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Gimcheon Sangmu vs Ulsan Hyundai

South Korea South Korea

K League 1 Gimcheon Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Gimcheon Sangmu play Ulsan Hyundai in the K League 1. It looks like a close match. Recently, Gimcheon Sangmu averaged 1.41 goals scored and 1.48 conceded. Ulsan Hyundai averaged 1.1 goals scored and 1.37 conceded. In past meetings, Gimcheon Sangmu won 2, Ulsan Hyundai won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 5, 2026 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.38 for Gimcheon Sangmu and 1.69 for Ulsan Hyundai. This points to a Ulsan Hyundai double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Gimcheon Sangmu
24%
Draws
38%
Ulsan Hyundai
Draw rate projection: 24% Favored: Ulsan Hyundai

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / Medium Confidence
  • Gimcheon Sangmu picked up more points recently compared to Ulsan Hyundai.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.38 vs 1.69 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 78%
Over 2.5 Goals 52%
Over 3.5 Goals 31%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 58%
Gimcheon Sangmu Clean Sheet 13%
Ulsan Hyundai Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 70%
Second Half Goal 74%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gimcheon Sangmu Ulsan Hyundai
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 11
Draws 9 6
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.41 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 5, 2026 K League 1
Gimcheon Sangmu vs Ulsan Hyundai
1:2
Mar 22, 2026 K League 1
Ulsan Hyundai vs Gimcheon Sangmu
0:0
Oct 5, 2025 K League 1
Gimcheon Sangmu vs Ulsan Hyundai
3:0
May 24, 2025 K League 1
Ulsan Hyundai vs Gimcheon Sangmu
3:2
Apr 27, 2025 K League 1
Gimcheon Sangmu vs Ulsan Hyundai
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gimcheon Sangmu Compare

Top Goalscorer Lee G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Ulsan Hyundai Compare

Top Goalscorer Marcao
1 Goals
Assists Leader Yago Cariello
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gimcheon Sangmu 37 / 100
Ulsan Hyundai 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gimcheon Sangmu Ulsan Hyundai

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Ulsan Hyundai or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26.5%
3.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.8%
2.17
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Gimcheon Sangmu attacking → ← attacking Ulsan Hyundai

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gimcheon Sangmu scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Ulsan Hyundai let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Gimcheon Sangmu went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Ulsan Hyundai lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

36 Points in last 5 39
1.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.63
1.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Seoul16112328:1235
2Ulsan Hyundai1683523:2127
3Gangwon1676321:1127
4Jeonbuk1675422:1426
5Pohang1674515:1425
6Incheon1663721:1821
7Anyang1648421:1920
8Jeju SK1654714:1719
9Bucheon FC 19951646613:1718
10Daejeon1645719:1817
11Gimcheon Sangmu1629516:2215
12Gwangju FC1615108:388