Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Gimnasia Jujuy vs Quilmes

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio 23 de Agosto
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Soria H.
Assist: Menendez C.
41'
Kippes A.
50'
Maidana F.

AI Match Summary

Gimnasia Jujuy in this Primera Nacional matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gimnasia Jujuy.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Gimnasia Jujuy
33%
Draws
27%
Quilmes
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Gimnasia Jujuy

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Quilmes haven't matched Gimnasia Jujuy's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Gimnasia Jujuy's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Quilmes have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Gimnasia Jujuy Clean Sheet 68%
Quilmes Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gimnasia Jujuy Quilmes
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 7
Draws 5 11
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.63 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 Primera Nacional
Gimnasia Jujuy vs Quilmes
1:0
Oct 6, 2024 Primera Nacional
Gimnasia Jujuy vs Quilmes
0:2
May 18, 2024 Primera Nacional
Quilmes vs Gimnasia Jujuy
2:1
Jul 1, 2023 Primera Nacional
Gimnasia Jujuy vs Quilmes
0:1
Feb 25, 2023 Primera Nacional
Quilmes vs Gimnasia Jujuy
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gimnasia Jujuy Compare

Top Goalscorer Soria H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Quilmes Compare

Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gimnasia Jujuy 50 / 100
Quilmes 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gimnasia Jujuy Quilmes

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GIM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gimnasia Jujuy found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Gimnasia Jujuy stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Quilmes's defensive record shows goals conceded in 55% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Gimnasia Jujuy VS Quilmes
1.63 Goals Scored 0.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 38%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ferro19114422:1437
2Deportivo Moron19104527:1734
3Colon Santa Fe1988323:1532
4Ciudad Bolivar1979318:1330
5Los Andes1978416:729
6Almirante Brown1985614:1229
7Deportivo Madryn1977525:2028
8CA Estudiantes1976615:1627
9Godoy Cruz1967619:1725
10San Miguel19510417:2025
11Defensores de Belgrano1958614:1723
12Racing Cordoba1956817:2221
13San Telmo1948715:1820
14All Boys1948712:1920
15Central Norte1947812:1719
16Acassuso19541013:2019
17CA Mitre1939719:2418
18Chaco For Ever19271014:2513
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gimnasia Jujuy19114431:2137
2Atletico Atlanta19103624:1533
3Tristan Suarez1979316:1130
4Temperley1979319:1730
5Midland1976620:1527
6Atl. Rafaela1976614:1327
7San Martin T.1968516:1526
8Deportivo Maipu1974824:2025
9Nueva Chicago1867517:1625
10Almagro1974816:1925
11Quilmes1966718:1524
12Gimnasia y Tiro1966718:2024
13Colegiales1965818:1923
14San Martin S.J.1865718:1923
15Chacarita Juniors1964915:2022
16Patronato1949612:1621
17Club Atletico Guemes19541018:3219
18Agropecuario1946914:2418