Yongin FC 0
Dangjin Citizen 2
TBD -
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Jeonbuk -
Namyangju 1
Gimpo FC 2
TBD -
Incheon -
Gimcheon Sangmu -
TBD -
Suwon FC 3
Pyeongchang United 2
Gangwon -
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Changwon 1
Gimhae 5
Seongnam 2
Pocheon 1
Busan 4
Geoje 0
TBD -
Seoul -
Bucheon FC 1995 -
TBD -
Paju Frontier 3
Gangneung 2
1/16-finals
Chungnam Asan 2
Siheung Citizen 1
TBD -
Daejeon -
Ulsan Citizen 1
Ulsan Hyundai 0
Gwangju FC 1
Cheonan City 0
Pohang -
TBD -
Busan Kyotong 1
Jinju Citizen 2
Cheongju 1
Anyang 3
Jeju SK 4
Hwaseong 3
Yeoju Citizen 0
Dangjin Citizen 1
TBD -
Jeonbuk -
Gimpo FC 1
Incheon 0
Gimcheon Sangmu 2
Suwon FC 1
Gangwon -
TBD -
Gimhae 0
Seongnam 1
Busan 2
Seoul 0
Bucheon FC 1995 3
Paju Frontier 0
1/8-finals
Chungnam Asan 2
Daejeon 3
Ulsan Citizen 0
Gwangju FC 1
Pohang 3
Jinju Citizen 1
Anyang 2
Jeju SK 1
Dangjin Citizen 3
Jeonbuk 2
Gimpo FC 2
Gimcheon Sangmu 1
Gangwon 1
Seongnam 0
Busan 0
Bucheon FC 1995 1
Quarter-finals
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Semi-finals
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Final
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