Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Gimhae vs Busan

South Korea South Korea

K League 2 Gimhae Sports Complex, Gimhae
Our Tip

Match Events

21'
Lee Seung-Jae
40' Event
Kim Min-Hyeok
Assist: Woo Ju-Seong
46'
Sub
Choi Ye-Hoon In: Kim Hyun-Min
Out: Choi Ye-Hoon

AI Match Summary

Busan in this K League 2 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Busan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Gimhae
20%
Draws
64%
Busan
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Busan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Busan have won more games recently than Gimhae.
  • Model gives Busan a 64% chance of winning this.
  • Regular K League 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Busan here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Gimhae Clean Sheet 20%
Busan Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gimhae Busan
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 14
Draws 9 5
Losses 17 11
Goals Scored 0.97 1.6
Goals Conceded 1.77 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 K League 2
Busan vs Gimhae
2:0
May 3, 2026 K League 2
Gimhae vs Busan
0:1
May 8, 2013 Korean Cup
Gimhae vs Busan
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gimhae Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Busan Compare

Top Goalscorer Kim Min-Hyeok
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gimhae 20 / 100
Busan 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gimhae Busan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Busan Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gimhae scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Busan let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Busan's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

H2H data points to 1.33 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Gimhae VS Busan
0.75 Goals Scored 0.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Gimhae

(Home)
20 Sept
Gimhae
0 : 2
Paju Frontier
13 Sept
Busan
2 : 0
Gimhae
05 Sept
Gimhae
2 : 2
Jeonnam
30 Aug
Gimhae
0 : 3
Yongin FC
22 Aug
Suwon FC
2 : 0
Gimhae
Page 1 of 6

Busan

(Away)
19 Sept
Gimpo FC
1 : 0
Busan
13 Sept
Busan
2 : 0
Gimhae
05 Sept
Busan
0 : 1
Ansan Greeners
30 Aug
Suwon FC
2 : 1
Busan
22 Aug
Daegu
1 : 1
Busan
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Suwon Bluewings 25 16 5 4 39:20 53
2 Suwon FC 25 13 9 3 50:29 48
3 Seoul E-Land 26 14 6 6 45:30 48
4 Daegu 26 13 7 6 48:35 46
5 Hwaseong 26 12 8 6 41:27 44
6 Busan 26 12 5 9 41:34 41
7 Gimpo FC 25 8 11 6 31:30 35
8 Chungnam Asan 25 9 7 9 34:31 34
9 Gyeongnam 25 8 10 7 31:30 34
10 Seongnam 25 7 10 8 28:30 31
11 Cheongju 26 5 14 7 31:41 29
12 Paju Frontier 25 8 5 12 24:28 29
13 Yongin FC 25 5 12 8 31:35 27
14 Cheonan City 26 4 11 11 30:37 23
15 Ansan Greeners 26 6 4 16 27:49 22
16 Jeonnam 25 4 9 12 28:43 21
17 Gimhae 25 2 7 16 19:49 13
Promotion - K League 1 2027 (Main)
Promotion - K League 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - K League 2 (Relegation)