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Gimhae vs Busan

South Korea South Korea

K League 2 Gimhae Sports Complex
Our Tip

Match Events

21'
Lee Seung-Jae
40' Event
Kim Min-Hyeok
Assist: Woo Ju-Seong
46'
Sub
Choi Ye-Hoon In: Kim Hyun-Min
Out: Choi Ye-Hoon

AI Match Summary

Busan in this K League 2 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Busan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Gimhae
28%
Draws
50%
Busan
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Busan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Busan have won more games recently than Gimhae.
  • Model gives Busan a 50% chance of winning this.
  • Regular K League 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Gimhae Clean Sheet 10%
Busan Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gimhae Busan
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 10 15
Draws 8 8
Losses 12 6
Goals Scored 0.88 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 K League 2
Gimhae vs Busan
0:1
May 8, 2013 Korean Cup
Gimhae vs Busan
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gimhae Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Busan Compare

Top Goalscorer Kim Min-Hyeok
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gimhae 22 / 100
Busan 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gimhae Busan

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BUS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Gimhae scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Busan let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Gimhae went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Gimhae VS Busan
0.88 Goals Scored 2.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Busan16113235:2036
2Suwon Bluewings16102422:1432
3Daegu1694335:2231
4Suwon FC1685334:2129
5Seoul E-Land1692528:1929
6Hwaseong1674523:1925
7Chungnam Asan1666424:1924
8Gimpo FC1666419:1824
9Gyeongnam1655620:2520
10Cheonan City1647519:1919
11Yongin FC1638520:2317
12Paju Frontier1652917:2217
13Seongnam1638516:1817
14Cheongju16111419:2714
15Ansan Greeners16421017:2914
16Jeonnam1616918:319
17Gimhae16231113:339