Sport Picks
Gimnasia E.R. vs Independiente Chivilcoy - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Argentina
Torneo Federal Estadio Manuel y Ramon Nunez, Concepción del Uruguay 
Match Events
40'
40'
Sub
Gimenez R. In: Mast T.
Out: Gimenez R.
46'
46'
Sub
Ramirez U. In: Caceres E.
Out: Ramirez U.
50'
50'
Retamozo L.
AI Match Summary
The Torneo Federal game between Gimnasia E.R. and Independiente Chivilcoy finished 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
20%
47%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Independiente Chivilcoy
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Gimnasia E.R. come out ahead of Independiente Chivilcoy on wins alone.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22.8%
Gimnasia E.R. Clean Sheet 30%
Independiente Chivilcoy Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Gimnasia E.R. | Independiente Chivilcoy |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 9 |
| Draws | 7 | 11 |
| Losses | 12 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 0.9 | 0.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.79 | 1.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 0.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 30, 2026 Torneo Federal
Gimnasia E.R. vs Independiente Chivilcoy
0:0
Jun 14, 2026 Torneo Federal
Independiente Chivilcoy vs Gimnasia E.R.
0:0
Apr 11, 2026 Torneo Federal
Gimnasia E.R. vs Independiente Chivilcoy
0:1
Jun 8, 2025 Torneo Federal
Gimnasia E.R. vs Independiente Chivilcoy
3:0
Apr 6, 2025 Torneo Federal
Independiente Chivilcoy vs Gimnasia E.R.
3:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Gimnasia E.R. 38 / 100
Independiente Chivilcoy 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Gimnasia E.R. Independiente Chivilcoy
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Independiente Chivilcoy Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Gimnasia E.R. went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Attacking prowess: Gimnasia E.R. scored in 55% of their last 29 outings.
Defensive concern: Independiente Chivilcoy conceded in 53% of 30 recent games.
H2H data points to 1.40 goals as a typical output.
Scoring Trends
Gimnasia E.R. VS Independiente Chivilcoy
1 Goals Scored 0.88
0.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
38% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Gimnasia E.R.
(Home) 19 Sept
Sportivo Las Parejas
1 : 0 Gimnasia E.R.
13 Sept
Gimnasia E.R.
1 : 0 Sarmiento Resistencia
06 Sept
Boca Unidos
1 : 0 Gimnasia E.R.
30 Aug
Gimnasia E.R.
0 : 0 Independiente Chivilcoy
23 Aug
Atletico Escobar
0 : 2 Gimnasia E.R.
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Gimnasia E.R.
1 : 0 Sarmiento Resistencia
30 Aug
Gimnasia E.R.
0 : 0 Independiente Chivilcoy
16 Aug
Gimnasia E.R.
2 : 0 Defensores de Vilelas
02 Aug
Gimnasia E.R.
4 : 0 Tucuman Central
26 Jul
Gimnasia E.R.
0 : 1 El Linqueno
Page 1 of 3
Independiente Chivilcoy
(Away) 19 Sept
Independiente Chivilcoy
3 : 0 Atletico Escobar
13 Sept
Defensores de Vilelas
2 : 0 Independiente Chivilcoy
06 Sept
Independiente Chivilcoy
1 : 0 El Linqueno
30 Aug
Gimnasia E.R.
0 : 0 Independiente Chivilcoy
23 Aug
Independiente Chivilcoy
2 : 0 Tucuman Central
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Defensores de Vilelas
2 : 0 Independiente Chivilcoy
30 Aug
Gimnasia E.R.
0 : 0 Independiente Chivilcoy
16 Aug
Sportivo Las Parejas
0 : 0 Independiente Chivilcoy
08 Aug
Boca Unidos
1 : 1 Independiente Chivilcoy
12 Jul
El Linqueno
2 : 1 Independiente Chivilcoy
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boca Unidos | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 14:7 | 15 |
| 2 | Gimnasia E.R. | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9:2 | 14 |
| 3 | El Linqueno | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 8:4 | 13 |
| 4 | Sportivo Las Parejas | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8:3 | 12 |
| 5 | Defensores de Vilelas | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 14:11 | 12 |
| 6 | Independiente Chivilcoy | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8:5 | 12 |
| 7 | Atletico Escobar | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7:12 | 11 |
| 8 | Sarmiento Resistencia | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 5:16 | 6 |
| 9 | Tucuman Central | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8:21 | 2 |
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Promotion - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Costa Brava | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 11:7 | 16 |
| 2 | San Martin Mendoza | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 9:6 | 16 |
| 3 | Deportivo Rincon | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 11:5 | 15 |
| 4 | Fundacion Amigos | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 7:4 | 15 |
| 5 | Juventud U.U. | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 7:6 | 14 |
| 6 | Germinal | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 10:7 | 13 |
| 7 | Guillermo Brown | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 6:7 | 11 |
| 8 | Circulo Deportivo | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 6:7 | 11 |
| 9 | Sol de Mayo | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 6:14 | 6 |
| 10 | Santamarina | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 6:16 | 6 |
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Promotion - Play Offs)
